724 Dennison Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great rental property. Some things are still being fixed. (minor) Previous tenants paid 1,000 a month. Affordable home. Roof is 4 years old, within the last two years all water lines inside the home were replaces, water heater is newer as well.
Key facts
- Water lines replaced
- Roof is 4 years old
- 3,572 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: River'S Edge Montessori Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,193 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 494 students, 0% FRL); Wogaman Middle School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #645 of 654 statewide, top 99%, 364 students, 0% FRL); Belmont High School (math 5% / reading 20%, grade F, #720 of 781 statewide, top 93%, 1,100 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 260 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $80k implies a 1041% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 260 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.47%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,787
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 33.64%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2320 Germantown St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+7%) | 7mo | $36,800 | $44 | 70 |
| 925 Haller Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 730 (-6%) | 14mo | $91,337 | $125 | 66 |
| 809 Dennison Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 872 (+12%) | 8mo | $62,500 | $72 | 65 |
| 1443 Tampa Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+5%) | 2mo | $81,000 | $99 | 56 |
| 56 Lorenz Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 792 (+2%) | 3mo | $142,000 | $179 | 53 |
| 50 Gramont Ave | 0.74mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 804 (+3%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $143 | 49 |
| 708 Ethel Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+11%) | 18mo | $80,000 | $93 | 48 |
| 1306 Danner Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+15%) | 8mo | $37,000 | $41 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $5,269
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $31,047
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $974 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $572/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $315 | -5% $292 | +0% $270 | +5% $247 | +10% $225 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $193 | -5% $231 | +0% $270 | +5% $308 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $310 | -0.5pp $290 | base $270 | +0.5pp $249 | +1.0pp $228 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 673 Randolph St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $950 | $1.20 | 46d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 652 Dennison Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,095 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2240 Lakeview Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,025 | $0.97 | 46d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 5 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 9 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $700 | $0.76 | 46d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2525 Germantown St Unit A Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $700 | $1.08 | 46d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2525 Germantown St Unit C Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1272 Clement Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1515 W Stewart St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 46d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 41 N Marion St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $925 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $900 | $1.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $910 | $1.07 | 46d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 322 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $850 | $1.34 | 46d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 5d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 46d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 725 Maplehurst Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 46d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3627 Delphos Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $625 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3939 Nicholas Rd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,200 | $1.32 | 46d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 3964 Nicholas Rd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,000 | $1.10 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 635 Anna St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 16d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $79,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2025-10-04$79,900 Active 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Great rental property. Some things are still being fixed. (minor) Previous tenants paid 1,000 a month. Affordable home. Roof is 4 years old, within the last two years all water lines inside the home were replaces, water heater is newer as well.
-
1986-02-13soldstatus $7,000
-
1982-12-30soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $909 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$337/yr (+$28/mo · 58.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,693
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$572
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$935
- − Management
- −$935
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,050
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$492
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,746/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+514.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-04 Listed $79,900 Dayton MLS
- 1986-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
- 1982-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $572 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…