303 Friar Tuck Dr · Exeter, NH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Dont let the age fool you! This 1,200+/- sq ft. home is meticously maintained w/ updated kitchen w/ dishwasher & island, flooring in kitchen & bath, carpet, windows and roof. The living room is large enough for all the family gatherings, in addition to a family room + den/computer room. You really need to see it to believe it!
Key facts
- Recent upgrades
- Large living room
- New dishwasher
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Mobile home located in River Run Mobile Home Community (park-approved)
- HOA & community: Monthly park rent and services included in association fee; Association amenities include club house and trash removal; One-time fees required (details apply)
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Community water; 100 Amp service with circuit breakers; Cable internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home (Manuf/Mobile style); Single-story (all listed rooms on main level); Entry faces unspecified
- Construction: Built in 1971; Aluminum siding; Membrane roof; Manufactured home construction
- Exterior features: Paved driveway; Interior lot; Landscaped; Leased lot; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Multi-fuel heating with pellet stove; Hot air heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Sunroom; Breezeway
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-43/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (0.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.8% in Exeter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in NH, #59 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+.
- Exeter School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #32 of 98 in NH (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,276 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $85k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; HOA is 44% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.62%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,948
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 807 Nottingham Dr | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 1,230 (+3%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $69 | 81 |
| 802 Nottingham Dr Unit 79-802 | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-8%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $86 | 77 |
| 911 Camelot Dr | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 1,092 (-9%) | 1mo | $117,500 | $108 | 76 |
| 900B Maid Marion Dr | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (-7%) | 9mo | $96,000 | $86 | 71 |
| 1007 Camelot Dr | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+6%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $78 | 70 |
| 311 Friar Tuck Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,088 (-9%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $72 | 70 |
| 308 Friar Tuck Dr | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-12%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $129 | 61 |
| 49 Lindenshire Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+0%) | 6mo | $152,000 | $126 | 61 |
| 51 Alder St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,064 (-11%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $169 | 58 |
| 405 King Arthur Ct | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+8%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $162 | 55 |
| 32 Lindenshire Ave | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-4%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $174 | 54 |
| 105 Robinhood Dr | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,087 (-9%) | 13mo | $210,000 | $193 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-13,328
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-9,166
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03833
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,060 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$905
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $45 | -5% $20 | +0% $-4 | +5% $-28 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-166 | -5% $-85 | +0% $-4 | +5% $78 | +10% $159 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $39 | -0.5pp $18 | base $-4 | +0.5pp $-26 | +1.0pp $-48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162 Front St Exeter, NH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,600 | $3.61 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 69 Winter St Exeter, NH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 0d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $905 · $10,860/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $85,000
-
2025-11-13price $99,000
-
2025-09-23$115,000 Active
-
2012-04-16soldstatus $25,000 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Dont let the age fool you! This 1,200+/- sq ft. home is meticously maintained w/ updated kitchen w/ dishwasher & island, flooring in kitchen & bath, carpet, windows and roof. The living room is large enough for all the family gatherings, in addition to a family room + den/computer room. You really need to see it to believe it!
-
2012-03-05$27,900 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Dont let the age fool you! This 1,200+/- sq ft. home is meticously maintained w/ updated kitchen w/ dishwasher & island, flooring in kitchen & bath, carpet, windows and roof. The living room is large enough for all the family gatherings, in addition to a family room + den/computer room. You really need to see it to believe it!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,274 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,274 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,274
- − Insurance
- −$1,092
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,978
- − Management
- −$1,978
- − HOA
- −$10,860
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable loss
- −$692
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$166
- After-tax cash flow
- $123/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Exeter School District
- NCES district ID
- 3302970
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,970
- Composite
- 45.9/100
- National rank
- #2549
- State rank
- #32 of 98 in NH
Livability — Exeter
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #59
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Exeter, NH
- County
- Rockingham County · 137,526 people
- City population
- 22,817
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,817
- Household income
- $119,393
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 485.0
Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 316,118 people
- By 2030
- 320,929 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 323,358 · +2.3%
- By 2050
- 314,977 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 297,686 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 256,363 · -18.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 5% Romanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -2.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.4 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+5.8 2012: R+4.5 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.07%
- Current HPI
- 288.0139
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+204.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $85,000 PrimeMLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $99,000 PrimeMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listed $115,000 PrimeMLS
- 2012-04-16 Sold (MLS) $25,000 PrimeMLS
- 2012-03-05 Listed $27,900 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,274 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…