7083 NE Taurus Ln · Tracyton, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy Premier Senior Living in this Beautifully Maintained 2001 Home in Quiet Cul-de-Sac. Updates include LVP flooring, new water heater and efficient ductless heat pump for year-round comfort. The light-filled kitchen features a skylight and cozy breakfast nook, ideal for your morning coffee, and all appliances including freezer, washer & dryer. The primary bedroom has a walk-in closet and bath with walk-in shower. Outside you will find a covered front porch, concrete patio in back – both great for relaxing or gathering with friends and a low-maintenance yard. Silverdale Estates is a 55+ community with a clubhouse, indoor swimming pool, hot tub, sauna & more. Close to sho
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Light-filled kitchen
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.7% in Tracyton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#193 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, cost of living D+, amenities F.
- Central Kitsap School District (urban): math 55% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #49 of 291 in WA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 151 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.05%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $198,500
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -9.82%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6980 Taurus Ln NE | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (-4%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $126 | 88 |
| 7075 Taurus Ln NE | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (+2%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $116 | 87 |
| 637 NE Libra Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (0%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $108 | 82 |
| 621 NE Saturn Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-7%) | 5mo | $167,500 | $115 | 74 |
| 970 NE Saturn Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+7%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $107 | 74 |
| 900 NE Saturn Ln | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-11%) | 1mo | $142,500 | $102 | 70 |
| 535 NE Saturn Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (+14%) | 8mo | $213,000 | $120 | 61 |
| 404 NE Saturn Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-14%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $48 | 60 |
| 111 NE Saturn Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-12%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $120 | 55 |
| 6181 Holland Rd NW | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (+3%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $222 | 50 |
| 6205 NE Central Valley Rd NE | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,377 (-12%) | 10mo | $430,000 | $312 | 44 |
| 940 Yoder Ln NE | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 7mo | $309,000 | $230 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $12,316
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $46,533
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98311
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,520 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$529
- Net cashflow
- $754
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 NE Miramar Cir Bremerton, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1446 | $2,500 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 263 Weatherstone Ln NE Bremerton, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $2,199 | $2.49 | 14d | 4 | 0.48mi |
| 7720 Vineyards Ln NE Bremerton, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $2,325 | $2.77 | 14d | 11 | 0.54mi |
| 1381 NE Fairgrounds Rd Bremerton, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $2,315 | $2.44 | 14d | 14 | 0.61mi |
| 8078 Old Military Rd NE Bremerton, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2064 | $3,000 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1231 NE McWilliams Rd Bremerton, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $2,600 | $2.71 | 14d | 26 | 0.79mi |
| 6101 Washington 303 Bremerton, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $2,880 | $2.85 | 14d | 70 | 0.89mi |
| 1303 NE Jasmine Ln Bremerton, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,600 | $2.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 835 NW Huckle Dr Unit A Bremerton, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1112 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $179,000 Pending 206 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-01-19price $179,000
-
2025-11-17$189,000 Active
-
2023-05-17status Pending
-
2023-04-20Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥86°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,243
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,685
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,419
- − Management
- −$2,419
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $6,590
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,582
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It's move-in ready with a good curb appeal and interior layout.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Resale Replace ceiling fan — Improves air circulation and aesthetics
- Both Replace flooring — Hardwood flooring is old and could be replaced with more modern materials
- Both Replace appliances — Modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace ceiling fan — Improves air circulation and aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace flooring — Hardwood flooring is old and could be replaced with more modern materials ↑
- Both Replace appliances — Modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Kitsap School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301080
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,825
- Composite
- 54.87/100
- National rank
- #2813
- State rank
- #49 of 291 in WA
Livability — Tracyton
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #193
- US rank
- #5240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kitsap County · 243,099 people
- Metro
- Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,168
- Household income
- $108,757
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 502.0
Population outlook (Kitsap County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 277,525 people
- By 2030
- 285,040 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 294,957 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 300,622 · +8.3%
- By 2075
- 315,580 · +13.7%
- By 2100
- 304,340 · +9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 9% Black 3% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 4% Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kitsap
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.9) · D 58.8% · R 37.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.6pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 20.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.9 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+11.6 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -378.18%
- Current HPI
- 356.6272
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.27%
- Metro
- Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-5.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $179,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Listed $189,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-17 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-20 Listed — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…