🏷️ Likely Rental
16 Essex St Unit 5D · Hartford, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$94,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Renovated Condo - Ideal Investment Opportunity Welcome to this beautifully renovated 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom condo offering comfort, style, and strong investment potential. The unit features a spacious bedroom with direct access to a private patio-perfect for relaxing mornings or unwinding in the evening. The inviting living room boasts a cozy fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. The updated interior showcases modern finishes throughout, making this home truly move-in ready. Currently tenant-occupied, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for investors seeking immediate rental income. The lease is in place through December; however, the tenant is open to vacating earlier, offering flexibility for both investors and owner-occupants. **The heating and cooling system was replaced on 11/23; New washer & dryer was installed on 10/23; and a New electric range was put in on 11/24. This condo also has a dedicated off-street parking space for one vehicle; and as well a Locked storage area in the basement.. Located minutes from downtown Hartford, Hartford Hospital, ball park, restaurants, and all major highways, this condo is a must see.
Key facts
- Renovated condo
- Private patio
- Locked storage area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
- Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.31%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,294
- List price
- $94,999
- Delta
- -26.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $78,011
- Equity at exit
- $85,583
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.62×
- Total profit
- $202,621
- Equity at exit
- $184,562
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06114
- Home prices YoY
- 4.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,694 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,612/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$216
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $450
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 Main St Hartford, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $1,800 | $2.48 | 24d | 4 | 0.51mi |
| 100 Wells St Hartford, CT | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,840 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 20 Front St Hartford, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $2,135 | $3.22 | 3d | 15 | 0.87mi |
| 55 Trumbull St Hartford, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $1,280 | $1.26 | 10d | 8 | 0.94mi |
| 21 Temple St Hartford, CT | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 836 | $1,189 | $1.42 | 10d | 8 | 1.12mi |
| 1143 Main St Hartford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $2,347 | $2.44 | 3d | 203 | 1.29mi |
| 1212 Main St Hartford, CT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 766 | $2,396 | $3.13 | 3d | 18 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $216 · $2,592/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,999 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,999 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08status $94,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Under Contract 1186-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Charming Renovated Condo - Ideal Investment Opportunity Welcome to this beautifully renovated 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom condo offering comfort, style, and strong investment potential. The unit features a spacious bedroom with direct access to a private patio-perfect for relaxing mornings or unwinding in the evening. The inviting living room boasts a cozy fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. The updated interior showcases modern finishes throughout, making this home truly move-in ready. Currently tenant-occupied, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for investors seeking immediate rental income. The lease is in place through December; however, the tenant is open to vacating earlier, offering flexibility for both investors and owner-occupants. **The heating and cooling system was replaced on 11/23; New washer & dryer was installed on 10/23; and a New electric range was put in on 11/24. This condo also has a dedicated off-street parking space for one vehicle; and as well a Locked storage area in the basement.. Located minutes from downtown Hartford, Hartford Hospital, ball park, restaurants, and all major highways, this condo is a must see.
-
2026-05-02status Active 1186-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Charming Renovated Condo - Ideal Investment Opportunity Welcome to this beautifully renovated 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom condo offering comfort, style, and strong investment potential. The unit features a spacious bedroom with direct access to a private patio-perfect for relaxing mornings or unwinding in the evening. The inviting living room boasts a cozy fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. The updated interior showcases modern finishes throughout, making this home truly move-in ready. Currently tenant-occupied, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for investors seeking immediate rental income. The lease is in place through December; however, the tenant is open to vacating earlier, offering flexibility for both investors and owner-occupants. **The heating and cooling system was replaced on 11/23; New washer & dryer was installed on 10/23; and a New electric range was put in on 11/24. This condo also has a dedicated off-street parking space for one vehicle; and as well a Locked storage area in the basement.. Located minutes from downtown Hartford, Hartford Hospital, ball park, restaurants, and all major highways, this condo is a must see.
-
2026-04-30historical 1186-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Charming Renovated Condo - Ideal Investment Opportunity Welcome to this beautifully renovated 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom condo offering comfort, style, and strong investment potential. The unit features a spacious bedroom with direct access to a private patio-perfect for relaxing mornings or unwinding in the evening. The inviting living room boasts a cozy fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. The updated interior showcases modern finishes throughout, making this home truly move-in ready. Currently tenant-occupied, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for investors seeking immediate rental income. The lease is in place through December; however, the tenant is open to vacating earlier, offering flexibility for both investors and owner-occupants. **The heating and cooling system was replaced on 11/23; New washer & dryer was installed on 10/23; and a New electric range was put in on 11/24. This condo also has a dedicated off-street parking space for one vehicle; and as well a Locked storage area in the basement.. Located minutes from downtown Hartford, Hartford Hospital, ball park, restaurants, and all major highways, this condo is a must see.
-
2026-04-19$94,999 Active 1186-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Charming Renovated Condo - Ideal Investment Opportunity Welcome to this beautifully renovated 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom condo offering comfort, style, and strong investment potential. The unit features a spacious bedroom with direct access to a private patio-perfect for relaxing mornings or unwinding in the evening. The inviting living room boasts a cozy fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. The updated interior showcases modern finishes throughout, making this home truly move-in ready. Currently tenant-occupied, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for investors seeking immediate rental income. The lease is in place through December; however, the tenant is open to vacating earlier, offering flexibility for both investors and owner-occupants. **The heating and cooling system was replaced on 11/23; New washer & dryer was installed on 10/23; and a New electric range was put in on 11/24. This condo also has a dedicated off-street parking space for one vehicle; and as well a Locked storage area in the basement.. Located minutes from downtown Hartford, Hartford Hospital, ball park, restaurants, and all major highways, this condo is a must see.
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-10-24status Active
-
2025-10-24price $99,000
-
2025-09-30status Under Contract
-
2025-09-17price $99,900
-
2025-09-08price $104,999
-
2025-08-27status Active
-
2025-05-27status Under Contract
-
2025-05-20$110,000 Active
-
2023-08-16soldstatus $79,900
-
2023-08-07soldstatus $79,900 Closed
-
2023-07-17status Under Contract
-
2023-07-08$79,900 Active
-
2023-07-01historical $79,900
-
2006-01-04soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,612 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,822 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$210/yr (+$18/mo · 13.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,328
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,612
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,626
- − Management
- −$1,626
- − HOA
- −$2,592
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $4,312
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,035
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,367/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hartford School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901920
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,521
- Composite
- 13.54/100
- National rank
- #9514
- State rank
- #150 of 153 in CT
Livability — Hartford
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #3553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hartford, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 121,162
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,458
- Household income
- $52,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1897.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% White 19% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 36% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- American 6% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 49% Russian/Polish/Slavic 8% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.02%
- Current HPI
- 356.5892
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.47%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+35.7% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-19 Listed $94,999 Smart MLS
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-10-24 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $99,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-09-30 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $99,900 Smart MLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $104,999 Smart MLS
- 2025-08-27 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2025-05-27 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-05-20 Listed $110,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 2023-08-07 Sold (MLS) $79,900 Smart MLS
- 2023-07-17 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2023-07-08 Listed $79,900 Smart MLS
- 2023-07-01 Coming Soon $79,900 Smart MLS
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,612 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…