202 Rowley St · Gouverneur, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
202 Rowley Street located in the village of Gouverneur has been a family home full of memories for many years. Now its time for another family to make it yours. The home has 4 upstairs bedrooms and one and a half bath, and there is an eat in kitchen, dining room and a bonus room/den. The home heats with natural gas and has public water and sewer. Come and check into this home. It has great bones and just could use some updates.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1877
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 7.0% in Gouverneur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#605 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gouverneur Central School District (town): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #582 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Gouverneur Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,923 of 2,108 statewide, top 92%, 506 students, 62% FRL); Gouverneur Middle School (math 12% / reading 34%, grade F, #646 of 729 statewide, top 89%, 472 students, 68% FRL); Gouverneur High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 467 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 46% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gouverneur Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 289 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 289 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.27%
- DSCR
- 2.93
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,876
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -61.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Cambray St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,468 (-6%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $136 | 62 |
| 66 N Gordon St | 0.48mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,486 (-5%) | 11mo | $116,000 | $78 | 50 |
| 25 Waid St | 0.18mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+15%) | 12mo | $174,000 | $97 | 48 |
| 14 Caroline St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,778 (+13%) | 10mo | $79,500 | $45 | 45 |
| 24 Dorwin St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,430 (-9%) | 10mo | $79,900 | $56 | 45 |
| 34 Rock Is | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+15%) | 18mo | $22,000 | $12 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.39×
- Total profit
- $61,623
- Equity at exit
- $41,897
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.16×
- Total profit
- $148,467
- Equity at exit
- $76,889
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.0 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $194,900 ($100/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 94 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +16.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 13642
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,534 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,252/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $693 | -5% $675 | +0% $656 | +5% $638 | +10% $619 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $535 | -5% $596 | +0% $656 | +5% $717 | +10% $777 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $689 | -0.5pp $673 | base $656 | +0.5pp $639 | +1.0pp $622 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $65,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-09-23pricedays on market $65,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $70,000 Active 286 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $70,000 Active 285 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $70,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $70,000 Active 282 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $70,000 Active 281 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $70,000 Active 280 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $70,000 Active 279 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $70,000 Active 278 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $70,000 Active 277 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $70,000 Active 276 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $70,000 Active 270 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $70,000 Active 269 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $70,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $70,000 Active 267 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $70,000 Active 263 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $70,000 Active 262 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $70,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $70,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-08-25pricestatusdays on market $70,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-07-13status $78,000 Pending 258 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $78,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $78,000 Active 257 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $78,000 Active 256 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $78,000 Active 255 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $78,000 Active 253 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $78,000 Active 252 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $78,000 Active 251 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $78,000 Active 250 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $78,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $78,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $78,000 Active 247 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $78,000 Active 246 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $78,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $78,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $78,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $78,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $78,000 Active 238 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $78,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $78,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 233 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 232 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $78,000 Active 228 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 223 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,252 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,252 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,408
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$2,252
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,473
- − Management
- −$1,473
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $7,353
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,765
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,110/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for attention include the exterior siding, roof, and landscaping.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $3,000–$12,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Other — No visible signs of damage or wear
Repairs flagged
- Moderate siding — Weathered and discolored
- Moderate roof — Aged appearance
- Minor landscaping — Needs trimming
- Minor fencing — Aged appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both replace flooring — Improves living space and rental appeal ↑
- Both paint interior walls — Enhances interior appearance and resale value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gouverneur Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612360
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,217
- Composite
- 24.08/100
- National rank
- #7757
- State rank
- #582 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gouverneur
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #605
- US rank
- #10956
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gouverneur, NY
- County
- St. Lawrence · 110,027 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,018
- Household income
- $47,452
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.25%
- Current HPI
- 349.6603
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-5.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $87,000 SLCMLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $89,000 SLCMLS
- 2025-10-28 Listed $92,000 SLCMLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,252 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…