Triplex
81 Chambers St · Waterbury, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$579,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Turn key multi-family fully occupied. Newer mechanical s - Off street parking and a 3 bay garage. This will not last - schedule your showing with me asap.
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Three family home
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Assessed value available
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; 3 total parking spaces; 3-car garage (detached)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas hot water; Natural gas heating fuel
- Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
- Construction: Stone foundation; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Other construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Private driveway
Interior
- Bedrooms: 9 total bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: 15 total rooms; Full unfinished basement; Walk-up attic
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $579k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $34/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $546k (5.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $546k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.5% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
- Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: B. W. Tinker School (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #470 of 553 statewide, top 85%, 567 students, 69% FRL); West Side Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #165 of 175 statewide, top 94%, 817 students, 81% FRL); John F. Kennedy High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #147 of 194 statewide, top 78%, 1,297 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.8%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,458/mo this rent would consume 97% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1276% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $250k; list at $579k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.76%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $441,564
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Draher St | 0.14mi | 9/3.0 | 3,699 (+4%) | 12mo | $425,000 | $115 | 77 |
| 131 Sunnyside Ave | 0.15mi | 9/3.0 | 3,420 (-4%) | 23mo | $425,000 | $124 | 67 |
| 83 Vernon St | 0.45mi | 9/3.0 | 3,753 (+5%) | 8mo | $520,000 | $139 | 64 |
| 576 Highland Ave | 0.33mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,090 (-13%) | 2mo | $438,000 | $142 | 55 |
| 430 Washington Ave | 0.33mi | 10/4.0 (+1) | 3,209 (-10%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $109 | 54 |
| 929 Bank St | 0.45mi | 9/3.0 | 3,834 (+8%) | 22mo | $420,000 | $110 | 48 |
| 63 W Liberty St | 0.71mi | 9/4.0 | 3,250 (-9%) | 1mo | $590,000 | $182 | 48 |
| 13 Summit St | 0.41mi | 9/4.0 | 3,814 (+7%) | 22mo | $395,000 | $104 | 47 |
| 29 James St | 0.33mi | 9/3.0 | 3,102 (-13%) | 20mo | $335,000 | $108 | 47 |
| 155 Congress Ave | 0.40mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,228 (-9%) | 17mo | $390,000 | $121 | 46 |
| 684 Wilson St | 0.59mi | 9/3.0 | 3,924 (+10%) | 15mo | $500,000 | $127 | 43 |
| 79 Royal Oak Dr | 0.71mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 3,922 (+10%) | 20mo | $575,000 | $147 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-58,189
- Equity at exit
- $86,331
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $89,937
- Equity at exit
- $50,061
Cash invested: $162,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06708
- Rents YoY
- 9.8%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 26.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,458 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,036
- Tax from tax record
- −$931 /mo · $11,171/yr
- Insurance
- −$241
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,146
- Net cashflow
- $103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $431 | -5% $267 | +0% $103 | +5% $-61 | +10% $-224 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-328 | -5% $-112 | +0% $103 | +5% $319 | +10% $534 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $395 | -0.5pp $251 | base $103 | +0.5pp $-47 | +1.0pp $-199 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $5,457 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,819 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,819 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $1,819 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,458 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $144,750
- Closing costs
- $17,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Coe St Waterbury, CT | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3240 | $1,800 | $0.56 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $579,000 Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $579,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $579,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$579,000 Active
-
2026-05-19historical
-
2026-03-22status Under Contract
-
2026-03-12price $609,000
-
2026-03-12status Active
-
2026-03-05status Under Contract
-
2026-02-23$599,900 Active
-
2019-06-06soldstatus $249,500
-
2019-06-03soldstatus $240,000 Closed 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Turn key multi-family fully occupied. Newer mechanical s - Off street parking and a 3 bay garage. This will not last - schedule your showing with me asap.
-
2019-04-13historical 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Turn key multi-family fully occupied. Newer mechanical s - Off street parking and a 3 bay garage. This will not last - schedule your showing with me asap.
-
2019-02-27historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Turn key multi-family fully occupied. Newer mechanical s - Off street parking and a 3 bay garage. This will not last - schedule your showing with me asap.
-
2019-01-16price $254,900 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Turn key multi-family fully occupied. Newer mechanical s - Off street parking and a 3 bay garage. This will not last - schedule your showing with me asap.
-
2018-11-21price $264,900 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Turn key multi-family fully occupied. Newer mechanical s - Off street parking and a 3 bay garage. This will not last - schedule your showing with me asap.
-
2018-10-19$269,900 Active 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
Turn key multi-family fully occupied. Newer mechanical s - Off street parking and a 3 bay garage. This will not last - schedule your showing with me asap.
-
2007-03-30soldstatus $245,000
-
2007-03-30soldstatus $245,000
-
2006-09-21$259,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,171 · $931/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,781 · $982/mo
- Expected delta
- +$610/yr (+$51/mo · 5.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $65,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$32,433
- − Property taxes
- −$11,171
- − Insurance
- −$2,895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,240
- − Management
- −$5,240
- − Depreciation
- −$16,844
- Taxable loss
- −$8,326
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,998
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,238/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterbury School District
- NCES district ID
- 0904830
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,040
- Composite
- 14.85/100
- National rank
- #9380
- State rank
- #148 of 153 in CT
Livability — Waterbury
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #2205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterbury, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 115,012
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,594
- Household income
- $67,364
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1276.0
Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 496,846
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 17% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Russian 2% Estonian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -297.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.1446
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.75%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+122.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $579,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-19 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-22 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $609,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-05 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $599,900 Smart MLS
- 2019-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $249,500 Public Records
- 2019-06-03 Sold (MLS) $240,000 Smart MLS
- 2019-04-13 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2019-02-27 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2019-01-16 Price Changed $254,900 Smart MLS
- 2018-11-21 Price Changed $264,900 Smart MLS
- 2018-10-19 Listed $269,900 Smart MLS
- 2007-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-30 Sold (MLS) $245,000 Smart MLS
- 2006-09-21 Listed $259,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2023): $11,171 · +71.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…