6737 Campanilla · Vero Beach South, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.9/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bath CBS home built in 1997, offering comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. This well-cared-for residence features tile and laminate flooring throughout and a bright, updated white kitchen with modern granite countertops. Major improvement includes a roof replaced approximately in 2015, providing added peace of mind. Fully enclosed porch. Furniture is negotiable. Located in Spanish Lakes Fairway, a 55+ active adult community with a 99-year land lease, the monthly fee of $620.15 covers lawn maintenance, trash collection, and unlimited use of the community's extensive amenities. Residents enjoy heated pools, 18-hole Golf Course, pickleball, tennis courts, shufflebo
Key facts
- 5,610 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Senior community; Community amenities include: clubhouse, pool, fitness center, sauna, game room, billiard room, business center, library, picnic area, courtesy bus, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard court, bocce ball
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water and sewer available
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Entry-level living area; North-facing
- Construction: Concrete/CBS construction; Composition shingle roof
- Exterior features: Screened patio and screened porch; Patio; Porch; Glass-enclosed porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Vaulted ceiling; High ceilings; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout; Blinds and drapes; Sliding windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home; Laundry tub
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $224k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.3% in Vero Beach South — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#163 in FL, #2,445 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $224k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.99%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,396
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6539 Yedra Ave | 0.32mi | 2/2.5 | 1,839 (+7%) | 2mo | $309,000 | $168 | 69 |
| 6631 Nuevo Lagos | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,714 (0%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $102 | 68 |
| 6655 Alemendra St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,530 (-11%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $114 | 66 |
| 14374 Azucena Court Ct | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,599 (-7%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $109 | 64 |
| 6449 Alemendra St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,753 (+2%) | 5mo | $309,000 | $176 | 63 |
| 14126 Cisne Cir | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,487 (-13%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $101 | 53 |
| 14434 Azucena Ct | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,487 (-13%) | 24mo | $170,000 | $114 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-13,144
- Equity at exit
- $33,399
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $18,079
- Equity at exit
- $19,367
Cash invested: $62,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34951
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,140 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,175
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $685/yr
- Insurance
- −$93
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,000
- Closing costs
- $6,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6765 Spanish Lakes Blvd Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $224,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $224,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $224,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-02-11$224,000 Active
-
2026-01-09historical
-
2025-12-19status Active
-
2025-11-21$225,000 Active
-
2025-09-03historical
-
2025-08-29$215,000 Active
-
2018-12-21soldstatus $110,000 Closed
-
2018-12-06soldstatus $110,000
-
2018-11-11status Pending
-
2018-10-25$114,000 Active
-
2018-09-30historical
-
2018-09-25soldstatus $107,000
-
2018-07-05price $112,000
-
2018-06-24price $112,500
-
2018-04-26$115,000 Active
-
2013-09-22historical
-
2004-07-06soldstatus $119,000
-
2004-03-26$119,000
-
2003-01-30soldstatus $85,000
-
2003-01-21soldstatus $85,000
-
2002-12-07historical
-
2002-10-31$87,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,859 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,174/yr (+$98/mo · 171.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,675
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,547
- − Property taxes
- −$685
- − Insurance
- −$1,120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,054
- − Management
- −$2,054
- − Depreciation
- −$6,516
- Taxable income
- $698
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$168
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Vero Beach South
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #2445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,148
- Household income
- $63,122
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 140.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.06%
- Current HPI
- 343.1376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+156.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listed $224,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-09 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-12-19 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2025-11-21 Listed $225,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-08-29 Listed $215,000 MARMLS
- 2018-12-21 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Beaches MLS
- 2018-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-11 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2018-10-25 Listed $114,000 Beaches MLS
- 2018-09-30 Listing Removed — MCRTC
- 2018-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-05 Price Changed $112,000 MCRTC
- 2018-06-24 Price Changed $112,500 MCRTC
- 2018-04-26 Listed $115,000 MCRTC
- 2013-09-22 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2004-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $119,000 Public Records
- 2004-03-26 Listed $119,000 Beaches MLS
- 2003-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2003-01-21 Sold (MLS) $85,000 Beaches MLS
- 2002-12-07 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2002-10-31 Listed $87,500 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $685 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…