25843 Loudon · Brownstown, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home that perfectly blends comfort, functionality, and modern style. Inside, you’ll find luxury plank flooring throughout most of the home, creating a warm, elegant feel while offering durability for everyday living. The heart of the home features a kitchen highlighted by a walk-in pantry and a island that adds additional cabinet space, providing exceptional storage and prep area. An extra-large mudroom/laundry room adds even more convenience, offering plenty of space for daily routines and storage. The thoughtfully designed floor plan includes a private master suite featuring a large walk-in closet and an ensuite bath, creating a relaxing retreat. Two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside, the property boasts an extra-long driveway, allowing ample parking with the option to add a garage for even more flexibility. Residents also enjoy community amenities including a playground and a community pool, making this home an excellent choice for both comfort and lifestyle. Television with mount in the master bedroom stays with the home.
Key facts
- Private master suite
- Extra-large mudroom
- Ensuite bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $88k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($597/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Woodhaven-Brownstown School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #189 of 540 in MI (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.42%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,069
- List price
- $88,000
- Delta
- -26.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24321 Kingston Cir | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+8%) | 12mo | $69,500 | $44 | 74 |
| 25182 Frontier Cir | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+8%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $32 | 55 |
| 25211 Canyon Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+3%) | 16mo | $42,800 | $29 | 52 |
| 26768 Pawnee Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+7%) | 20mo | $53,350 | $34 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-10,724
- Equity at exit
- $13,121
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-3,767
- Equity at exit
- $7,609
Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48134
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,542 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$110 /mo · $1,320/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$560
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $50
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,000
- Closing costs
- $2,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23501 Van Horn Rd Woodhaven, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,599 | $1.02 | 1d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 25891 Bridgewood Ln Brownstown Charter Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $1,119 | $1.33 | 1d | 6 | 0.72mi |
| 23100 Lorraine Blvd Brownstown Charter Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $1,095 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $560 · $6,720/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $88,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $88,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $88,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $88,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $88,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $88,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $88,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $88,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $88,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $88,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $88,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $88,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $88,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-01-02$88,000 Active 1165-char remark
Show marketing remark (1159 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home that perfectly blends comfort, functionality, and modern style. Inside, you'll find luxury plank flooring throughout most of the home, creating a warm, elegant feel while offering durability for everyday living. The heart of the home features a kitchen highlighted by a walk-in pantry and a island that adds additional cabinet space, providing exceptional storage and prep area. An extra-large mudroom/laundry room adds even more convenience, offering plenty of space for daily routines and storage. The thoughtfully designed floor plan includes a private master suite featuring a large walk-in closet and an ensuite bath, creating a relaxing retreat. Two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside, the property boasts an extra-long driveway, allowing ample parking with the option to add a garage for even more flexibility. Residents also enjoy community amenities including a playground and a community pool, making this home an excellent choice for both comfort and lifestyle. Television with mount in the master bedroom stays with the home.
-
2026-01-02$88,000 Active 1159-char remark
Show marketing remark (1159 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home that perfectly blends comfort, functionality, and modern style. Inside, you'll find luxury plank flooring throughout most of the home, creating a warm, elegant feel while offering durability for everyday living. The heart of the home features a kitchen highlighted by a walk-in pantry and a island that adds additional cabinet space, providing exceptional storage and prep area. An extra-large mudroom/laundry room adds even more convenience, offering plenty of space for daily routines and storage. The thoughtfully designed floor plan includes a private master suite featuring a large walk-in closet and an ensuite bath, creating a relaxing retreat. Two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside, the property boasts an extra-long driveway, allowing ample parking with the option to add a garage for even more flexibility. Residents also enjoy community amenities including a playground and a community pool, making this home an excellent choice for both comfort and lifestyle. Television with mount in the master bedroom stays with the home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,929
- − Property taxes
- −$1,320
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,480
- − Management
- −$1,480
- − HOA
- −$6,720
- − Depreciation
- −$2,560
- Taxable loss
- −$430
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$103
- After-tax cash flow
- $700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is in good condition with good flooring and systems. It needs minor landscaping and exterior paint to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Landscaping — Snow on the ground, no landscaping
- Minor Exterior paint — No visible damage
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Exterior paint — Improves home's appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Landscaping · Snow on the ground, no landscaping | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior paint · No visible damage | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Exterior paint — Improves home's appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Woodhaven-Brownstown School District
- NCES district ID
- 2636485
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,200
- Composite
- 35.63/100
- National rank
- #4885
- State rank
- #189 of 540 in MI
Livability — Brownstown
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,935
- Household income
- $92,076
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 228.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.42%
- Current HPI
- 232.7533
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-02 Listed $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $88,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…