The Harrington Brunswick Ave · Kimberly, AL 35091

$293,900

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,565 sqft · SingleFamily · 339 Days on market

Built 2026 $115/sqft · 23% below area Est $382k · 23% under ↓ 2% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +8.1/30.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• 1% rule +2.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.1/10.0
• Schools +1.8/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

One of our top-selling plans, the Harrington, captivates with its huge primary suite, privately located on the second floor alongside three additional bedrooms. The first floor showcases an open-concept design, featuring an open kitchen with granite countertops and a large kitchen island, seamlessly connecting to the family room and breakfast nook. Enjoy the elegance of 9ft high ceilings and the versatility of a dining room that can easily transform into a living room, study, or even a fifth bedroom and bathroom. A charming front porch adds to the home's allure. Don’t miss out on this exceptional opportunity—reach out today to learn more or schedule your showing!

Key facts

• Breakfast nook
• Large center island
• Dining room

Tags

• SECOND-FLOOR OWNER'S SUITE
• OPEN-CONCEPT FAMILY ROOM
• BREAKFAST NOOK
• LARGE CENTER ISLAND
• DINING ROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $294k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-360 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (17.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (25.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $220k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 4.2% in Kimberly — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#99 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 339 days — a 12% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $220,000 (25.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 339 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.75% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.10%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.27%
• DSCR: 0.81
• GRM: 11.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $381,827
• List price: $293,900
• Delta: -23.03%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
10404 Meadowsweet Dr	0.00mi	4/3.0	2,273 (-11%)	2mo	$369,885	$163	78
553 Rimel Farms Pkwy	0.00mi	4/3.0	2,273 (-11%)	5mo	$362,400	$159	75
457 Clearwater Ter	0.53mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,511 (-2%)	4mo	$359,000	$143	62
450 Doss Ferry Pkwy	0.39mi	5/3.5 (+1)	2,791 (+9%)	2mo	$395,000	$142	57
500 Way Station Pl	0.75mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,511 (-2%)	1mo	$344,900	$137	54
512 Way Station Pl	0.73mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,511 (-2%)	3mo	$349,900	$139	53
201 Expressman Ln	0.53mi	4/3.0	2,273 (-11%)	2mo	$378,075	$166	52
461 Clearwater Ter	0.51mi	4/3.0	2,239 (-13%)	1mo	$369,000	$165	52
245 Expressman Ln	0.51mi	4/3.0	2,273 (-11%)	4mo	$375,000	$165	52
428 Reinsman Cv	0.65mi	4/2.5	2,256 (-12%)	1mo	$334,900	$148	49
516 Way Station Pl	0.73mi	4/2.5	2,256 (-12%)	1mo	$334,900	$148	45
508 Way Station Pl	0.75mi	4/2.5	2,256 (-12%)	3mo	$334,900	$148	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.67×
• Total profit: $137,241
• Equity at exit: $264,768

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.7%
• Equity multiple: 6.13×
• Total profit: $422,306
• Equity at exit: $570,983

Cash invested: $82,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35091

• Home prices YoY: 8.8%
• Active inventory: 129
• Price-to-rent: 11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,200 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,541
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$367 /mo · $4,408/yr
• Insurance: −$122
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$462
• Net cashflow: $-360

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,655

Max offer price $241,875

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-156	-5% $-258	+0% $-360	+5% $-461	+10% $-563
Rent	-10% $-533	-5% $-446	+0% $-360	+5% $-273	+10% $-186
Rate	-1.0pp $-212	-0.5pp $-285	base $-360	+0.5pp $-436	+1.0pp $-513

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $73,475
• Closing costs: $8,817
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
516 Way Station Pl Kimberly, AL	4.0	3.0	2256	$2,200	$0.98	3d	1	0.73mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $293,900 Active 339 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $293,900 Active 338 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $293,900 Active 337 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $293,900 Active 336 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $293,900 Active 334 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $293,900 Active 331 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $293,900 Active 330 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $293,900 Active 329 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $293,900 Active 328 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $293,900 Active 324 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $293,900 Active 323 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $293,900 Active 322 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $293,900 Active 321 DOM
14. 2026-05-01
    price $293,900 683-char remark

    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    One of our top-selling plans, the Harrington, captivates with its huge primary suite, privately located on the second floor alongside three additional bedrooms. The first floor showcases an open-concept design, featuring an open kitchen with granite countertops and a large kitchen island, seamlessly connecting to the family room and breakfast nook. Enjoy the elegance of 9ft high ceilings and the versatility of a dining room that can easily transform into a living room, study, or even a fifth bedroom and bathroom. A charming front porch adds to the home's allure. Don’t miss out on this exceptional opportunity—reach out today to learn more or schedule your showing!

15. 2026-02-03
    price $291,900 683-char remark

    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    One of our top-selling plans, the Harrington, captivates with its huge primary suite, privately located on the second floor alongside three additional bedrooms. The first floor showcases an open-concept design, featuring an open kitchen with granite countertops and a large kitchen island, seamlessly connecting to the family room and breakfast nook. Enjoy the elegance of 9ft high ceilings and the versatility of a dining room that can easily transform into a living room, study, or even a fifth bedroom and bathroom. A charming front porch adds to the home's allure. Don’t miss out on this exceptional opportunity—reach out today to learn more or schedule your showing!

16. 2025-12-12
    price $289,900 683-char remark

    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    One of our top-selling plans, the Harrington, captivates with its huge primary suite, privately located on the second floor alongside three additional bedrooms. The first floor showcases an open-concept design, featuring an open kitchen with granite countertops and a large kitchen island, seamlessly connecting to the family room and breakfast nook. Enjoy the elegance of 9ft high ceilings and the versatility of a dining room that can easily transform into a living room, study, or even a fifth bedroom and bathroom. A charming front porch adds to the home's allure. Don’t miss out on this exceptional opportunity—reach out today to learn more or schedule your showing!

17. 2025-07-14
    listed $299,900 Active 683-char remark

    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    One of our top-selling plans, the Harrington, captivates with its huge primary suite, privately located on the second floor alongside three additional bedrooms. The first floor showcases an open-concept design, featuring an open kitchen with granite countertops and a large kitchen island, seamlessly connecting to the family room and breakfast nook. Enjoy the elegance of 9ft high ceilings and the versatility of a dining room that can easily transform into a living room, study, or even a fifth bedroom and bathroom. A charming front porch adds to the home's allure. Don’t miss out on this exceptional opportunity—reach out today to learn more or schedule your showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,400
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,463
• − Property taxes: −$4,408
• − Insurance: −$2,267
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,112
• − Management: −$2,112
• − Depreciation: −$8,550
• Taxable loss: −$9,512
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,283
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,031/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jefferson County
• NCES district ID: 0101920
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -24.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $51,712
• Composite: 18.4/100
• National rank: #8937
• State rank: #104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Kimberly

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #99
• US rank: #11415

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Kimberly, AL
• Population (ZIP): 3,632

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 669,185 people
• By 2030: 669,694 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 661,388 · -1.2%
• By 2050: 643,086 · -3.9%
• By 2075: 577,267 · -13.7%
• By 2100: 474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Black 5% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 21.37%
• Current HPI: 265.4636
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

-2.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Price Changed $293,900 Greater Alabama MLS
• 2026-02-03 Price Changed $291,900 Greater Alabama MLS
• 2025-12-12 Price Changed $289,900 Greater Alabama MLS
• 2025-07-14 Listed $299,900 Greater Alabama MLS