1000 Fairford Way · Capitol Heights, MD 20743

$199,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · Townhouse public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1980 2,178 sqft lot Est $278k · 28% under $60/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.4/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.5/10.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Two level end unit townhome with new front storm door (2016), new water heater (2015) and gutter covers (2015). HMS One year home warranty. Located near metro and shopping centers. Shows well.

Key facts

• Manageable lot size
• End-of-row townhouse
• Off-street parking

Tags

• END-OF-ROW TOWNHOUSE
• INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
• MANAGEABLE LOT SIZE
• COLONIAL ARCHITECTURAL STYLE
• STICK-BUILT CONSTRUCTION
• OFF-STREET PARKING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#155 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 10 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $153k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.50%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.89%
• DSCR: 1.35
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $278,320
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1018 Fairford Way	0.04mi	3/1.0	1,040 (+6%)	20mo	$295,740	$284	71
1026 Fairford Way	0.05mi	3/1.0	1,040 (+6%)	23mo	$293,500	$282	68
5804 Falkland Pl	0.06mi	3/1.0	880 (-10%)	21mo	$289,000	$328	63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.97×
• Total profit: $-1,646
• Equity at exit: $29,806

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.08×
• Total profit: $60,578
• Equity at exit: $17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 20743

• Rents YoY: 5.9%
• Active inventory: 217
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,397 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,048
• Tax from tax record: −$334 /mo · $4,008/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$60
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$503
• Net cashflow: $368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,931

Max offer price $199,900

Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $481	-5% $424	+0% $368	+5% $311	+10% $255
Rent	-10% $178	-5% $273	+0% $368	+5% $462	+10% $557
Rate	-1.0pp $468	-0.5pp $419	base $368	+0.5pp $316	+1.0pp $263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,975
• Closing costs: $5,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 25 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1209 Brooke Rd Capitol Heights, MD	3.0	2.0	1000	$3,200	$3.20	19d	1	0.36mi
5284 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0–1.5	812	$1,979	$2.44	2d	12	0.72mi
1935 Brooks Dr Capitol Heights, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0–1.5	865	$1,785	$2.06	2d	9	0.79mi
5225 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD	2.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1050	$2,038	$1.94	1d	3	0.87mi
5237 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD	3.0	1.0	655	$1,817	$2.77	44d	1	0.88mi
1341 Karen Blvd Capitol Heights, MD	2.0	2.0	950	$2,300	$2.42	44d	1	0.92mi
22 Chamber Ave Capitol Heights, MD	3.0	1.0	942	$3,000	$3.18	44d	1	0.93mi
6936 Walker Mill Rd Capitol Heights, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0–1.5	806	$1,700	$2.11	13d	11	0.98mi
912 Elfin Ave Capitol Heights, MD	3.0	2.0	1028	$2,000	$1.95	44d	1	1.00mi
6769 Milltown Ct District Heights, MD	2.0	1.5	1100	$2,299	$2.09	11d	1	1.00mi
1513 Pacific Ave Capitol Heights, MD	3.0	1.0	1008	$2,450	$2.43	44d	1	1.03mi
2100 Brooks Dr District Heights, MD	2.0	1.0–2.0	914	$1,629	$1.78	21d	27	1.17mi
5401 Call Pl SE Washington, DC	2.0–3.0	1.0	1094	$2,626	$2.40	2d	2	1.17mi
5344 C St SE Unit 102 Washington, DC	3.0	2.0	1000	$2,499	$2.50	24d	1	1.25mi
5344 C St SE Unit 302 Washington, DC	3.0	2.0	1000	$2,100	$2.10	24d	1	1.25mi
1111 Balboa Ave Capitol Heights, MD	3.0	1.0	864	$2,000	$2.31	18d	1	1.27mi
1210 Balboa Ave Unit B Capitol Heights, MD	2.0	1.0	858	$1,095	$1.28	44d	1	1.30mi
505 69th St Capitol Heights, MD	3.0	2.0	1000	$2,500	$2.50	18d	1	1.32mi
5119 E St SE Washington, DC	3.0	1.0	941	$4,000	$4.25	19d	1	1.34mi
2316 Brooks Dr Suitland, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	908	$2,366	$2.60	3d	9	1.34mi
323 62nd St NE Washington, DC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	908	$2,435	$2.68	24d	1	1.35mi
1201 Benning Rd Capitol Heights, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0	854	$2,090	$2.45	2d	36	1.39mi
324 61st St NE Unit 4 Washington, DC	3.0	1.5	850	$2,800	$3.29	24d	1	1.39mi
5124 Astor Pl SE Washington, DC	2.0	1.0	700	$1,100	$1.57	24d	1	1.44mi
1193 46th Pl SE Washington, DC	3.0	1.0	1056	$3,200	$3.03	24d	1	1.49mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $60 · $720/yr
• Likely covers: water

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-04-03
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-28
   listed $199,900 Active
3. 2017-05-26
   soldstatus $153,000 192-char remark

   Show marketing remark (192 chars)

   Two level end unit townhome with new front storm door (2016), new water heater (2015) and gutter covers (2015). HMS One year home warranty. Located near metro and shopping centers. Shows well.

