202 Rowley St · Gouverneur, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1877
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.4% in Gouverneur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#605 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Gouverneur Central School District (town): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #582 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.78%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,850
- List price
- $78,000
- Delta
- -56.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Cambray St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,468 (-6%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $136 | 65 |
| 48 Valley Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,584 (+1%) | 22mo | $172,250 | $109 | 65 |
| 66 N Gordon St | 0.48mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,486 (-5%) | 8mo | $116,000 | $78 | 53 |
| 25 Waid St | 0.18mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+15%) | 9mo | $174,000 | $97 | 50 |
| 24 Dorwin St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,430 (-9%) | 7mo | $79,900 | $56 | 48 |
| 14 Caroline St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,778 (+13%) | 6mo | $79,500 | $45 | 48 |
| 34 Rock Is | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+15%) | 15mo | $22,000 | $12 | 40 |
| 85 Depot St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,386 (-12%) | 23mo | $21,500 | $16 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $39,736
- Equity at exit
- $50,277
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.77×
- Total profit
- $104,224
- Equity at exit
- $92,266
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13642
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,252/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Sleepy Hollow Rd Gouverneur, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $1,114 | $0.74 | 43d | 3 | 0.65mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $78,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $78,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $87,000 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.
-
2026-01-06price $89,000 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.
-
2025-10-28$92,000 Active 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,252 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,252 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$2,252
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,069
- − Management
- −$1,069
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $1,949
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$468
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,542/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gouverneur Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612360
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,217
- Composite
- 24.08/100
- National rank
- #7757
- State rank
- #582 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gouverneur
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #605
- US rank
- #10956
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gouverneur, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,018
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.25%
- Current HPI
- 349.6603
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-5.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $87,000 SLCMLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $89,000 SLCMLS
- 2025-10-28 Listed $92,000 SLCMLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,252 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…