113 Chatham Villa Dr · Garden City, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$197,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Price Improvement & New Roof! Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home offering, comfort and functionality. This home features a cozy living room with plenty of natural light, creating a warm and inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes a convenient eat-in area. The solid brick exterior provides durability and low maintenance, while the spacious yard offers ample room for outdoor activities, gardening, or future improvements. A covered parking area and extended driveway add to the home’s practicality. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, downsizers, or investors, this property offers great potential and value. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and major roadways. Electrical has been updated . . Home Qualifies for Ga Dream
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Natural light
- Extended driveway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $197k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($737/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.1% in Garden City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#477 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $197k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.34%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $209,799
- List price
- $197,000
- Delta
- -6.10%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 Olmstead Pl | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,194 (+2%) | 15mo | $215,000 | $180 | 68 |
| 221 Byck Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-6%) | 22mo | $215,000 | $195 | 61 |
| 89 Bays Ave | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,239 (+5%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $105 | 61 |
| 147 Camellia Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (+5%) | 1mo | $228,500 | $185 | 56 |
| 109 Chatham Villa Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+15%) | 19mo | $215,000 | $159 | 55 |
| 305 Chatham Villa Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-15%) | 15mo | $192,500 | $193 | 48 |
| 4023 6th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,169 (-0%) | 17mo | $249,900 | $214 | 46 |
| 119 Nelson Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,238 (+5%) | 21mo | $250,000 | $202 | 39 |
| 42 Rommel Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,087 (-8%) | 18mo | $215,000 | $198 | 35 |
| 4102 4th St | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,300 (+11%) | 13mo | $265,000 | $204 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-28,076
- Equity at exit
- $29,373
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-19,677
- Equity at exit
- $17,033
Cash invested: $55,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31408
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,616 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,033
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,204/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $173 | -5% $117 | +0% $61 | +5% $6 | +10% $-50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-66 | -5% $-2 | +0% $61 | +5% $125 | +10% $189 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $161 | -0.5pp $112 | base $61 | +0.5pp $10 | +1.0pp $-42 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,250
- Closing costs
- $5,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Denmark St Garden City, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 915 | $1,315 | $1.44 | 45d | 3 | 0.40mi |
| 320 Chatham Villa Dr Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 99 Main St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3508 Haslam Ave Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,395 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 901 Kessler Ct Garden City, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4024 Kessler Ave Savannah, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $1,550 | $1.74 | 45d | 4 | 1.25mi |
| 4035 Kessler Ave Savannah, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1164 | $1,925 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1326 US-80 W Garden City, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $1,850 | $1.96 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-22price $197,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $210,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $210,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $220,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $220,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $220,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $220,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $220,000 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
Price Improvement & New Roof! Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home offering, comfort and functionality. This home features a cozy living room with plenty of natural light, creating a warm and inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes a convenient eat-in area. The solid brick exterior provides durability and low maintenance, while the spacious yard offers ample room for outdoor activities, gardening, or future improvements. A covered parking area and extended driveway add to the home’s practicality. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, downsizers, or investors, this property offers great potential and value. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and major roadways. Electrical has been updated . . Home Qualifies for Ga Dream
-
2026-04-16status Active 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
Price Improvement & New Roof! Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home offering, comfort and functionality. This home features a cozy living room with plenty of natural light, creating a warm and inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes a convenient eat-in area. The solid brick exterior provides durability and low maintenance, while the spacious yard offers ample room for outdoor activities, gardening, or future improvements. A covered parking area and extended driveway add to the home’s practicality. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, downsizers, or investors, this property offers great potential and value. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and major roadways. Electrical has been updated . . Home Qualifies for Ga Dream
-
2026-04-08status Pending 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
Price Improvement & New Roof! Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home offering, comfort and functionality. This home features a cozy living room with plenty of natural light, creating a warm and inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes a convenient eat-in area. The solid brick exterior provides durability and low maintenance, while the spacious yard offers ample room for outdoor activities, gardening, or future improvements. A covered parking area and extended driveway add to the home’s practicality. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, downsizers, or investors, this property offers great potential and value. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and major roadways. Electrical has been updated . . Home Qualifies for Ga Dream
-
2026-03-17$225,000 Active 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
Price Improvement & New Roof! Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home offering, comfort and functionality. This home features a cozy living room with plenty of natural light, creating a warm and inviting space for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes a convenient eat-in area. The solid brick exterior provides durability and low maintenance, while the spacious yard offers ample room for outdoor activities, gardening, or future improvements. A covered parking area and extended driveway add to the home’s practicality. Perfect for first-time homebuyers, downsizers, or investors, this property offers great potential and value. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and major roadways. Electrical has been updated . . Home Qualifies for Ga Dream
-
2008-07-29soldstatus $79,700
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2008-07-28soldstatus $79,665 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
PRICE REDUCED !! ALL BRICK AND WALK TO SCHOOLS. .. 3 bdrsm, 1 bth, cozy, well kept home. Nice open kicthen with pass thru to dining room. Owner willing to make repairs for FHA loan.
-
2008-04-13$86,900 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
PRICE REDUCED !! ALL BRICK AND WALK TO SCHOOLS. .. 3 bdrsm, 1 bth, cozy, well kept home. Nice open kicthen with pass thru to dining room. Owner willing to make repairs for FHA loan.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,204 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,812 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$608/yr (+$51/mo · 50.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,396
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,035
- − Property taxes
- −$1,204
- − Insurance
- −$985
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,552
- − Management
- −$1,552
- − Depreciation
- −$5,731
- Taxable loss
- −$2,662
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$639
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Savannah-Chatham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,443
- Composite
- 20.14/100
- National rank
- #8639
- State rank
- #134 of 174 in GA
Livability — Garden City
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #477
- US rank
- #22346
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Garden City, GA
- City population
- 11,791
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,791
Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 332,584 people
- By 2030
- 355,508 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 400,030 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 443,019 · +33.2%
- By 2075
- 534,579 · +60.7%
- By 2100
- 583,863 · +75.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chatham
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.98%
- Current HPI
- 309.1601
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+153.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $220,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $225,000 Hive MLS
- 2008-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $79,700 Public Records
- 2008-07-28 Sold (MLS) $79,665 Hive MLS
- 2008-04-13 Listed $86,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,204 · +62.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…