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202 Rowley St
B+ Composite 78.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$65,000

202 Rowley St · Gouverneur, NY 13642
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,569 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 289 Days on market
Built 1877 Fair condition 0.28 ac lot $41/sqft · 64% below area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1877

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 7.0% in Gouverneur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#605 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Gouverneur Central School District (town): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #582 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Gouverneur Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,923 of 2,108 statewide, top 92%, 506 students, 62% FRL); Gouverneur Middle School (math 12% / reading 34%, grade F, #646 of 729 statewide, top 89%, 472 students, 68% FRL); Gouverneur High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 467 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 46% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gouverneur Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 289 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 289 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.36%
Cap rate
18.41%
Cash-on-cash
43.27%
DSCR
2.93
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,876
List price
$65,000
Delta
-61.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
90 Cambray St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,468 (-6%) 4mo $200,000 $136 62
66 N Gordon St 0.48mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,486 (-5%) 11mo $116,000 $78 50
25 Waid St 0.18mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+15%) 12mo $174,000 $97 48
14 Caroline St 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,778 (+13%) 10mo $79,500 $45 45
24 Dorwin St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,430 (-9%) 10mo $79,900 $56 45
34 Rock Is 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,800 (+15%) 18mo $22,000 $12 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.1%
Equity multiple
4.39×
Total profit
$61,623
Equity at exit
$41,897
10-year hold
IRR
49.7%
Equity multiple
9.16×
Total profit
$148,467
Equity at exit
$76,889

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
5 active · 6 under contract
Months of supply
10.0 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$194,900 ($100/sqft)
Median days on market
94 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+16.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 13642

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,534 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,252/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$656

Break-even live

Break-even rent $703
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $693 -5% $675 +0% $656 +5% $638 +10% $619
Rent -10% $535 -5% $596 +0% $656 +5% $717 +10% $777
Rate -1.0pp $689 -0.5pp $673 base $656 +0.5pp $639 +1.0pp $622

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $65,000 Active 289 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    pricedays on market $65,000 Active 288 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 286 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $70,000 Active 285 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 283 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 282 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 281 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 280 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 279 DOM
  10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 278 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 277 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $70,000 Active 276 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 270 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $70,000 Active 269 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 268 DOM
  16. 2026-09-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 267 DOM
  17. 2026-08-29
    days on market $70,000 Active 263 DOM
  18. 2026-08-28
    days on market $70,000 Active 262 DOM
  19. 2026-08-27
    days on market $70,000 Active 261 DOM
  20. 2026-08-26
    days on market $70,000 Active 260 DOM
  21. 2026-08-25
    pricestatusdays on market $70,000 Active 259 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    status $78,000 Pending 258 DOM
  23. 2026-07-12
    days on market $78,000 Active 258 DOM
  24. 2026-07-12
    days on market $78,000 Active 257 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $78,000 Active 256 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 255 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 253 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $78,000 Active 252 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $78,000 Active 251 DOM
  30. 2026-07-05
    days on market $78,000 Active 250 DOM
  31. 2026-07-03
    days on market $78,000 Active 249 DOM
  32. 2026-07-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 248 DOM
  33. 2026-07-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 247 DOM
  34. 2026-06-30
    days on market $78,000 Active 246 DOM
  35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $78,000 Active 245 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $78,000 Active 244 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $78,000 Active 243 DOM
  38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $78,000 Active 242 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $78,000 Active 238 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $78,000 Active 237 DOM
  41. 2026-06-21
    days on market $78,000 Active 236 DOM
  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,000 Active 234 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,000 Active 233 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,000 Active 232 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,000 Active 231 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,000 Active 229 DOM
  47. 2026-06-12
    days on market $78,000 Active 228 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 225 DOM
  49. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,000 Active 224 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 223 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,252 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,252 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,408
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$2,252
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,473
− Management
−$1,473
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,765
After-tax cash flow
$6,110/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $39,225–$70,605 screening

This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for attention include the exterior siding, roof, and landscaping.

Components & finishes AI

Roof asphalt shingle · good Flooring carpet

Deferred maintenance Est. $3,000–$12,000 screening

  • Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Other — No visible signs of damage or wear

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate siding — Weathered and discolored
  • Moderate roof — Aged appearance
  • Minor landscaping — Needs trimming
  • Minor fencing — Aged appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both replace flooring — Improves living space and rental appeal
  • Both paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and resale value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 43/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Gouverneur Elementary School F NY #1,923/2,108 Nat'l #32,000/41,679 Middle Gouverneur Middle School F NY #646/729 Nat'l #11,007/14,009 High Gouverneur High School A NY #409/1,100 Nat'l #817/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gouverneur Central School District
NCES district ID
3612360
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$41,217
Composite
24.08/100
National rank
#7757
State rank
#582 of 590 in NY
C Composite livability gradescore 67/100

Livability — Gouverneur

Score
67/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#10956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gouverneur, NY
County
St. Lawrence · 110,027 people
Population (ZIP)
9,018
Household income
$47,452
Rent vs Own
30.0% rent · 70.0% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-5.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $87,000 SLCMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $89,000 SLCMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $92,000 SLCMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,252 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…