105 Cedar Ave · Luttrell, TN
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity - Two Homes, Two Income Streams Don't miss this unique investment opportunity featuring two parcels being sold together as part of a portfolio sale. Located at 105 and 107 Cedar Avenue, this property offers excellent potential for investors, landlords, or flippers seeking value-add opportunities. 105 Cedar Avenue features a stick-built home connected to public utilities and is currently vacant, providing immediate flexibility for renovation, resale, or tenant placement. 107 Cedar Avenue includes a mobile home with a month-to-month tenant already in place, providing immediate rental income from day one. With the ability to rent both homes separately, investors can b
Key facts
- Rental income
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1942
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property
- Construction: Wood siding and brick exterior
- Exterior features: Rolling slope lot; Country setting view
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $730 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#344 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Union County (rural): math 14% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #127 of 139 in TN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Luttrell Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #753 of 952 statewide, top 81%, 295 students, 0% FRL); H Maynard Middle School (math 14% / reading 18%, grade F, #223 of 333 statewide, top 68%, 656 students, 0% FRL); Union County High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #197 of 332 statewide, top 60%, 819 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 134 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Union County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $115k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.26%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $60,831
- Equity at exit
- $52,253
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.68×
- Total profit
- $150,787
- Equity at exit
- $80,955
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37779
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $303/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $730
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3135 Tennessee 61 Luttrell, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,850 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$115,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $303 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $816 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$514/yr (+$43/mo · 169.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$303
- − Insurance
- −$1,242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,776
- − Management
- −$1,776
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $7,316
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,756
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,001/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union County
- NCES district ID
- 4704290
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,598
- Composite
- 13.62/100
- National rank
- #9507
- State rank
- #127 of 139 in TN
Livability — Luttrell
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #22797
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Luttrell, TN
- City population
- 3,443
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,443
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,073 people
- By 2030
- 18,888 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 18,090 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 16,693 · -12.5%
- By 2075
- 12,894 · -32.4%
- By 2100
- 8,564 · -55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.2) · D 14.0% · R 85.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -41.2pp · 2024: -71.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.2 2020: R+68.4 2016: R+64.7 2012: R+48.2 2008: R+41.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Current HPI
- 414.9524
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+1050.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $115,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2022-05-26 Listing Removed — Knoxville MLS
- 2022-04-25 Listed $70,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2016-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $28,302 Public Records
- 2011-02-21 Listed $49,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2007-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $34,100 Public Records
- 2003-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1996-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 1987-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $303 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…