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10110 Forum West Dr #633
C+ Composite 62.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +0.8/5.0

$42,000

10110 Forum West Dr #633 · Houston, TX 77036
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 713 sqft · Condo public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1981 $59/sqft · 23% below area Est $54k · 23% under $300/mo HOA · 36% of rent ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • $300 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1981

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Managed by RANDALL MANAGMENT; Monthly association fee of $300 covering water, sewer, and trash; Community pool

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story residential property; Built in 1981; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Composition roof; Built in 1981; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Brick and wood siding exterior

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (12 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $42k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-384/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $36k (13.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($842 rent vs $42k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Alief ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #717 of 826 in TX (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Olle Middle (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,301 of 1,662 statewide, top 79%, 1,067 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 74% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-6.6%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $307 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 36% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,345 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.52%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$54,415
List price
$42,000
Delta
-22.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.73% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-6,895
Equity at exit
$10,683
10-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-13,144
Equity at exit
$11,689

Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77036

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Rents YoY
-6.6%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$842 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$220
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,118/yr
Insurance
$18
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$300
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$-32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $883
Max offer price $36,345
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,500
Closing costs
$1,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10107 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 550 $770 $1.40 43d 1 0.21mi
10107 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 550 $770 $1.40 22d 1 0.21mi
10286 Forum West Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 553 $830 $1.50 18d 1 0.26mi
10286 Forum West Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 553 $830 $1.50 43d 1 0.26mi
10101 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $859 $1.04 2d 21 0.26mi
9898 Forum Park Dr Unit 6406 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 43d 1 0.28mi
10009 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 543 $819 $1.51 43d 1 0.32mi
10009 Forum Park Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 543 $819 $1.51 22d 1 0.32mi
10101 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 809 $850 $1.05 43d 1 0.33mi
10225 Bissonnet St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 992 $795 $0.80 2d 49 0.38mi
13 South Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 588 $894 $1.52 43d 1 0.53mi
9502 Woodfair Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 711 $640 $0.90 3d 31 0.62mi
9502 Woodfair Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 636 $640 $1.01 43d 31 0.62mi
10440 South Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 773 $965 $1.25 1d 27 0.63mi
9430 Concourse Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 719 $842 $1.17 12d 1 0.76mi
9445 Concourse Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 715 $603 $0.84 1d 21 0.76mi
9475 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $773 $1.07 5d 18 0.79mi
14 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 619 $779 $1.26 22d 1 0.83mi
14 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 619 $779 $1.26 43d 1 0.83mi
9303 Woodfair Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 791 $795 $1.01 43d 42 0.87mi
10300 S Wilcrest Dr Unit 10351 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 650 $733 $1.13 12d 1 0.94mi
10300 S Wilcrest Dr Unit 10374 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 650 $741 $1.14 2d 1 0.94mi
10300 S Wilcrest Dr Unit 10374 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 650 $779 $1.20 12d 1 0.94mi
10411 South Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 757 $899 $1.19 43d 1 0.95mi
9907 Club Creek Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 510 $795 $1.56 43d 1 0.97mi
9907 Club Creek Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 510 $795 $1.56 22d 1 0.97mi
9901 Club Creek Dr Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 855 $645 $0.75 1d 13 0.99mi
9255 W Sam Houston Pkwy S Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $1,049 $1.40 43d 1 1.12mi
8600 S Course Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 706 $675 $0.96 1d 31 1.15mi
10000 Club Creek Dr Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 670 $808 $1.20 10d 1 1.20mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 10934 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 673 $1,303 $1.94 10d 1 1.20mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 1162 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 673 $1,264 $1.88 5d 1 1.20mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 10940 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 673 $1,299 $1.93 12d 1 1.20mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 324 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 673 $1,264 $1.88 7d 1 1.20mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Unit 1112 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 673 $1,261 $1.87 2d 1 1.20mi
10919 Stancliff Rd Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 673 $1,253 $1.86 12d 1 1.21mi
9001 S Braeswood Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 739 $604 $0.82 1d 26 1.22mi
9001 S Braeswood Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 739 $728 $0.99 43d 26 1.22mi
10256 Lands End Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 659 $929 $1.41 43d 1 1.29mi
10250 Lands End Dr Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 750 $1,089 $1.45 24d 16 1.33mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$300 · $3,600/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $42,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $42,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $42,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $42,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $42,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $42,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $42,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $42,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $42,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-06
    listed $42,000 Active 673-char remark
  15. 2026-04-29
    historical $42,000 673-char remark
  16. 2025-11-28
    historical
  17. 2025-06-19
    listed $67,500 Active
  18. 2025-05-22
    historical
  19. 2024-12-15
    listed $70,000 Active
  20. 2024-11-23
    historical
  21. 2024-10-02
    listed $70,000 Active
  22. 2015-02-25
    soldstatus
  23. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,118 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,118 · $93/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,107
− Mortgage interest
−$2,353
− Property taxes
−$1,118
− Insurance
−$1,008
− Repairs & maintenance
−$809
− Management
−$809
− HOA
−$3,600
− Depreciation
−$1,222
Taxable loss
−$810
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$194
After-tax cash flow
$-190/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alief ISD
NCES district ID
4807830
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$37,775
Composite
21.29/100
National rank
#8391
State rank
#717 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
71,770
Household income
$45,716
Rent vs Own
82.3% rent · 17.7% own
Severe rent burden
4374.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 28% Black 11% Asian 9% White 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 33% Cuban 3%
Foreign-born
55% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
20% English-only · Spanish 66% Chinese 5% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.73%
Current HPI
221.1045
Rent YoY
▼ -6.62%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $42,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $42,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-28 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Listed $67,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-22 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-12-15 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-11-23 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-10-02 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
  • 2015-02-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+11.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,118 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…