3055 Seracedar Dr · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEVER BEFORE ON THE MARKET | ESTABLISHED BRICK HOME IN SOUTHMOOR A truly rare opportunity to secure a solid, traditional 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom brick residence built in 1966 that is entering the market for the very first time. Held by the same dedicated owners since 1977, this home was cherished for decades as a foundational family residence before serving as a consistent long-term rental property, offering phenomenal baseline value and immense equity potential in the well-established Southmoor neighborhood of Baton Rouge. The home features a classic, durable brick exterior, complemented by a low-maintenance, vinyl-sided rear carport and a separate storage building on-site. The interior provides a fantastic blank canvas with strong structural bones, ready for its next chapter and custom personalization. The floor plan maximizes its footprint with a highly functional layout, and the kitchen's refrigerator is set to remain with the property. Positioned on a generous lot with mature trees, this property combines the peace of a traditional, long-standing neighborhood with unmatched convenience to Baton Rouge's premier dining, shopping, and major commuter corridors. Because fully updated homes in this mature community are highly sought after and move incredibly fast, the location and solid brick construction make this a premier investment with immediate upside.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1966
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 250 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.72%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $235,712
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10931 Stanley Aubin Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,880 (+1%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $120 | 71 |
| 2949 Cavalier Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,767 (-5%) | 2mo | $191,000 | $108 | 69 |
| 2937 Magellan Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,734 (-7%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $115 | 66 |
| 2321 Summerleaf Cir | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,858 (+0%) | 11mo | $307,000 | $165 | 64 |
| 3033 Caroljack Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,609 (-13%) | 3mo | $199,999 | $124 | 63 |
| 11030 Paddock Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,755 (-5%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $171 | 57 |
| 11058 Cabot Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,687 (-9%) | 7mo | $214,900 | $127 | 55 |
| 10838 Woodleaf Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,764 (-5%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $176 | 54 |
| 2166 Silverest Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,640 (-12%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $143 | 50 |
| 10379 Cinquefoil Ave | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,054 (+11%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $122 | 49 |
| 2916 Cavalier Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,625 (-12%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $111 | 48 |
| 2412 Sonoma Ct | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,629 (-12%) | 1mo | $284,000 | $174 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-22,382
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-21,409
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70816
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,748 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,152/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $317 | -5% $263 | +0% $209 | +5% $155 | +10% $102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $71 | -5% $140 | +0% $209 | +5% $278 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $305 | -0.5pp $258 | base $209 | +0.5pp $160 | +1.0pp $110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11151 Stanley Aubin Ln Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,450 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2222 Seracedar Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,700 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2257 Silverest Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,700 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 10318 Celtic Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 990 | $1,572 | $1.59 | 15d | 16 | 0.62mi |
| 2166 Silverest Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3948 Preakness Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2478 | $2,200 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11110 Boardwalk Dr #36 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11110 Boardwalk Dr #36 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3445 Bluebonnet Blvd Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1105 | $2,121 | $1.92 | 15d | 10 | 0.70mi |
| 10127 Runnymede Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2071 | $1,900 | $0.92 | 19d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10127 Runnymede Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2071 | $1,900 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3938 Garden View Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 10111 Jefferson Hwy Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1877 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2001 Red Stick Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1559 | $2,150 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9925 Jefferson Hwy Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1458 | $1,900 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9855 Red Stick Crossing Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1454 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10066 Jefferson Hwy Unit C Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1437 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 10390 Jefferson Hwy Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,469 | $1.40 | 15d | 13 | 1.04mi |
| 4630 Southpark Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,400 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2424 Drusilla Ln Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1039 | $1,318 | $1.27 | 15d | 13 | 1.13mi |
| 3098 Drusilla Ln Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1537 | $1,600 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 12119 Mallory Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2345 | $2,300 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 10854 Woodland Oaks Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2084 | $2,150 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9540 Lindale Ave Unit A Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1655 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$190,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,152 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,152 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,152
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,678
- − Management
- −$1,678
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$655
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$157
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baton Rouge, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,718
- Household income
- $67,353
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2162.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -161.21%
- Current HPI
- 157.3823
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.16%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $190,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-05-25 Listed $190,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-25 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-05-25 Listed $190,000 GBRMLS
- 1980-09-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+26.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,152 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…