4 Alpine Ct · Wheeling, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$369,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath ranch located in a quiet Oglebay neighborhood adjoining the Palmer Course at Speidel Golf Club.
Key facts
- First floor laundry
- One level living
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $370k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $671 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $370k).
- Recommended offer: $364k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.3% in Wheeling — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#74 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Ohio County Schools (urban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #5 of 55 in WV (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.9%/yr); 6 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2 units permitted in Ohio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ohio County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $242k; list at $370k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.77%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $293,112
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Alpine Ct | 0.00mi | 4/3.5 | 2,124 (0%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $165 | 99 |
| 18 Crispen Ct | 0.09mi | 4/3.0 | 2,376 (+12%) | 10mo | $325,000 | $137 | 66 |
| 164 Bello Vedere Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,958 (-8%) | 18mo | $270,000 | $138 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-28,331
- Equity at exit
- $55,153
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-12,610
- Equity at exit
- $31,982
Cash invested: $103,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20003
- Rents YoY
- -4.9%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,754 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,940
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,417/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$788
- Net cashflow
- $671
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,475
- Closing costs
- $11,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-16price $369,900
-
2026-04-13price $379,900
-
2026-03-26$395,000 Active
-
2020-02-28soldstatus $242,500
-
2020-02-27soldstatus $242,500 123-char remark
Show marketing remark (123 chars)
Spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath ranch located in a quiet Oglebay neighborhood adjoining the Palmer Course at Speidel Golf Club.
-
2019-12-01$249,900 123-char remark
Show marketing remark (123 chars)
Spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath ranch located in a quiet Oglebay neighborhood adjoining the Palmer Course at Speidel Golf Club.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,417 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,417 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,053
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,720
- − Property taxes
- −$2,417
- − Insurance
- −$1,850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,604
- − Management
- −$3,604
- − Depreciation
- −$10,761
- Taxable income
- $2,097
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$503
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ohio County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401050
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,572
- Composite
- 34.88/100
- National rank
- #5085
- State rank
- #5 of 55 in WV
Livability — Wheeling
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #8950
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wheeling, WV
- County
- District of Columbia
- City population
- 39,982
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,482
- Household income
- $159,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1469.0
Population outlook (Ohio County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,604 people
- By 2030
- 39,150 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 36,039 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 33,582 · -17.3%
- By 2075
- 28,662 · -29.4%
- By 2100
- 22,963 · -43.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ohio
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.0% · R 62.0% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -26.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.0 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+31.6 2012: R+22.5 2008: R+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -783.88%
- Current HPI
- 362.7496
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.88%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+48.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — WBOR
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $369,900 WBOR
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $379,900 WBOR
- 2026-03-26 Listed $395,000 WBOR
- 2020-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $242,500 Public Records
- 2020-02-27 Sold (MLS) $242,500 WBOR
- 2019-12-01 Listed $249,900 WBOR
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,417 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…