28 Martin St · Massena, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CUTE BUNGALOW with 2 car garage located in the village. Lot has a deep back yard for entertaining or gardening. Entering through the front door, you flow from livingroom, diningroom, into kitchen. Bedrooms are off to the side, with a first floor laundry room before entering bathroom. This home comes with a security system. Located close to amenities on a quiet street. Contact an agent for your showing soon!
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Deep back yard
- Security system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($966 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.2% in Massena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#330 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, commute F.
- Massena Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #456 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J William Leary Junior High School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #504 of 729 statewide, top 70%, 368 students, 61% FRL); Massena Senior High School (math 87% / reading 75%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 826 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.68%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,360
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -36.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Orchard Rd | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (0%) | 2mo | $127,000 | $141 | 96 |
| 3 Judith St | 0.25mi | 2/3.0 | 960 (+7%) | 6mo | $158,100 | $165 | 64 |
| 35 Roosevelt St | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 1,000 (+11%) | 3mo | $74,675 | $75 | 64 |
| 139 Beach St | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 1,000 (+11%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $90 | 61 |
| 15 Monroe Pkwy | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 858 (-5%) | 10mo | $82,000 | $96 | 61 |
| 96 Stoughton Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 998 (+11%) | 2mo | $119,000 | $119 | 59 |
| 72 Beach St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 792 (-12%) | 5mo | $121,900 | $154 | 58 |
| 64 Roosevelt St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (-5%) | 17mo | $83,740 | $98 | 58 |
| 28 Marie St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+11%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $85 | 54 |
| 9 West Ave | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+11%) | 2mo | $133,000 | $133 | 52 |
| 79 Ober St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 955 (+6%) | 14mo | $64,500 | $68 | 51 |
| 80 Chase St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (+13%) | 12mo | $32,000 | $31 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-4,607
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $5,944
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13662
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $966 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,668/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $159 | -5% $138 | +0% $117 | +5% $96 | +10% $74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $40 | -5% $79 | +0% $117 | +5% $155 | +10% $193 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $154 | -0.5pp $136 | base $117 | +0.5pp $97 | +1.0pp $78 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-18price $74,900 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
CUTE BUNGALOW with 2 car garage located in the village. Lot has a deep back yard for entertaining or gardening. Entering through the front door, you flow from livingroom, diningroom, into kitchen. Bedrooms are off to the side, with a first floor laundry room before entering bathroom. This home comes with a security system. Located close to amenities on a quiet street. Contact an agent for your showing soon!
-
2026-04-14$79,900 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
CUTE BUNGALOW with 2 car garage located in the village. Lot has a deep back yard for entertaining or gardening. Entering through the front door, you flow from livingroom, diningroom, into kitchen. Bedrooms are off to the side, with a first floor laundry room before entering bathroom. This home comes with a security system. Located close to amenities on a quiet street. Contact an agent for your showing soon!
-
2022-11-09soldstatus $55,000 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Located in the village on an oversized lot, this well maintained 2 bedroom bungalow features an updated kitchen, 1st floor laundry, updated electrical, newer roof, oversized 2 car garage, front porch, back deck, and a large backyard. The gas stove, refrigerator, and dishwasher all stay with the house. Priced to sell! Call for a private showing today.
-
2022-11-09soldstatus $55,000
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Located in the village on an oversized lot, this well maintained 2 bedroom bungalow features an updated kitchen, 1st floor laundry, updated electrical, newer roof, oversized 2 car garage, front porch, back deck, and a large backyard. The gas stove, refrigerator, and dishwasher all stay with the house. Priced to sell! Call for a private showing today.
-
2022-10-12$59,900 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Located in the village on an oversized lot, this well maintained 2 bedroom bungalow features an updated kitchen, 1st floor laundry, updated electrical, newer roof, oversized 2 car garage, front porch, back deck, and a large backyard. The gas stove, refrigerator, and dishwasher all stay with the house. Priced to sell! Call for a private showing today.
-
2014-04-16soldstatus $42,000
-
2004-04-07soldstatus $53,000
-
2003-09-09soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,668 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,668 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,591
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$2,668
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$927
- − Management
- −$927
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $320
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$77
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Massena Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618660
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,610
- Composite
- 38.75/100
- National rank
- #4123
- State rank
- #456 of 590 in NY
Livability — Massena
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #5449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Massena, NY
- City population
- 15,737
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,737
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.77%
- Current HPI
- 243.4674
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+87.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $74,900 SLCMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $79,900 SLCMLS
- 2022-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-09 Sold (MLS) $55,000 SLCMLS
- 2022-10-12 Listed $59,900 SLCMLS
- 2014-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2004-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2003-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,668 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…