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531 W Ward Ave
B Composite 72.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

531 W Ward Ave · High Point, NC 27260
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1947 8,712 sqft lot Est $79k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

DUPLEX. Investment opportunity located within High Point’s Southwest Renewal area, an initiative focused on neighborhood revitalization and long-term growth. This location presents potential for investors looking to be part of an area experiencing ongoing improvement and reinvestment. Property is secured/boarded with no interior access, and the interior condition is unknown. Buyer should plan for a full renovation or possible redevelopment. Sold as-is, this property offers the chance to reimagine and add value in a developing area. Cash purchase required. Ideal for investors or builders ready to take on their next project. Property will be conveyed by trustee's deed. This and 6 other

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association; Located in High Point area

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water supply; Public sewer; No water heater listed
  • Home design: Residential single-family house; Stick/site built construction; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1947; Asbestos construction materials; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot approximately 0.2 acre; Publicly maintained road access; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling listed
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.0% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#31 in NC, #3,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, employment D.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $75k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.33%
Cash-on-cash
21.56%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$79,184
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1202 S Elm St 0.17mi 2/1.0 840 (+7%) 2mo $76,000 $90 78
709 Langford Ave 0.34mi 2/1.0 840 (+7%) 19mo $61,500 $73 57
1616 Fowler Pl 0.55mi 1/1.0 (-1) 735 (-6%) 14mo $77,000 $105 47
1100 Textile Pl 0.40mi 1/1.0 (-1) 692 (-12%) 22mo $70,000 $101 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$12,548
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$44,660
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27260

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,063 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $458/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$377

Break-even live

Break-even rent $586
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1009 Cassell St High Point, NC 3.0 1.0 975 $1,050 $1.08 23d 1 0.06mi
820 Mobile St Unit A High Point, NC 2.0 2.0 550 $995 $1.81 21d 1 0.12mi
709 Langford Ave High Point, NC 2.0 1.0 840 $1,200 $1.43 14d 1 0.32mi
304 Ardale Dr Unit 1B High Point, NC 2.0 2.5 1000 $1,050 $1.05 23d 1 1.18mi
310 Ardale Dr Unit 1B High Point, NC 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 23d 1 1.22mi
312 Ardale Dr High Point, NC 2.0 2.5–3.0 1024 $1,050 $1.03 23d 2 1.22mi
314 Ardale Dr High Point, NC 2.0 2.0–3.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 23d 3 1.24mi
2004 Edgewood Dr High Point, NC 3.0 1.0 962 $1,350 $1.40 23d 1 1.26mi
1235 Franklin Ave High Point, NC 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 23d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $75,000 Active
  3. 1986-03-01
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$458 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$615 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$157/yr (+$13/mo · 34.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,760
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$458
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,021
− Management
−$1,021
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,502
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$841
After-tax cash flow
$3,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — High Point

Score
77/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#3084

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
High Point, NC
County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
102,450
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
25,299
Household income
$42,308
Rent vs Own
57.5% rent · 42.5% own
Severe rent burden
1005.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% Hispanic / Latino 20% White 15% Asian 10% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.22%
Current HPI
159.2101
Rent YoY
▲ 3.64%
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $75,000 Triad MLS
  • 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $458 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…