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612 West Seneca Turnpike Ave Duplex
B- Composite 65.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,900

612 West Seneca Turnpike Ave · Syracuse, NY 13207
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 5,531 sqft · MultiFamily · 42 Days on market
Built 1920 10,039 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Amazing investment opportunity! This four-unit multifamily property offers strong income potential with a desirable unit mix of two one-bedroom apartments, one two-bedroom apartment, and one three-bedroom apartment, making it an excellent addition to any investor’s portfolio. Each unit provides comfortable living space with great rental appeal across a variety of tenant needs. The property features convenient off-street parking and a fenced yard, adding both privacy and practicality for tenants. Recent updates include a brand new roof less than a year old, offering peace of mind and reducing major maintenance concerns for the new owner. With solid rental potential and desirable featur

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Off-street parking
  • New roof

Tags

OFF-STREET PARKINGFENCED YARDNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total of 4 rental units; Gross annual income reported at $50,700; Operating expenses reported at $9,359 (includes electric, snow removal, water/sewer); Owner pays electricity, grounds care and water; rent includes electricity, gardener and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Two or more off-street spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; Shingle roof; Resale property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Stone foundation; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered porch; Porch; Corner, rectangular residential lot with city street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Units include oven/range and refrigerator; some have a dining area combined with the living room
  • Bedrooms: Four total units: one 3-bedroom, one 2-bedroom, and two 1-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Varies by unit
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has a full bathroom (4 full bathrooms total)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Hardwood, laminate, luxury vinyl and varied flooring throughout; Partial, walk-up basement with exterior entry
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $608/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $350k).
  • Recommended offer: $339k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $339,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.46%
Cash-on-cash
14.89%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$20,813
Equity at exit
$52,171
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$118,125
Equity at exit
$30,253

Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13207

Home prices YoY
-23.0%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax est. 1.5%
$437 /mo · $5,248/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$966
Net cashflow
$1,216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,061
Max offer price $349,900
Occupancy floor 69%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,600

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,475
Closing costs
$10,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2026-03-13
    listed $349,900 Active
  5. 2025-07-31
    historical
  6. 2025-07-15
    price $365,000
  7. 2025-06-25
    listed $375,000 Active
  8. 2017-06-14
    listed $165,000
  9. 2017-04-24
    listed $199,000
  10. 2017-03-29
    historical
  11. 2017-03-24
    price $179,000
  12. 2017-03-17
    price $199,000
  13. 2017-03-17
    listed $175,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,200
− Mortgage interest
−$19,600
− Property taxes
−$5,248
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,416
− Management
−$4,416
− Depreciation
−$10,179
Taxable income
$9,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,302
After-tax cash flow
$12,289/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
City population
152,627
Population (ZIP)
12,383

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 13% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.17%
Current HPI
318.9257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+99.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2026-04-04 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $349,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-07-31 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-07-15 Price Changed $365,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-06-25 Listed $375,000 CNYIS
  • 2017-06-14 Listed $165,000 GBAOR
  • 2017-04-24 Listed $199,000 GBAOR
  • 2017-03-29 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-24 Price Changed $179,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-17 Price Changed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-17 Listed $175,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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