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202 Rowley St
B Composite 74.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$78,000

202 Rowley St · Gouverneur, NY 13642
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,569 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 234 Days on market
Built 1877 0.28 ac lot $50/sqft · 57% below area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1877

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.4% in Gouverneur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#605 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gouverneur Central School District (town): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #582 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
10.15%
Cash-on-cash
13.78%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,850
List price
$78,000
Delta
-56.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
90 Cambray St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,468 (-6%) 1mo $200,000 $136 65
48 Valley Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,584 (+1%) 22mo $172,250 $109 65
66 N Gordon St 0.48mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,486 (-5%) 8mo $116,000 $78 53
25 Waid St 0.18mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+15%) 9mo $174,000 $97 50
24 Dorwin St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,430 (-9%) 7mo $79,900 $56 48
14 Caroline St 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,778 (+13%) 6mo $79,500 $45 48
34 Rock Is 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,800 (+15%) 15mo $22,000 $12 40
85 Depot St 0.49mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,386 (-12%) 23mo $21,500 $16 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$39,736
Equity at exit
$50,277
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
5.77×
Total profit
$104,224
Equity at exit
$92,266

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13642

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,252/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $796
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Sleepy Hollow Rd Gouverneur, NY 3.0 2.0 1499 $1,114 $0.74 43d 3 0.65mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,000 Active 234 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,000 Active 233 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,000 Active 232 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,000 Active 231 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,000 Active 229 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $78,000 Active 228 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 225 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,000 Active 224 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 223 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 222 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $78,000 Active 219 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 218 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 217 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 216 DOM
  15. 2026-03-24
    price $87,000 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.

  16. 2026-01-06
    price $89,000 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.

  17. 2025-10-28
    listed $92,000 Active 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,252 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,252 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,368
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$2,252
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$1,949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$468
After-tax cash flow
$2,542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gouverneur Central School District
NCES district ID
3612360
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$41,217
Composite
24.08/100
National rank
#7757
State rank
#582 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gouverneur

Score
67/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#10956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gouverneur, NY
Population (ZIP)
9,018

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.25%
Current HPI
349.6603
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $87,000 SLCMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $89,000 SLCMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $92,000 SLCMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,252 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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