4647 Winter Ave Spc 81 · Altamont, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 38 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 39 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Why wait on finishing touches? This 2024 manufactured home in a park is already move-in ready with a soft, modern color palette and a well-built, insulated feel throughout. Tucked away in a quiet neighborhood, it offers an open living space that flows into a welcoming kitchen featuring a farmhouse sink and a convenient breakfast counter--perfect for casual meals or entertaining. The primary suite is a relaxing retreat with a walk-in closet and a spacious primary bathroom, complete with a large tub/shower combo unit. You'll also appreciate the easy-access laundry room, plus the attached carport and concrete driveway for everyday convenience.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Walk-in closet
- Open living space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.7% in Altamont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#195 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
- Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.14%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,750
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- 35.77%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4647 Winter Ave #78 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (0%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $107 | 98 |
| 4647 Winter Ave #92 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (0%) | 5mo | $123,000 | $105 | 95 |
| 4647 Winter Ave Spc 53 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (0%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $111 | 93 |
| 4647 Winter Ave Spc 65 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-2%) | 6mo | $113,000 | $99 | 91 |
| 4647 Winter Ave Spc 36 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-6%) | 3mo | $86,500 | $79 | 87 |
| 4200 Summers Ln Unit 69 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (+1%) | 0mo | $72,500 | $61 | 63 |
| 5131 Bristol Ave | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+10%) | 2mo | $168,000 | $130 | 60 |
| 3500 Summers Ln Unit 17 | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-8%) | 4mo | $69,500 | $64 | 57 |
| 4200 Summers Ln #52 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+10%) | 1mo | $89,500 | $69 | 53 |
| 4200 Summers Ln Unit 10 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,109 (-6%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $68 | 53 |
| 4200 Summers Ln Unit 23 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,293 (+10%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $73 | 48 |
| 4200 Summers Ln Unit 25 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (+13%) | 7mo | $107,000 | $81 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,514
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $42,445
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97603
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,510 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $703/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4195 Bristol Ct Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3039 Kane St Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,395 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4306 Fargo St Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4519 Cannon Ave Unit 22 Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4519 Cannon Ave Apt 2 Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4831 Darwin Pl Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,475 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4507 Cannon Ave Apt 52 Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2439 Homedale Rd Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2160 Arthur St Unit 5 Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $995 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-13$130,000 Active 648-char remark
Show marketing remark (648 chars)
Why wait on finishing touches? This 2024 manufactured home in a park is already move-in ready with a soft, modern color palette and a well-built, insulated feel throughout. Tucked away in a quiet neighborhood, it offers an open living space that flows into a welcoming kitchen featuring a farmhouse sink and a convenient breakfast counter--perfect for casual meals or entertaining. The primary suite is a relaxing retreat with a walk-in closet and a spacious primary bathroom, complete with a large tub/shower combo unit. You'll also appreciate the easy-access laundry room, plus the attached carport and concrete driveway for everyday convenience.
-
2024-12-31soldstatus $134,900 Closed 964-char remark
Show marketing remark (964 chars)
COMING SOON! Don't miss your chance to own a BRAND NEW home in Klamath Falls' finest manufactured housing community. This 2024 Fleetwood boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 pristine bathrooms, and a well-designed 1173 square feet of living space. The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and an ensuite bath, perfect for your comfort. The open-concept living room and kitchen offer a seamless flow, ideal for modern living. The separate laundry area near the back door adds to the convenience. Enjoy top-of-the-line Whirlpool appliances, including a fridge, oven, and dishwasher, all in a stylish grey and white color scheme. The new LVP flooring throughout the home completes the modern look. This vibrant community includes a recreation area, secure R. V. storage, an onsite manager, and a park office. House pets are welcome with the manager's approval. For more information, visit the park's website. Please note, the actual home may vary slightly from the photos shown.
-
2024-11-19status Pending 964-char remark
Show marketing remark (964 chars)
COMING SOON! Don't miss your chance to own a BRAND NEW home in Klamath Falls' finest manufactured housing community. This 2024 Fleetwood boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 pristine bathrooms, and a well-designed 1173 square feet of living space. The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and an ensuite bath, perfect for your comfort. The open-concept living room and kitchen offer a seamless flow, ideal for modern living. The separate laundry area near the back door adds to the convenience. Enjoy top-of-the-line Whirlpool appliances, including a fridge, oven, and dishwasher, all in a stylish grey and white color scheme. The new LVP flooring throughout the home completes the modern look. This vibrant community includes a recreation area, secure R. V. storage, an onsite manager, and a park office. House pets are welcome with the manager's approval. For more information, visit the park's website. Please note, the actual home may vary slightly from the photos shown.
-
2024-10-07$134,900 Active 964-char remark
Show marketing remark (964 chars)
COMING SOON! Don't miss your chance to own a BRAND NEW home in Klamath Falls' finest manufactured housing community. This 2024 Fleetwood boasts 3 bedrooms, 2 pristine bathrooms, and a well-designed 1173 square feet of living space. The primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and an ensuite bath, perfect for your comfort. The open-concept living room and kitchen offer a seamless flow, ideal for modern living. The separate laundry area near the back door adds to the convenience. Enjoy top-of-the-line Whirlpool appliances, including a fridge, oven, and dishwasher, all in a stylish grey and white color scheme. The new LVP flooring throughout the home completes the modern look. This vibrant community includes a recreation area, secure R. V. storage, an onsite manager, and a park office. House pets are welcome with the manager's approval. For more information, visit the park's website. Please note, the actual home may vary slightly from the photos shown.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $703 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,261 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$558/yr (+$46/mo · 79.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 38 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,125
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$703
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,450
- − Management
- −$1,450
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $2,808
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$674
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home in Altamont, Oregon, offers a modern and well-maintained living space with good curb appeal and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior
- Both window treatments — improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior ↑
- Both window treatments — improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Klamath County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4107020
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,906
- Composite
- 24.83/100
- National rank
- #7593
- State rank
- #46 of 58 in OR
Livability — Altamont
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #12638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altamont, OR
- County
- Klamath County · 56,186 people
- Metro
- Klamath Falls, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,222
- Household income
- $66,937
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1147.0
Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,870 people
- By 2030
- 62,279 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 58,891 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 56,207 · -12.0%
- By 2075
- 51,239 · -19.8%
- By 2100
- 46,526 · -27.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Klamath
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.75%
- Current HPI
- 198.1814
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- Metro
- Klamath Falls, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
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Price history
-3.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $130,000 MLSCO
- 2024-12-31 Sold (MLS) $134,900 MLSCO
- 2024-11-19 Pending — MLSCO
- 2024-10-07 Listed $134,900 MLSCO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…