1233 Transylvania Ave · Chesapeake, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1952
- Listed 28 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA or association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Detached single-story home; Single living level; Crawl-space foundation
- Construction: Composite roof
- Exterior features: Back yard fenced with split-rail fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not listed)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Additional bedroom; Bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump cooling; Other cooling; Baseboard heating; Electric heating
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; One fireplace total
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.7% in Chesapeake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#236 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Chesapeake City Public School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #31 of 131 in VA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Truitt Intermediate (math 40% / reading 48%, grade F, #851 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 259 students, 91% FRL); Oscar F. Smith High (math 63% / reading 75%, grade B, #170 of 319 statewide, top 55%, 2,291 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 28% district-wide (53 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 597 units permitted in Chesapeake city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,212/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 1301% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chesapeake County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.13%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $349,716
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1230 Commerce Ave | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,760 (-3%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $193 | 74 |
| 1222 Jackson Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,894 (+4%) | 0mo | $317,000 | $167 | 71 |
| 1510 Landsworth St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,722 (-5%) | 1mo | $357,000 | $207 | 64 |
| 1601 Chesapeake Ave | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 | 1,730 (-4%) | 0mo | $324,900 | $188 | 64 |
| 1416 Martin Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (-12%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $144 | 62 |
| 2049 Christian Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,866 (+3%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $88 | 62 |
| 1308 Seaboard Ave | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,002 (+10%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $160 | 57 |
| 2130 Berkley Ave | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,770 (-2%) | 0mo | $351,000 | $198 | 56 |
| 2016 Jefferson St | 0.15mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,080 (+15%) | 2mo | $408,000 | $196 | 54 |
| 1824 Hoover Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,962 (+8%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $196 | 50 |
| 1714 Seaboard Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,581 (-13%) | 3mo | $243,000 | $154 | 46 |
| 1906 Chesapeake Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,567 (-14%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $230 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-5,269
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $30,327
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23324
- Home prices YoY
- -17.3%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,282/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $539 | -5% $482 | +0% $426 | +5% $369 | +10% $313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $251 | -5% $339 | +0% $426 | +5% $513 | +10% $601 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $527 | -0.5pp $477 | base $426 | +0.5pp $374 | +1.0pp $321 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 Jackson Ave Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1110 Park Ave Unit 23324 Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1749 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1110 Park Ave Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1749 | $2,100 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1231 Stewart St Chesapeake, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2159 | $2,550 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1151 Perry St Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2620 Sunrise Ave Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $1,850 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2638 King Ct Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1729 Todd St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,450 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1510 Wilson Rd Unit 3 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1273 | $1,200 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1510 Wilson Rd #4 Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1273 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1512 Marsh St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1727 | $2,195 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2540 Holly Point Blvd Chesapeake, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1250 | $2,680 | $2.14 | 2d | 20 | 1.12mi |
| 1009 Elkin St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $2,500 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1008 Grayson St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,495 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$199,900 Active
-
2025-06-07historical
-
2025-05-08$189,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,282 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,282 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,282
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,124
- − Management
- −$2,124
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $2,005
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesapeake City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100810
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,356
- Composite
- 57.84/100
- National rank
- #1047
- State rank
- #31 of 131 in VA
Livability — Chesapeake
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #7942
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chesapeake, VA
- County
- Chesapeake City · 253,091 people
- City population
- 253,091
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,670
- Household income
- $57,045
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1301.0
Population outlook (Chesapeake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 263,804 people
- By 2030
- 276,798 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 299,906 · +13.7%
- By 2050
- 318,284 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 362,137 · +37.3%
- By 2100
- 372,225 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesapeake
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.3% · R 47.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: 1.3pp · 2024: 3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.8 2020: D+6.5 2016: R+1.3 2012: D+1.1 2008: D+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.73%
- Current HPI
- 319.2653
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+5.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $199,900 REINMLS
- 2025-06-07 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2025-05-08 Listed $189,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,282 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…