20059 Manecke Rd · North Brooksville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$73,217
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors!! Cash only offers on this 2 bedroom 1 bath property in need of complete rehab. Conveniently located near downtown Brooksville. Owner is willing to make a trade for the right property.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1970
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as unfurnished; Zoned residential (RESI)
- Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: No HOA/association indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces south; Fixer condition
- Construction: Block construction; Metal roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built area reported as 1,386 total building square feet
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.34 acres (about 0.25–0.5 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Concrete
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Space heater; Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units; Other heating; No central heating
- Interior features: High ceilings; Concrete flooring
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hook-ups/features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $71k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 2.6% in North Brooksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#661 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $506 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $73k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.84%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,742
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20055 Ruth St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+4%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $84 | 82 |
| 20099 Oakdale Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (-4%) | 8mo | $176,000 | $229 | 69 |
| 20098 Wildwood Dr | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-4%) | 18mo | $136,000 | $177 | 62 |
| 717 Whiteway Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (+1%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $279 | 62 |
| 19455 Fort Dade Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-4%) | 12mo | $212,000 | $276 | 60 |
| 510 East Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+11%) | 16mo | $70,000 | $79 | 56 |
| 9157 West St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-10%) | 18mo | $165,000 | $229 | 48 |
| 327 Palm Ln | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 708 (-11%) | 16mo | $213,800 | $302 | 46 |
| 322 Highland St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+12%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $212 | 42 |
| 9025 Gronde Ave | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-10%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $229 | 39 |
| 9050 West St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 876 (+10%) | 17mo | $143,000 | $163 | 39 |
| 416 Zoller St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+8%) | 22mo | $194,000 | $225 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $10,857
- Equity at exit
- $10,917
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $30,378
- Equity at exit
- $6,330
Cash invested: $20,501 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34601
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,181 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$384
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $407
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $449 | -5% $428 | +0% $407 | +5% $387 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $314 | -5% $361 | +0% $407 | +5% $454 | +10% $501 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $444 | -0.5pp $426 | base $407 | +0.5pp $388 | +1.0pp $369 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,304
- Closing costs
- $2,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20004 Suncrest Dr Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 757 | $1,095 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 925 Ponce de Leon Blvd Brooksville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,136 | $1.62 | 24d | 5 | 0.28mi |
| 614 W Fort Dade Ave Brooksville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $925 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 460 Hale Ave Brooksville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,225 | $1.60 | 5d | 2 | 1.18mi |
| 208 Oakwood Dr Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1108 | $1,450 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7781 Crystal Brook Cir Brooksville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,463 | $1.40 | 3d | 8 | 1.36mi |
| 965 Candlelight Blvd Brooksville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $1,335 | $1.85 | 3d | 10 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $73,217 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $73,217 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $73,217 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $73,217 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $73,217 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $73,217 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $73,217 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $73,217 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $73,217 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,004 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,004 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,004 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,004 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,004 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $84,004
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2026-05-06$97,006 Active
-
2018-12-28soldstatus $33,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Calling all investors!! Cash only offers on this 2 bedroom 1 bath property in need of complete rehab. Conveniently located near downtown Brooksville. Owner is willing to make a trade for the right property.
-
2018-12-28soldstatus $33,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Calling all investors!! Cash only offers on this 2 bedroom 1 bath property in need of complete rehab. Conveniently located near downtown Brooksville. Owner is willing to make a trade for the right property.
-
2018-12-27soldstatus $33,000
-
2018-09-26$33,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Calling all investors!! Cash only offers on this 2 bedroom 1 bath property in need of complete rehab. Conveniently located near downtown Brooksville. Owner is willing to make a trade for the right property.
-
2018-09-26$33,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Calling all investors!! Cash only offers on this 2 bedroom 1 bath property in need of complete rehab. Conveniently located near downtown Brooksville. Owner is willing to make a trade for the right property.
-
2018-09-26$33,000
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Calling all investors!! Cash only offers on this 2 bedroom 1 bath property in need of complete rehab. Conveniently located near downtown Brooksville. Owner is willing to make a trade for the right property.
-
2018-07-27soldstatus $22,100
-
2014-12-18historical
-
2014-09-15$22,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,335 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,335 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,101
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$366
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,134
- − Management
- −$1,134
- − Depreciation
- −$2,130
- Taxable income
- $3,972
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$953
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Brooksville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #661
- US rank
- #13315
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Brooksville, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- City population
- 23,648
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,115
- Household income
- $60,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 664.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.68%
- Current HPI
- 313.4695
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+273.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $84,004 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed $97,006 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-28 Sold (MLS) $33,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2018-12-28 Sold (MLS) $33,000 HCAR
- 2018-12-27 Sold (MLS) $33,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-26 Listed $33,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-26 Listed $33,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2018-09-26 Listed $33,000 HCAR
- 2018-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $22,100 Public Records
- 2014-12-18 Listing Removed — HCAR
- 2014-09-15 Listed $22,500 HCAR
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,335 · -6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…