CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2227 Harris Wright Dr
D Composite 43.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,000

2227 Harris Wright Dr · Highland Lakes, AL 35242
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 802 Days on market
Built 1980 7.23 ac lot $136/sqft · 49% below area Est $476k · 39% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property has 8 acres +/- of gorgeous land that backs up to Highland Lakes Subdivision. Easy access, and tons of trees, privacy and nature. The house is a 3BR 1BA older home that needs improvements. Great school system and location that can't be beat! This property sits at the foot of Double Oak Mountain on CR 41. GREAT potential and/or investment option.

Key facts

  • Privacy and nature
  • 8.23 acres of land
  • Great school system

Tags

8.23 ACRES OF LANDPRIVACY AND NATUREGREAT SCHOOL SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $289k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-140 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (8.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (29.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.1% in Highland Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#225 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mt Laurel Elementary School (math 77% / reading 86%, grade A+, #4 of 627 statewide, top 1%, 514 students, 17% FRL); Chelsea Middle School (math 26% / reading 63%, grade D, #39 of 257 statewide, top 16%, 951 students, 28% FRL); Chelsea High School (math 43% / reading 42%, grade F, #27 of 305 statewide, top 9%, 1,400 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 23% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Shelby County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 400 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 802 days — a 12% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $205,077 (29.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 802 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.07%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$475,894
List price
$289,000
Delta
-39.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
188 Atlantic Ln 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,986 (-7%) 1mo $456,000 $230 64
237 Sawmill Loop 0.45mi 3/3.0 2,032 (-4%) 7mo $479,900 $236 62
217 Sawmill Loop 0.45mi 3/3.0 2,032 (-4%) 8mo $493,900 $243 61
221 Sawmill Loop 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,986 (-7%) 15mo $469,900 $237 55
1052 Kings Way 0.67mi 3/2.5 2,369 (+11%) 1mo $415,000 $175 47
124 Atlantic Ln 0.64mi 3/3.0 2,032 (-4%) 15mo $474,900 $234 46
1068 Dunnavant Pl 0.72mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,350 (+10%) 1mo $422,000 $180 41
1076 Dunnavant Pl 0.69mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,327 (+9%) 5mo $470,000 $202 41
232 Sawmill Loop 0.58mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,308 (+8%) 11mo $493,900 $214 39
1058 Dunnavant Pl 0.74mi 3/2.5 2,354 (+11%) 10mo $415,000 $176 37
104 Atlantic Ln 0.58mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,308 (+8%) 13mo $464,900 $201 37
181 Atlantic Ln 0.54mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,443 (+15%) 11mo $501,900 $205 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.9%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-60,257
Equity at exit
$43,091
10-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-81,752
Equity at exit
$24,987

Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35242

Home prices YoY
-32.7%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
400
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,051 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,516
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$-140

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,227
Max offer price $264,345
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $24 -5% $-58 +0% $-140 +5% $-221 +10% $-303
Rent -10% $-302 -5% $-221 +0% $-140 +5% $-59 +10% $22
Rate -1.0pp $6 -0.5pp $-66 base $-140 +0.5pp $-214 +1.0pp $-291

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,250
Closing costs
$8,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
463 Reach Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.5 1776 $1,950 $1.10 3d 1 1.28mi
442 Forest Lakes Dr Sterrett, AL 3.0 2.5 2041 $2,250 $1.10 5d 1 1.32mi
521 Reach Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.5 1720 $2,000 $1.16 3d 1 1.38mi
522 Reach Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.5 1534 $1,950 $1.27 45d 1 1.39mi
2148 Forest Lakes Ln Sterrett, AL 3.0 2.5 2144 $2,300 $1.07 25d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $289,000 Active 802 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,000 Active 799 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,000 Active 798 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,000 Active 797 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,000 Active 796 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,000 Active 794 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,000 Active 793 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $289,000 Active 791 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,000 Active 790 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,000 Active 789 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,000 Active 788 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $289,000 Active 785 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,000 Contingent 784 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,000 Contingent 783 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,000 Contingent 782 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,000 Contingent 781 DOM
  17. 2026-05-18
    historical Contingent 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    This property has 8 acres +/- of gorgeous land that backs up to Highland Lakes Subdivision. Easy access, and tons of trees, privacy and nature. The house is a 3BR 1BA older home that needs improvements. Great school system and location that can't be beat! This property sits at the foot of Double Oak Mountain on CR 41. GREAT potential and/or investment option.

