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1522 Illinois Ave
B Composite 70.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

1522 Illinois Ave · Lansing, MI 48906
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 177 Days on market
Built 1924 4,356 sqft lot $129/sqft · at area comps Est $100k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Optimal opportunity for a Michigan State University Family/Student. Within 10 Minutes to the Michigan State University Campus. Cozy three bedroom, two full bathroom home offering an easy-to-maintain layout and a spacious upstairs bedroom perfect for a private retreat. The basement is equipped with a large tub, sink, and toilet for added functionality. Relax on the covered front porch and enjoy a prime location close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Large tub
  • Close to dining

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS UPSTAIRS BEDROOMLARGE TUBCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO DINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.12%
Cash-on-cash
17.26%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,620
List price
$99,000
Delta
-0.62%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1102 Persons Ct 0.37mi 3/1.0 720 (-6%) 5mo $67,500 $94 68
1035 May St 0.61mi 3/1.0 786 (+2%) 2mo $55,000 $70 66
1427 Sheldon St 0.31mi 3/1.0 820 (+7%) 10mo $95,000 $116 66
1022 Persons Ct 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 714 (-7%) 0mo $66,000 $92 65
1633 Illinois Ave 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 660 (-14%) 1mo $90,000 $136 65
1624 N High St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (+8%) 4mo $78,700 $95 64
1530 Ballard St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+12%) 2mo $40,000 $46 57
930 Mahlon St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 704 (-8%) 3mo $60,000 $85 56
1107 May St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 704 (-8%) 1mo $89,500 $127 52
1312 Otto St 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 652 (-15%) 1mo $113,500 $174 52
919 Mahlon St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 678 (-12%) 4mo $96,000 $142 50
614 Woodbury Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 672 (-12%) 7mo $50,000 $74 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$16,641
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
3.90×
Total profit
$80,369
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48906

Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,376 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,534/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $871
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $455 -5% $427 +0% $399 +5% $371 +10% $343
Rent -10% $290 -5% $344 +0% $399 +5% $453 +10% $507
Rate -1.0pp $448 -0.5pp $424 base $399 +0.5pp $373 +1.0pp $347

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1561 Massachusetts Ave Lansing, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 44d 1 0.16mi
824 Cleveland St Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 839 $1,150 $1.37 21d 1 0.55mi
1715 Peppertree Ln Lansing, MI 2.0–3.0 1.5 1120 $1,595 $1.42 44d 2 0.57mi
730 Johnson Ave Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 840 $1,225 $1.46 44d 1 0.64mi
1228 N Fairview Ave Lansing, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 44d 1 0.67mi
832 N Larch St Apt 3 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 890 $1,095 $1.23 44d 1 0.78mi
936 N Fairview Ave Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,245 $1.51 44d 2 0.81mi
620 May St Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1126 $1,578 $1.40 14d 12 0.81mi
1245 Weber Dr Unit 2 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 44d 1 0.85mi
117 E North St Unit A Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 812 $1,050 $1.29 14d 1 0.96mi
905 E Shiawassee St Unit 837-02 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 44d 1 0.99mi
905 E Shiawassee St Unit 837-01 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 44d 1 0.99mi
2620 Senate Dr Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,800 $1.89 44d 1 1.06mi
2520 Lake Lansing Rd Lansing, MI 2.0 2.0 1049 $1,668 $1.59 14d 13 1.10mi
1115 Chester Rd Unit Two Bedroom Lansing, MI 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 1.14mi
2417 Kerry St Unit 11 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 44d 1 1.16mi
414 N Hayford Ave Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0 990 $1,425 $1.44 44d 1 1.17mi
1629 E Michigan Ave Unit 306 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 901 $1,550 $1.72 44d 1 1.24mi
2937 Kenwick Cir Unit 2928 2931 2936 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 922 $999 $1.08 21d 1 1.24mi
113 Pere Marquette Dr Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1065 $2,250 $2.11 14d 9 1.29mi
208 S Bingham St Lansing, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,500 $1.47 14d 1 1.33mi
2222 E Michigan Ave Unit 411 Lansing, MI 2.0 2.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 21d 1 1.40mi
2222 E Michigan Ave Unit 206 Lansing, MI 2.0 2.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 44d 1 1.41mi
1010 N Pine St Unit B Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 44d 1 1.41mi
524 N Walnut St Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 1.44mi
410 W Lapeer St Unit 1 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 21d 1 1.46mi
427 Seymour Ave Unit 315 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 44d 1 1.46mi
427 Seymour Ave Unit 315 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 21d 1 1.46mi
1502 S Shore Dr East Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0–2.0 689 $1,900 $2.76 14d 14 1.48mi
1705 Coolidge Rd East Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 177 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 176 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 175 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 174 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 172 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 171 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 169 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 168 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 167 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 166 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 163 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 162 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 161 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 160 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 159 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 158 DOM
  17. 2025-12-23
    listed $99,000 Active 467-char remark
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Optimal opportunity for a Michigan State University Family/Student. Within 10 Minutes to the Michigan State University Campus. Cozy three bedroom, two full bathroom home offering an easy-to-maintain layout and a spacious upstairs bedroom perfect for a private retreat. The basement is equipped with a large tub, sink, and toilet for added functionality. Relax on the covered front porch and enjoy a prime location close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences.

  18. 2025-12-23
    listed $99,000 Active 467-char remark
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Optimal opportunity for a Michigan State University Family/Student. Within 10 Minutes to the Michigan State University Campus. Cozy three bedroom, two full bathroom home offering an easy-to-maintain layout and a spacious upstairs bedroom perfect for a private retreat. The basement is equipped with a large tub, sink, and toilet for added functionality. Relax on the covered front porch and enjoy a prime location close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,534 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,534 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,509
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,534
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,321
− Management
−$1,321
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$3,414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$819
After-tax cash flow
$3,964/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lansing Public School District
NCES district ID
2621150
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,453
Composite
18.76/100
National rank
#14002
State rank
#650 of 760 in MI

Livability — Lansing

Score
79/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#2182

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansing, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
City population
161,269
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,901
Household income
$64,315
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
851.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 15% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.54%
Current HPI
228.7023
Rent YoY
▲ 10.50%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,534 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…