15 Lindbergh Ave · Barre, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very Clean 2005 single wide on owned land located one half mile from downtown Barre. Home features a nice kitchen and front deck. Great home for a first time home buyer. Just had the interior fully cleaned. Move-in ready!!
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 2005
- Listed 38 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electrical service with circuit breakers; LP (bottle) gas available; Underground utilities; Cable internet available
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Owned land; Green exterior color; Shingle - asphalt roof; Built in 2005
- Construction: Steel frame construction; Vinyl siding; Existing structure
- Exterior features: Country setting; Level to rolling and sloping terrain; Near shopping, skiing, snowmobile trails, public transportation and schools; Located in a neighborhood; Private road frontage (50' road frontage); Gravel driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Combination flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Forced air heating
- Interior features: 4 total rooms; Kitchen/Dining area; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.5% in Barre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#92 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Zoned schools: Barre City Elementary/Middle School (math 20% / reading 33%, grade F, #159 of 192 statewide, top 83%, 784 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 185 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $135k implies a 176% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.70%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,433
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $22,890
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05641
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,501 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,393/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $305
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Granite St Unit 1 Barre, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,750 | $2.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 15 Maple Grove St Unit 3 Barre, VT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $135,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$150,000 Active
-
2026-05-08historical $150,000
-
2018-07-27soldstatus $49,000
-
2018-06-20soldstatus $49,000 Closed 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
Very Clean 2005 single wide on owned land located one half mile from downtown Barre. Home features a nice kitchen and front deck. Great home for a first time home buyer. Just had the interior fully cleaned. Move-in ready!!
-
2018-05-24status Pending 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
Very Clean 2005 single wide on owned land located one half mile from downtown Barre. Home features a nice kitchen and front deck. Great home for a first time home buyer. Just had the interior fully cleaned. Move-in ready!!
-
2018-04-24price $50,000 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
Very Clean 2005 single wide on owned land located one half mile from downtown Barre. Home features a nice kitchen and front deck. Great home for a first time home buyer. Just had the interior fully cleaned. Move-in ready!!
-
2018-01-17$52,000 Active 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
Very Clean 2005 single wide on owned land located one half mile from downtown Barre. Home features a nice kitchen and front deck. Great home for a first time home buyer. Just had the interior fully cleaned. Move-in ready!!
-
2017-09-30price $54,900
-
2017-04-16price $59,000
-
2016-12-01price $69,000
-
2005-08-08soldstatus $59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,393 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,979 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$586/yr (+$49/mo · 42.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,011
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,393
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,441
- − Management
- −$1,441
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,572
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$377
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,288/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Barre
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #19335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Barre, VT
- County
- Washington County · 16,936 people
- City population
- 16,936
- Metro
- Barre, VT
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,936
- Household income
- $76,855
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 588.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,608 people
- By 2030
- 54,731 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 50,227 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 45,893 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 36,818 · -35.0%
- By 2100
- 28,143 · -50.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 7% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.4) · D 70.0% · R 26.6% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.4pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 43.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.4 2020: D+46.1 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+42.2 2008: D+41.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.01%
- Current HPI
- 333.7046
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Barre, VT
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+150.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $150,000 PrimeMLS
- 2026-05-08 Coming Soon $150,000 PrimeMLS
- 2018-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-20 Sold (MLS) $49,000 PrimeMLS
- 2018-05-24 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2018-04-24 Price Changed $50,000 PrimeMLS
- 2018-01-17 Listed $52,000 PrimeMLS
- 2017-09-30 Price Changed $54,900 PrimeMLS
- 2017-04-16 Price Changed $59,000 PrimeMLS
- 2016-12-01 Price Changed $69,000 PrimeMLS
- 2005-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,393 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…