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Sydney Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 43.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Schools +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,990

Sydney Plan · Ankeny, IA 50021
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,511 sqft · Townhouse · 649 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Kimberley Crossing Townhomes community in Ankeny, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Kimberley Crossing Townhomes community.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Sizable pantry

Tags

ELECTRIC FIREPLACEGOURMET KITCHENWHITE CABINETRYQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSIZABLE PANTRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $239,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $245,558.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-150 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (6.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (18.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.9% in Ankeny — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 92/100 on livability (#3 in IA, #29 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-.
  • North Polk Community School District (rural): math 87% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #7 of 289 in IA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: North Polk Central Elementary School (math 83% / reading 72%, grade A, #101 of 616 statewide, top 16%, 342 students, 11% FRL); North Polk Middle School (math 85% / reading 87%, grade A+, #8 of 246 statewide, top 3%, 455 students, 10% FRL); North Polk High School (math 88% / reading 89%, grade A, #3 of 336 statewide, top 1%, 647 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1128 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 649 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $195,807 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 649 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80% ✗
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.62%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$245,558
List price
$239,990
Delta
-2.27%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1401 NE 59th Ln 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 1mo $244,990 $162 95
5909 NE Seneca Ln 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 0mo $226,990 $150 94
5917 NE Seneca Ln 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 1mo $232,990 $154 94
1421 NE 59th Ln 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 1mo $214,990 $142 93
5718 NE Creek Ridge Dr 0.42mi 2/3.5 (-1) 1,521 (+1%) 2mo $439,990 $289 68
1058 NE 57th Ln 0.33mi 3/2.5 1,380 (-9%) 3mo $217,500 $158 68
1004 NE 56th St 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,380 (-9%) 0mo $220,000 $159 68
5718 NE Dawson Ln 0.37mi 3/2.5 1,380 (-9%) 2mo $220,000 $159 66
1209 NE 56th St 0.20mi 3/3.0 1,300 (-14%) 3mo $327,500 $252 63
5520 NE Briarwood Dr 0.46mi 3/3.0 1,373 (-9%) 1mo $354,990 $259 61
1013 NE 58th Ln 0.37mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,328 (-12%) 3mo $199,999 $151 55
5516 NE Briarwood Dr 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,373 (-9%) 2mo $350,000 $255 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.0%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-53,337
Equity at exit
$36,613
10-year hold
IRR
-24.0%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-74,437
Equity at exit
$21,231

Cash invested: $68,756 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
15 active · 39 under contract
Months of supply
2.0 mo (50%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$236,990 ($159/sqft)
Median days on market
72 d
This list price
53% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+2.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 50021

Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
1128
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,958 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,288
Tax est. 1.5%
−$307 /mo · $3,683/yr
Insurance
−$102
HOA
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$411
Net cashflow
$-150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,148
Max offer price $223,835
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $20 -5% $-65 +0% $-150 +5% $-235 +10% $-320
Rent -10% $-305 -5% $-227 +0% $-150 +5% $-73 +10% $5
Rate -1.0pp $-26 -0.5pp $-88 base $-150 +0.5pp $-214 +1.0pp $-278

