19212 Lawhorn Dr · East End, AR 72206

$129,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1958 0.84 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 19212 Lawhorn Drive. .. A 3-bedroom, 1-bath home move-in ready home with fresh paint, new carpet, gas stove, a three year old water heater and a 6-year-old AC unit. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer all stay. The best part is the heated two car garage/shop. Perfect for a first-time buyer or a second home to work on your vehicles, store your equipment, park your trailer or RV, woodwork, or a start to a side business. The space is yours!! And while it feels like your own tucked-away oasis on 0.84 acres, everything you need is still close. .. grocery stores, auto shops, everyday errands, all just minutes away. Not the city. Not the country. Just the right in between. Live here. Work h

Key facts

• Fresh paint
• New carpet
• Water heater

Tags

• HEATED TWO CAR GARAGE
• FRESH PAINT
• NEW CARPET
• GAS STOVE
• WATER HEATER
• AC UNIT

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage for 2 cars
• Utilities: Public water
• Home design: Single-family property (rural); Entry level information not provided; Facing direction not provided
• Construction: Metal/Vinyl siding; 3-tab shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built year not provided
• Exterior features: Paved road access; Rural property setting, not in a subdivision

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas range
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
• Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; Refrigerator stays

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (5.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $123k (5.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.3% in East End — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#210 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Sheridan School District (town): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #89 of 238 in AR (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 446 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Saline County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $15k; list at $130k implies a 766% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $123,079 (5.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.95% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.78%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.31%
• DSCR: 1.24
• GRM: 8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.71×
• Total profit: $-10,394
• Equity at exit: $19,369

10-year hold

• IRR: 2.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.16×
• Total profit: $5,848
• Equity at exit: $11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72206

• Rents YoY: 3.4%
• Active inventory: 125
• Price-to-rent: 8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,231 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$681
• Tax from tax record: −$76 /mo · $914/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$258
• Net cashflow: $161

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,027

Max offer price $129,900

Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,475
• Closing costs: $3,897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-14
   remarks 699-char remark
2. 2026-06-14
   listed $129,900 Under Contract 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $914 · $76/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $914 · $76/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,769
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,276
• − Property taxes: −$914
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,182
• − Management: −$1,182
• − Depreciation: −$3,779
• Taxable loss: −$212
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$51
• After-tax cash flow: $1,981/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sheridan School District
• NCES district ID: 0500015
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $49,974
• Composite: 32.0/100
• National rank: #5831
• State rank: #89 of 238 in AR

Livability — East End

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #210
• US rank: #16307

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: East End, AR
• County: Pulaski County · 372,764 people
• Metro: Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
• Population (ZIP): 22,667
• Household income: $52,132
• Rent vs Own: 29.3% rent · 70.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 623.0

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 140,141 people
• By 2030: 151,233 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 173,100 · +23.5%
• By 2050: 194,368 · +38.7%
• By 2075: 245,295 · +75.0%
• By 2100: 279,117 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 48% White 43% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+40.1) · D 28.8% · R 69.0% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.8pp no change · 2008: -41.0pp · 2024: -40.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+40.1 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+41.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -88.64%
• Current HPI: 158.3601
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.36%
• Metro: Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

+766.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-14 Pending — CARMLS
• 2026-06-11 Listed $129,900 CARMLS
• 1988-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $914 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.