709 Summit Hill Rd · Aristes, PA 17921

$84,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,235 sqft · Other public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1890 0.41 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Step inside an old-world exterior with brand-new everything inside. This completely renovated home blends classic charm with modern convenience and thoughtful upgrades throughout. The interior has been fully updated from top to bottom, offering 3 spacious bedrooms and 1½ beautifully finished baths, plus a finished attic that provides flexible space ideal for a fourth bedroom, home office, or bonus room. The main level features a bright eat-in kitchen, a separate dining room perfect for gatherings, and the added convenience of first-floor laundry. Outside, enjoy a nicely sized yard with plenty of room to relax, garden, or entertain. This is the perfect opportunity to own a home with h

Key facts

• Thoughtful upgrades
• Finished attic
• Separate dining room

Tags

• COMPLETELY RENOVATED HOME
• THOUGHTFUL UPGRADES
• FINISHED ATTIC
• BRIGHT EAT-IN KITCHEN
• SEPARATE DINING ROOM
• FIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,072 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, employment D.
• North Schuylkill SD (rural): math 19% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #429 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $12k; list at $85k implies a 608% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $84,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.54% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.23%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.21%
• DSCR: 1.94
• GRM: 5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 40.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.07×
• Total profit: $73,039
• Equity at exit: $76,485

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.6%
• Equity multiple: 9.17×
• Total profit: $194,109
• Equity at exit: $164,942

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17921

• Home prices YoY: 21.7%
• Active inventory: 49
• Price-to-rent: 5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,306 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$445
• Tax from tax record: −$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$274
• Net cashflow: $420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $774

Max offer price $84,900

Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $468	-5% $444	+0% $420	+5% $396	+10% $372
Rent	-10% $317	-5% $369	+0% $420	+5% $472	+10% $523
Rate	-1.0pp $463	-0.5pp $442	base $420	+0.5pp $398	+1.0pp $376

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,225
• Closing costs: $2,547
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-02-16
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-04
   listed $84,900 Active
3. 1999-09-09
   soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,574 · $131/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,574 · $131/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,676
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,756
• − Property taxes: −$1,574
• − Insurance: −$424
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,254
• − Management: −$1,254
• − Depreciation: −$2,470
• Taxable income: $3,944
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$946
• After-tax cash flow: $4,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: North Schuylkill SD
• NCES district ID: 4210110
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $43,529
• Composite: 28.37/100
• National rank: #6770
• State rank: #429 of 539 in PA

Livability — Aristes

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #1072
• US rank: #12090

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Aristes, PA
• City population: 208
• Population (ZIP): 7,029

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 65,170 people
• By 2030: 64,054 · -1.7%
• By 2040: 61,131 · -6.2%
• By 2050: 57,526 · -11.7%
• By 2075: 50,259 · -22.9%
• By 2100: 44,756 · -31.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 10% Iranian 4% Polish 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 62.11%
• Current HPI: 347.8425
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

+607.5% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-02-04 Listed $84,900 BRIGHT MLS
• 1999-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,574 · +16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.