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,389
Closing costs
$7,367
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5809 NE Verona Dr Ankeny, IA 4.0 2.5 2053 $2,195 $1.07 51d 1 0.05mi
5806 NE Verona Dr Elkhart, IA 4.0 2.5 2110 $2,195 $1.04 29d 1 0.08mi
1405 NE 59th Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1511 $1,950 $1.29 1d 1 0.13mi
1405 NE 59th Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1511 $1,950 $1.29 9d 1 0.13mi
1409 NE 59th Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1511 $1,950 $1.29 0d 1 0.13mi
1424 NE 56th Ln Ankeny, IA 2.0–3.0 2.5 1658 $2,325 $1.40 0d 7 0.22mi
5711 NE Lowell Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 3.0 1380 $1,655 $1.20 107d 1 0.29mi
5113 NE Ledgestone Ct Ankeny, IA 4.0 2.5 1470 $2,100 $1.43 0d 1 0.56mi
1005 NE Kamies Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1520 $1,895 $1.25 107d 1 0.85mi
1005 NE Kamies Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1520 $1,725 $1.13 22d 1 0.85mi
4543 NE McDougal Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 3.5 1520 $1,895 $1.25 107d 1 0.88mi
4612 NE Milligan Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,725 $1.20 36d 1 0.89mi
4536 NE McDougal Ln Ankeny, IA 4.0 3.0 1520 $1,895 $1.25 107d 1 0.90mi
211 NE 62nd St Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1707 $2,700 $1.58 10d 1 1.10mi
5016 NE Innsbruck Dr Ankeny, IA 4.0 3.0 1921 $2,595 $1.35 107d 1 1.21mi
3921 NE Gardenia Ln Ankeny, IA 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,595 $1.23 184d 1 1.24mi
3611 NE Otterview Cir Ankeny, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 840 $1,775 $2.11 0d 11 1.27mi
110 NE 46th Ln Ankeny, IA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1099 $1,400 $1.27 0d 2 1.42mi
2820 NE 38th St Ankeny, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 861 $1,800 $2.09 0d 45 1.43mi
223 NE 45th Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 3.5 1628 $1,625 $1.00 10d 1 1.46mi
219 NE 45th Ln Ankeny, IA 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,625 $1.08 0d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $239,990 Active 649 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $239,990 Active 648 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $239,990 Active 647 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $239,990 Active 646 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $239,990 Active 645 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $239,990 Active 643 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $239,990 Active 642 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $239,990 Active 641 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $239,990 Active 640 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $239,990 Active 639 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $239,990 Active 638 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $239,990 Active 637 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $239,990 Active 636 DOM
  14. 2026-10-26
    days on market $239,990 Active 635 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $239,990 Active 634 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $239,990 Active 633 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $239,990 Active 632 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $239,990 Active 631 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $239,990 Active 630 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $239,990 Active 629 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $239,990 Active 628 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $239,990 Active 627 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $239,990 Active 626 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $239,990 Active 625 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $239,990 Active 624 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $239,990 Active 623 DOM
  27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $239,990 Active 622 DOM
  28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $239,990 Active 621 DOM
  29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $239,990 Active 620 DOM
  30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $239,990 Active 619 DOM
  31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $239,990 Active 618 DOM
  32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $239,990 Active 617 DOM
  33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $239,990 Active 616 DOM
  34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $239,990 Active 615 DOM
  35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $239,990 Active 614 DOM
  36. 2026-10-04
    days on market $239,990 Active 613 DOM
  37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $239,990 Active 612 DOM
  38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $239,990 Active 611 DOM
  39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $239,990 Active 610 DOM
  40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $239,990 Active 609 DOM
  41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $239,990 Active 608 DOM
  42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $239,990 Active 607 DOM
  43. 2026-09-25
    days on market $239,990 Active 605 DOM
  44. 2026-09-24
    days on market $239,990 Active 604 DOM
  45. 2026-09-23
    days on market $239,990 Active 603 DOM
  46. 2026-09-22
    days on market $239,990 Active 602 DOM
  47. 2026-09-21
    days on market $239,990 Active 601 DOM
  48. 2026-09-20
    days on market $239,990 Active 600 DOM
  49. 2026-09-19
    days on market $239,990 Active 599 DOM
  50. 2026-09-18
    days on market $239,990 Active 598 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,497
− Mortgage interest
−$13,755
− Property taxes
−$3,683
− Insurance
−$1,228
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,880
− Management
−$1,880
− Depreciation
−$7,143
Taxable loss
−$6,072
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,457
After-tax cash flow
$-344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained townhouse in the Sydney floor plan offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on exterior trim and cleaning gutters to enhance its curb appeal and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal ↑
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition ↑
A Composite school gradezoned avg 84/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary North Polk Central Elementary School A IA #101/616 Nat'l #1,614/41,679 Middle North Polk Middle School A+ IA #8/246 Nat'l #104/14,009 High North Polk High School A IA #3/336 Nat'l #508/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Polk Community School District
NCES district ID
1920910
Math proficiency
87% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
84% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$80,205
Composite
75.13/100
National rank
#140
State rank
#7 of 289 in IA
A Composite livability gradescore 92/100

Livability — Ankeny

Score
92/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#29

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C- Cost of living A- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ankeny, IA
County
Polk County · 548,042 people
City population
76,589
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
30,283
Household income
$99,572
Rent vs Own
25.5% rent · 74.5% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
548,042 people
By 2030
588,557 · +7.4%
By 2040
670,629 · +22.4%
By 2050
752,830 · +37.4%
By 2075
955,069 · +74.3%
By 2100
1,115,436 · +103.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $239,990 Zillow
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $249,990 Zillow
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $259,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…