4 Delcrest Ct #104 · University City, MO
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$151,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac, this two-bedroom condo—with the convenience of an IN-UNIT LAUNDRY HOOK-UP—offers a lifestyle of comfort, ease, and modern style. Its central location provides quick access to I-170, Downtown Clayton, Forest Park, Washington University, and the vibrant shopping and dining options along Delmar Boulevard. Recent improvements, including new flooring, a new stove, and a new dishwasher, enhance both functionality and appeal. The condominium features two well-sized bedrooms, a bright and light kitchen, a full bathroom, and abundant natural light throughout. An open and inviting living room with an oversized picture window overlooks the front yard, complemented by a spacious dining room and a generous walk-in closet. Additional perks include secure, assigned garage parking for one car—rounding out a truly desirable opportunity for convenient, stylish living. Passed the University City Occupancy Inspection. Ready for you!
Key facts
- New stove
- Central location
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $152k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-287/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (2.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
- Recommended offer: $134k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in University City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#84 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D-, commute D-, health & safety F.
- University City (suburban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #297 of 324 in MO (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Flynn Park Elem. (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #537 of 1,115 statewide, top 53%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Brittany Woods (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #350 of 391 statewide, top 90%, 532 students, 100% FRL); University City Sr. High (math 5% / reading 52%, grade F, #409 of 521 statewide, top 79%, 726 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 11% of the median local income ($194k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $152k implies a 234% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.67%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,572
- List price
- $151,900
- Delta
- -4.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-25,845
- Equity at exit
- $22,649
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-23,283
- Equity at exit
- $13,134
Cash invested: $42,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63124
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,841 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$797
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,528/yr
- Insurance
- −$63
- HOA
- −$491
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $-24
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $62 | -5% $19 | +0% $-24 | +5% $-67 | +10% $-110 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-169 | -5% $-97 | +0% $-24 | +5% $49 | +10% $122 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $53 | -0.5pp $15 | base $-24 | +0.5pp $-63 | +1.0pp $-103 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,975
- Closing costs
- $4,557
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8342 Delcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1089 | $2,326 | $2.13 | 0d | 16 | 0.11mi |
| 8241 Delmar Blvd Apt 2E St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 8400 Delmar Blvd St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $2,967 | $2.95 | 0d | 8 | 0.23mi |
| 8500 Maryland Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1156 | $3,216 | $2.78 | 0d | 17 | 0.38mi |
| 8650 Kingsbridge Dr St. Louis, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 887 | $1,150 | $1.30 | 0d | 9 | 0.57mi |
| 8701 Delmar Blvd Unit 8701-3D Delmar St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 41 Brighton Way Unit 2N Clayton, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 19d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1 Heartwoods Ct Unit A St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,495 | $1.76 | 16d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 910 N McKnight Rd St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 0d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8669 Old Towne Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1185 | $1,874 | $1.58 | 0d | 9 | 0.88mi |
| 7812 Drexel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 978 Warder Ave University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,145 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7737 Wild Plum Ln University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7720 Ahern Ave University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1086 Wilshire Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,297 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8056 Davis Dr Unit 80562N Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,700 | $2.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1276 Vaughan Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 8154 Whitburn Dr Unit 2W Clayton, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,550 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 8154 Whitburn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 19d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1245 North and South Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,200 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7350 Amherst Ave Unit 1E University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 19d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 8303 Braddock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,075 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1150 N Price Rd St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $2,758 | $2.76 | 0d | 150 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $491 · $5,892/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $151,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $151,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $151,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $151,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $151,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $151,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $151,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $151,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $151,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $151,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $153,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $153,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $153,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $153,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $153,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-03-12price $153,900 976-char remark
Show marketing remark (976 chars)
Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac, this two-bedroom condo—with the convenience of an IN-UNIT LAUNDRY HOOK-UP—offers a lifestyle of comfort, ease, and modern style. Its central location provides quick access to I-170, Downtown Clayton, Forest Park, Washington University, and the vibrant shopping and dining options along Delmar Boulevard. Recent improvements, including new flooring, a new stove, and a new dishwasher, enhance both functionality and appeal. The condominium features two well-sized bedrooms, a bright and light kitchen, a full bathroom, and abundant natural light throughout. An open and inviting living room with an oversized picture window overlooks the front yard, complemented by a spacious dining room and a generous walk-in closet. Additional perks include secure, assigned garage parking for one car—rounding out a truly desirable opportunity for convenient, stylish living. Passed the University City Occupancy Inspection. Ready for you!
