Duplex
612 West Seneca Turnpike Ave · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Amazing investment opportunity! This four-unit multifamily property offers strong income potential with a desirable unit mix of two one-bedroom apartments, one two-bedroom apartment, and one three-bedroom apartment, making it an excellent addition to any investor’s portfolio. Each unit provides comfortable living space with great rental appeal across a variety of tenant needs. The property features convenient off-street parking and a fenced yard, adding both privacy and practicality for tenants. Recent updates include a brand new roof less than a year old, offering peace of mind and reducing major maintenance concerns for the new owner. With solid rental potential and desirable featur
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Off-street parking
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total of 4 rental units; Gross annual income reported at $50,700; Operating expenses reported at $9,359 (includes electric, snow removal, water/sewer); Owner pays electricity, grounds care and water; rent includes electricity, gardener and water
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more off-street spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Shingle roof; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Stone foundation; Existing construction
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered porch; Porch; Corner, rectangular residential lot with city street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Units include oven/range and refrigerator; some have a dining area combined with the living room
- Bedrooms: Four total units: one 3-bedroom, one 2-bedroom, and two 1-bedroom units
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Varies by unit
- Bathrooms: Each unit has a full bathroom (4 full bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Hardwood, laminate, luxury vinyl and varied flooring throughout; Partial, walk-up basement with exterior entry
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $608/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $350k).
- Recommended offer: $339k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.89%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $20,813
- Equity at exit
- $52,171
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $118,125
- Equity at exit
- $30,253
Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13207
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$437 /mo · $5,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$966
- Net cashflow
- $1,216
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | — | $4,600 |
| #1 | 4 | — | $2,300 |
| #2 | 4 | — | $2,300 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,600 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,475
- Closing costs
- $10,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-07status Active
-
2026-04-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-13$349,900 Active
-
2025-07-31historical
-
2025-07-15price $365,000
-
2025-06-25$375,000 Active
-
2017-06-14$165,000
-
2017-04-24$199,000
-
2017-03-29historical
-
2017-03-24price $179,000
-
2017-03-17price $199,000
-
2017-03-17$175,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,600
- − Property taxes
- −$5,248
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,416
- − Management
- −$4,416
- − Depreciation
- −$10,179
- Taxable income
- $9,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,302
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- City population
- 152,627
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,383
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 13% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.17%
- Current HPI
- 318.9257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+99.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2026-04-04 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $349,900 CNYIS
- 2025-07-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-07-15 Price Changed $365,000 CNYIS
- 2025-06-25 Listed $375,000 CNYIS
- 2017-06-14 Listed $165,000 GBAOR
- 2017-04-24 Listed $199,000 GBAOR
- 2017-03-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-24 Price Changed $179,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-17 Price Changed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-17 Listed $175,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…