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512 Harter Ave
D+ Composite 49.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,500

512 Harter Ave · Mansfield, OH 44907
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1935 Est $134k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ready to Move in Cape Cod - 2 bedrooms with potential 3rd bedroom/office/walk-in closet off 2nd bedroom - Fresh paint, new kitchen and bathroom flooring, just cleaned carpets, and fresh landscaping

Key facts

  • Updated breaker box
  • Bonus space
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

BONUS SPACEHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED BREAKER BOXFENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; 2 stories
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Garden; Fenced yard; Rolling slope, irregular and level lot features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Range; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($395/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.2% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#224 in OH, #3,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities D-.
  • Mansfield City (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #590 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $722 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $104k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,219 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.35%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
512 Harter Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,000 (0%) 0mo $98,500 $99 100
151 Grover Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,029 (+3%) 3mo $128,900 $125 74
201 Walter Ave 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+6%) 0mo $156,900 $149 71
320 Bartley Ave 0.63mi 2/1.5 992 (-1%) 1mo $146,500 $148 66
101 Chilton Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+9%) 3mo $146,000 $134 62
530 Wood St 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,126 (+13%) 0mo $160,000 $142 62
96 Glenwood Hts 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,040 (+4%) 6mo $95,000 $91 61
674 Hillgrove Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,062 (+6%) 6mo $155,000 $146 57
133 Winwood Dr 0.37mi 2/2.0 864 (-14%) 3mo $177,000 $205 53
151 Ohio St 0.48mi 2/1.0 1,126 (+13%) 5mo $68,000 $60 52
273 Hammond Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+9%) 3mo $134,900 $124 49
153 Ford St 0.70mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,106 (+11%) 6mo $37,000 $33 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-14,853
Equity at exit
$15,581
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-10,303
Equity at exit
$9,035

Cash invested: $29,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44907

Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$892 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$548
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $964/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $850
Max offer price $104,500
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,125
Closing costs
$3,135
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Winwood Dr Mansfield, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $725 $1.04 43d 1 0.36mi
19 State St Mansfield, OH 3.0 1.0 1040 $995 $0.96 43d 1 0.38mi
147 Ford St Mansfield, OH 3.0 1.5 1286 $995 $0.77 43d 1 0.67mi
38 Baldwin Ave Apt 3 Mansfield, OH 1.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 43d 1 1.01mi
46 Bartley Ave Unit 46 1/2 Mansfield, OH 1.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 43d 1 1.01mi
275 Cliffbrook Dr Mansfield, OH 2.0 1.5 1200 $925 $0.77 43d 1 1.09mi
282 Cliffbrook Dr Mansfield, OH 3.0 1.0 912 $1,395 $1.53 43d 1 1.11mi
896 Brookfield Dr Mansfield, OH 2.0 1.0 770 $795 $1.03 43d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $104,500 Active
  2. 2021-07-09
    soldstatus $64,900
  3. 2021-07-08
    soldstatus $64,900 197-char remark
    Show marketing remark (197 chars)

    Ready to Move in Cape Cod - 2 bedrooms with potential 3rd bedroom/office/walk-in closet off 2nd bedroom - Fresh paint, new kitchen and bathroom flooring, just cleaned carpets, and fresh landscaping

  4. 2021-04-29
    listed $64,900 197-char remark
    Show marketing remark (197 chars)

    Ready to Move in Cape Cod - 2 bedrooms with potential 3rd bedroom/office/walk-in closet off 2nd bedroom - Fresh paint, new kitchen and bathroom flooring, just cleaned carpets, and fresh landscaping

  5. 2002-05-24
    soldstatus $51,000
  6. 1994-05-09
    soldstatus $32,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$964 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,297 · $108/mo
Expected delta
+$333/yr (+$28/mo · 34.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,706
− Mortgage interest
−$5,854
− Property taxes
−$964
− Insurance
−$522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$857
− Management
−$857
− Depreciation
−$3,040
Taxable loss
−$1,387
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$333
After-tax cash flow
$728/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mansfield City
NCES district ID
3904429
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,435
Composite
23.25/100
National rank
#7934
State rank
#590 of 656 in OH

Livability — Mansfield

Score
76/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#3525

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mansfield, OH
County
Richland County · 43,943 people
City population
16,349
Metro
Mansfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
16,349
Household income
$48,008
Rent vs Own
46.3% rent · 53.7% own
Severe rent burden
637.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
115,577 people
By 2030
111,669 · -3.4%
By 2040
103,323 · -10.6%
By 2050
95,135 · -17.7%
By 2075
76,719 · -33.6%
By 2100
57,188 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 13% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.54%
Current HPI
239.2549
Rent YoY
Metro
Mansfield, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+221.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $104,500 MARMLS
  • 2021-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
  • 2021-07-08 Sold (MLS) $64,900 MARMLS
  • 2021-04-29 Listed $64,900 MARMLS
  • 2002-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 1994-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $964 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…