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20083 Chapel St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

20083 Chapel St · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,007 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1951 5,227 sqft lot Est $118k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity with a long-term tenant in place since 2018. Currently rented at $900 per month, providing consistent income from day one. Well-suited for investors seeking a cash-flowing property with proven rental stability and minimal vacancy risk. Showings after accepted offer.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and a half stories; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built area above grade approximately 1,007 (square feet)
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch/patio; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Three total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $75,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$117,819) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $75k implies a 257% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
15.50%
Cash-on-cash
32.88%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,819
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20300 Chapel St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,043 (+4%) 1mo $122,500 $117 87
19711 Chapel St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+1%) 1mo $120,000 $118 84
20266 Greydale Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,072 (+6%) 3mo $115,000 $107 80
20089 Trinity St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,025 (+2%) 4mo $201,349 $196 78
21338 Pembroke Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 930 (-8%) 1mo $115,000 $124 77
19411 Chapel St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+1%) 5mo $65,000 $64 75
19734 Westbrook St 0.32mi 3/1.0 950 (-6%) 2mo $63,500 $67 74
21700 Pembroke Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,089 (+8%) 3mo $155,000 $142 74
19212 Northrop St 0.67mi 3/1.0 981 (-3%) 2mo $65,000 $66 63
21256 8 1/2 Mile Rd 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,044 (+4%) 4mo $169,000 $162 50
19971 Patton St 0.51mi 2/1.5 (-1) 901 (-10%) 3mo $54,000 $60 49
20061 Pierson St 0.38mi 2/1.5 (-1) 869 (-14%) 4mo $50,000 $58 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.7%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$31,939
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
43.2%
Equity multiple
6.18×
Total profit
$108,874
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,403 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,303/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$575

Break-even live

Break-even rent $675
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 16d 1 0.16mi
19810 Blackstone St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,395 $1.15 43d 1 0.27mi
19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 880 $1,495 $1.70 11d 1 0.33mi
20555 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 737 $975 $1.32 43d 2 0.33mi
22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 0.39mi
20079 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,550 $1.35 5d 1 0.48mi
47129 Wedgewood Southfield, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 43d 1 0.54mi
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 5d 1 0.56mi
22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 43d 1 0.68mi
19800 Berg Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 16d 1 0.70mi
22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 890 $875 $0.98 43d 1 0.86mi
19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 43d 1 0.87mi
20284 Melrose St Southfield, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 43d 1 0.95mi
23411 W Eight Mile Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 742 $1,000 $1.35 43d 1 0.97mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 15d 1 1.01mi
21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 43d 1 1.03mi
19301 Shiawassee Dr Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 740 $1,150 $1.55 43d 2 1.05mi
21434 Karl St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 43d 1 1.07mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 2d 1 1.10mi
19800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 855 $1,020 $1.19 43d 1 1.10mi
20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 1.11mi
17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1040 $1,125 $1.08 24d 1 1.19mi
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 16d 1 1.19mi
18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 5d 1 1.19mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 16d 1 1.23mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,050 $1.43 15d 1 1.24mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 24d 1 1.25mi
19276 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 43d 1 1.25mi
19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 43d 1 1.26mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 24d 1 1.26mi
19248 Telegraph Rd Unit P7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 24d 1 1.26mi
19250 Telegraph Rd Unit O7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 24d 1 1.26mi
19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 941 $1,300 $1.38 5d 1 1.30mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 16d 1 1.32mi
18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 917 $1,100 $1.20 24d 1 1.33mi
22419 Fairway Dr Southfield, MI 3.0 1.0 1262 $1,850 $1.47 24d 1 1.35mi
17624 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,695 $1.35 43d 1 1.36mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 16d 1 1.41mi
20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 1.42mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 299-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $75,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,303 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,303 · $109/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,838
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,303
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,347
− Management
−$1,347
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$6,083
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,460
After-tax cash flow
$5,445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-09-12 Sold (MLS) $21,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-09-12 Sold (MLS) $21,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-08-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-08-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-07-28 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-28 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-03-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-04-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-12 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-04-12 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-04-05 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-05 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-01-09 Sold (MLS) $36,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-11-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-12-06 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,303 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…