🏷️ Likely Rental
20083 Chapel St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment opportunity with a long-term tenant in place since 2018. Currently rented at $900 per month, providing consistent income from day one. Well-suited for investors seeking a cash-flowing property with proven rental stability and minimal vacancy risk. Showings after accepted offer.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1951
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and a half stories; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built area above grade approximately 1,007 (square feet)
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch/patio; Paved road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Three total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $75k implies a 257% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.88%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $117,819
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20300 Chapel St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,043 (+4%) | 1mo | $122,500 | $117 | 87 |
| 19711 Chapel St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (+1%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $118 | 84 |
| 20266 Greydale Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (+6%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $107 | 80 |
| 20089 Trinity St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,025 (+2%) | 4mo | $201,349 | $196 | 78 |
| 21338 Pembroke Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (-8%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $124 | 77 |
| 19411 Chapel St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (+1%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $64 | 75 |
| 19734 Westbrook St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (-6%) | 2mo | $63,500 | $67 | 74 |
| 21700 Pembroke Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (+8%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $142 | 74 |
| 19212 Northrop St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 981 (-3%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $66 | 63 |
| 21256 8 1/2 Mile Rd | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,044 (+4%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $162 | 50 |
| 19971 Patton St | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 901 (-10%) | 3mo | $54,000 | $60 | 49 |
| 20061 Pierson St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 869 (-14%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $58 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $31,939
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 43.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.18×
- Total profit
- $108,874
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48219
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,403 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,303/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $575
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 16d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 19810 Blackstone St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,495 | $1.70 | 11d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 20555 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $975 | $1.32 | 43d | 2 | 0.33mi |
| 22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 20079 Patton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 47129 Wedgewood Southfield, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 19800 Berg Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $875 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 20284 Melrose St Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 23411 W Eight Mile Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,000 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,364 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 19301 Shiawassee Dr Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,150 | $1.55 | 43d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 21434 Karl St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 19800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,020 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,125 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,400 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 733 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19276 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 18205 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,078 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 19248 Telegraph Rd Unit P7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 19250 Telegraph Rd Unit O7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,394 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 22419 Fairway Dr Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 17624 Patton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,695 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 299-char remark
-
2026-06-13$75,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,303 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,303 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,838
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,303
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,347
- − Management
- −$1,347
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $6,083
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,460
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,208
- Household income
- $43,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3584.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.06%
- Current HPI
- 563.3263
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.04%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+50.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-10 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-09-12 Sold (MLS) $21,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-09-12 Sold (MLS) $21,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-08-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-08-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-07-28 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-07-28 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-03-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-03-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-04-12 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-04-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-12 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-05 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-04-05 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-01-09 Sold (MLS) $36,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-11-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-12-06 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,303 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…