4. 2017-05-26
   soldstatus $153,000 Sold 192-char remark

   Show marketing remark (192 chars)

   Two level end unit townhome with new front storm door (2016), new water heater (2015) and gutter covers (2015). HMS One year home warranty. Located near metro and shopping centers. Shows well.

5. 2017-04-05
   status Contract 192-char remark

   Show marketing remark (192 chars)

   Two level end unit townhome with new front storm door (2016), new water heater (2015) and gutter covers (2015). HMS One year home warranty. Located near metro and shopping centers. Shows well.

6. 2017-03-31
   listed $150,000 192-char remark

   Show marketing remark (192 chars)

   Two level end unit townhome with new front storm door (2016), new water heater (2015) and gutter covers (2015). HMS One year home warranty. Located near metro and shopping centers. Shows well.

7. 2017-03-31
   listed $150,000 Active 192-char remark

   Show marketing remark (192 chars)

   Two level end unit townhome with new front storm door (2016), new water heater (2015) and gutter covers (2015). HMS One year home warranty. Located near metro and shopping centers. Shows well.

8. 2016-12-13
   historical
9. 2016-12-13
   historical Withdrawn
10. 2016-11-14
    listed Active
11. 2016-11-13
    listed $158,000
12. 2015-11-05
    historical
13. 2015-11-05
    historical
14. 2015-10-04
    listed Active
15. 2015-10-03
    listed $155,000
16. 2010-06-15
    soldstatus $76,000 Sold
17. 2010-06-15
    soldstatus $76,000
18. 2010-04-28
    status Contract
19. 2010-04-27
    historical
20. 2010-04-12
    listed $75,240 Active
21. 2010-04-12
    listed $75,240
22. 2001-05-14
    soldstatus $75,000
23. 2001-03-08
    historical
24. 2000-08-04
    listed $78,000
25. 1983-06-27
    soldstatus $56,595

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $4,008 · $334/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,008 · $334/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,761
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,198
• − Property taxes: −$4,008
• − Insurance: −$1,000
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,301
• − Management: −$2,301
• − HOA: −$720
• − Depreciation: −$5,815
• Taxable income: $1,418
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$340
• After-tax cash flow: $4,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Prince George'S County Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400510
• Math proficiency: 8% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $73,967
• Composite: 16.82/100
• National rank: #9151
• State rank: #21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Capitol Heights

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #155
• US rank: #6934

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Capitol Heights, MD
• County: Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
• City population: 41,093
• Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
• Population (ZIP): 41,093
• Household income: $76,466
• Rent vs Own: 33.9% rent · 66.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1418.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,005,426 people
• By 2030: 1,048,416 · +4.3%
• By 2040: 1,123,425 · +11.7%
• By 2050: 1,183,220 · +17.7%
• By 2075: 1,306,202 · +29.9%
• By 2100: 1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 4% White 3% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -311.97%
• Current HPI: 335.5152
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.90%
• Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

+253.2% since first listed

25 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-03-28 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
• 2017-05-26 Sold (MLS) $153,000 MRIS
• 2017-05-26 Sold (MLS) $153,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2017-04-05 Pending — MRIS
• 2017-03-31 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2017-03-31 Listed $150,000 MRIS
• 2016-12-13 Delisted — MRIS
• 2016-12-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2016-11-14 Listed — MRIS
• 2016-11-13 Listed $158,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2015-11-05 Delisted — MRIS
• 2015-11-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2015-10-04 Listed — MRIS
• 2015-10-03 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2010-06-15 Sold (MLS) $76,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2010-06-15 Sold (MLS) $76,000 MRIS
• 2010-04-28 Pending — MRIS
• 2010-04-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2010-04-12 Listed $75,240 MRIS
• 2010-04-12 Listed $75,240 BRIGHT MLS
• 2001-05-14 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MRIS
• 2001-03-08 Delisted — MRIS
• 2000-08-04 Listed $78,000 MRIS
• 1983-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $56,595 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,008 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.