  18. 2026-03-14
    price $289,000 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    This property has 8 acres +/- of gorgeous land that backs up to Highland Lakes Subdivision. Easy access, and tons of trees, privacy and nature. The house is a 3BR 1BA older home that needs improvements. Great school system and location that can't be beat! This property sits at the foot of Double Oak Mountain on CR 41. GREAT potential and/or investment option.

  19. 2024-11-09
    price $299,000 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    This property has 8 acres +/- of gorgeous land that backs up to Highland Lakes Subdivision. Easy access, and tons of trees, privacy and nature. The house is a 3BR 1BA older home that needs improvements. Great school system and location that can't be beat! This property sits at the foot of Double Oak Mountain on CR 41. GREAT potential and/or investment option.

  20. 2024-10-03
    status Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    This property has 8 acres +/- of gorgeous land that backs up to Highland Lakes Subdivision. Easy access, and tons of trees, privacy and nature. The house is a 3BR 1BA older home that needs improvements. Great school system and location that can't be beat! This property sits at the foot of Double Oak Mountain on CR 41. GREAT potential and/or investment option.

  21. 2024-08-10
    historical Contingent 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    This property has 8 acres +/- of gorgeous land that backs up to Highland Lakes Subdivision. Easy access, and tons of trees, privacy and nature. The house is a 3BR 1BA older home that needs improvements. Great school system and location that can't be beat! This property sits at the foot of Double Oak Mountain on CR 41. GREAT potential and/or investment option.

  22. 2024-08-09
    status Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    This property has 8 acres +/- of gorgeous land that backs up to Highland Lakes Subdivision. Easy access, and tons of trees, privacy and nature. The house is a 3BR 1BA older home that needs improvements. Great school system and location that can't be beat! This property sits at the foot of Double Oak Mountain on CR 41. GREAT potential and/or investment option.

  23. 2024-07-30
    historical Contingent 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    This property has 8 acres +/- of gorgeous land that backs up to Highland Lakes Subdivision. Easy access, and tons of trees, privacy and nature. The house is a 3BR 1BA older home that needs improvements. Great school system and location that can't be beat! This property sits at the foot of Double Oak Mountain on CR 41. GREAT potential and/or investment option.

  24. 2024-04-05
    listed $349,000 Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    This property has 8 acres +/- of gorgeous land that backs up to Highland Lakes Subdivision. Easy access, and tons of trees, privacy and nature. The house is a 3BR 1BA older home that needs improvements. Great school system and location that can't be beat! This property sits at the foot of Double Oak Mountain on CR 41. GREAT potential and/or investment option.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,485 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,485 · $124/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,609
− Mortgage interest
−$16,188
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$1,445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,969
− Management
−$1,969
− Depreciation
−$8,407
Taxable loss
−$6,854
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,645
After-tax cash flow
$-30/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shelby County
NCES district ID
0103030
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$66,672
Composite
39.29/100
National rank
#3995
State rank
#16 of 129 in AL

Livability — Highland Lakes

Score
62/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#16940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland Lakes, AL
County
Shelby County · 188,970 people
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
57,374
Household income
$117,047
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
1518.0

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
237,024 people
By 2030
249,868 · +5.4%
By 2040
272,778 · +15.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +22.8%
By 2075
326,049 · +37.6%
By 2100
335,870 · +41.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 10% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.14%
Current HPI
208.0564
Rent YoY
▲ 0.81%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $289,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-11-09 Price Changed $299,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-10-03 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-08-10 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-08-09 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-07-30 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-04-05 Listed $349,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,485 · -47.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…