-
2026-01-27status Active 976-char remark
Show marketing remark (976 chars)
Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac, this two-bedroom condo—with the convenience of an IN-UNIT LAUNDRY HOOK-UP—offers a lifestyle of comfort, ease, and modern style. Its central location provides quick access to I-170, Downtown Clayton, Forest Park, Washington University, and the vibrant shopping and dining options along Delmar Boulevard. Recent improvements, including new flooring, a new stove, and a new dishwasher, enhance both functionality and appeal. The condominium features two well-sized bedrooms, a bright and light kitchen, a full bathroom, and abundant natural light throughout. An open and inviting living room with an oversized picture window overlooks the front yard, complemented by a spacious dining room and a generous walk-in closet. Additional perks include secure, assigned garage parking for one car—rounding out a truly desirable opportunity for convenient, stylish living. Passed the University City Occupancy Inspection. Ready for you!
-
2026-01-14historical Active Under Contract 976-char remark
Show marketing remark (976 chars)
Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac, this two-bedroom condo—with the convenience of an IN-UNIT LAUNDRY HOOK-UP—offers a lifestyle of comfort, ease, and modern style. Its central location provides quick access to I-170, Downtown Clayton, Forest Park, Washington University, and the vibrant shopping and dining options along Delmar Boulevard. Recent improvements, including new flooring, a new stove, and a new dishwasher, enhance both functionality and appeal. The condominium features two well-sized bedrooms, a bright and light kitchen, a full bathroom, and abundant natural light throughout. An open and inviting living room with an oversized picture window overlooks the front yard, complemented by a spacious dining room and a generous walk-in closet. Additional perks include secure, assigned garage parking for one car—rounding out a truly desirable opportunity for convenient, stylish living. Passed the University City Occupancy Inspection. Ready for you!
-
2025-11-19$159,900 Active 976-char remark
Show marketing remark (976 chars)
Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac, this two-bedroom condo—with the convenience of an IN-UNIT LAUNDRY HOOK-UP—offers a lifestyle of comfort, ease, and modern style. Its central location provides quick access to I-170, Downtown Clayton, Forest Park, Washington University, and the vibrant shopping and dining options along Delmar Boulevard. Recent improvements, including new flooring, a new stove, and a new dishwasher, enhance both functionality and appeal. The condominium features two well-sized bedrooms, a bright and light kitchen, a full bathroom, and abundant natural light throughout. An open and inviting living room with an oversized picture window overlooks the front yard, complemented by a spacious dining room and a generous walk-in closet. Additional perks include secure, assigned garage parking for one car—rounding out a truly desirable opportunity for convenient, stylish living. Passed the University City Occupancy Inspection. Ready for you!
-
1994-09-01soldstatus $45,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,528 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,528 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,509
- − Property taxes
- −$1,528
- − Insurance
- −$760
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,767
- − Management
- −$1,767
- − HOA
- −$5,892
- − Depreciation
- −$4,419
- Taxable loss
- −$2,551
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$612
- After-tax cash flow
- $325/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- University City
- NCES district ID
- 2930660
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,927
- Composite
- 18.57/100
- National rank
- #8910
- State rank
- #297 of 324 in MO
Livability — University City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #5618
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- University City, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 28,910
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,839
- Household income
- $193,942
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 203.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Iranian 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -262.85%
- Current HPI
- 211.878
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+238.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $153,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-19 Listed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2022): $1,528 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…