🏷️ Likely Rental
96 Fredro St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Several updates in this Kaisertown double. Handsome wood trim in two bedroom upper, hardwood floors, updated windows. Excellent tenant looking to stay. Lower with open floor plan, two bedrooms, ample ceiling fans. Full basement, separated laundry hook-ups, updated gas lines, hot water tanks, and high efficiency furnaces. Fenced backyard, driveway.
Key facts
- Wood trim
- Open floor plan
- Updated windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $558 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,237/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 841% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $141k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.66%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,405
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -30.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Weimar St | 0.14mi | 5/2.0 | 1,848 (+9%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $95 | 75 |
| 111 Roberts Ave | 0.25mi | 5/2.0 | 1,810 (+7%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $64 | 73 |
| 41 Weiss St | 0.20mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,609 (-5%) | 6mo | $135,320 | $84 | 72 |
| 230 Weiss St | 0.22mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,828 (+8%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $112 | 71 |
| 319 Barnard St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,658 (-2%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $72 | 70 |
| 52 Fredro St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,856 (+9%) | 7mo | $43,000 | $23 | 70 |
| 292 Willett St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (+0%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $126 | 68 |
| 127 Barnard St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,628 (-4%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $160 | 67 |
| 241 Willett St | 0.42mi | 5/2.5 | 1,773 (+4%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $113 | 65 |
| 452 Willett St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,584 (-7%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $82 | 56 |
| 305 S Ogden St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,518 (-10%) | 7mo | $223,000 | $147 | 50 |
| 23 Archer Ave | 0.62mi | 5/2.0 | 1,840 (+8%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $125 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $108,307
- Equity at exit
- $133,648
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.88×
- Total profit
- $287,937
- Equity at exit
- $265,955
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14206
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $558
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,236 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,118 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,118 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,237 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1150 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-03-25$175,000 Active 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Several updates in this Kaisertown double. Handsome wood trim in two bedroom upper, hardwood floors, updated windows. Excellent tenant looking to stay. Lower with open floor plan, two bedrooms, ample ceiling fans. Full basement, separated laundry hook-ups, updated gas lines, hot water tanks, and high efficiency furnaces. Fenced backyard, driveway.
-
2025-05-09historical $780
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2025-05-01$780
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2024-11-08historical $925
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2024-10-29$925
-
2022-12-19historical
-
2021-10-21soldstatus $141,000 Closed Sale or Rented 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Enjoy this beautiful freshly painted covered front porch on this Great 2/2 Multi-Family. Lower has extra-large open concept living/dining room combo. Kitchen with plenty of storage, counter space & breakfast bar. Large master bedroom, bath. Freshly painted. Upper has great size eat in kitchen with plenty of natural light. Freshly painted master bedroom. Lots of storage. Plenty of parking with extra large driveway & private backyard. All offers, if any, due by 6pm on August, 2nd 2021.
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2021-10-21soldstatus $141,000
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Enjoy this beautiful freshly painted covered front porch on this Great 2/2 Multi-Family. Lower has extra-large open concept living/dining room combo. Kitchen with plenty of storage, counter space & breakfast bar. Large master bedroom, bath. Freshly painted. Upper has great size eat in kitchen with plenty of natural light. Freshly painted master bedroom. Lots of storage. Plenty of parking with extra large driveway & private backyard. All offers, if any, due by 6pm on August, 2nd 2021.
-
2021-08-03status Under Contract- Do Not Show 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Enjoy this beautiful freshly painted covered front porch on this Great 2/2 Multi-Family. Lower has extra-large open concept living/dining room combo. Kitchen with plenty of storage, counter space & breakfast bar. Large master bedroom, bath. Freshly painted. Upper has great size eat in kitchen with plenty of natural light. Freshly painted master bedroom. Lots of storage. Plenty of parking with extra large driveway & private backyard. All offers, if any, due by 6pm on August, 2nd 2021.
-
2021-07-26$124,900 Active 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Enjoy this beautiful freshly painted covered front porch on this Great 2/2 Multi-Family. Lower has extra-large open concept living/dining room combo. Kitchen with plenty of storage, counter space & breakfast bar. Large master bedroom, bath. Freshly painted. Upper has great size eat in kitchen with plenty of natural light. Freshly painted master bedroom. Lots of storage. Plenty of parking with extra large driveway & private backyard. All offers, if any, due by 6pm on August, 2nd 2021.
-
1999-11-17soldstatus $42,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,148
- − Management
- −$2,148
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $4,155
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$997
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,697/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,631
- Household income
- $50,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 841.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Current HPI
- 457.3935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+311.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $175,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-05-09 Rental Removed $780 BUILDIUM
- 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $780 BUILDIUM
- 2024-11-08 Rental Removed $925 BUILDIUM
- 2024-10-29 Listed for Rent $925 BUILDIUM
- 2022-12-19 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2021-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $141,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-21 Sold (MLS) $141,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-08-03 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2021-07-26 Listed $124,900 WNYREIS
- 1999-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $325 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…