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3336 Matheson Dr
B Composite 74.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,500

3336 Matheson Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31204
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 754 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 213 Days on market
Built 1943 7,840 sqft lot $72/sqft · 17% below area Est $65k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property with an established tenant. This all brick, 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with brand new HVAC is located in the heart of Macon GA. This rental home will be a fantastic addition to your current portfolio or be a perfect way to get started in the rental property ownership. Please do not disturb tenants.

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Heart of macon ga
  • Established tenant

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYESTABLISHED TENANTBRAND NEW HVACHEART OF MACON GA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $54k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 258 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $377 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $54k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
15.63%
Cash-on-cash
33.36%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,467
List price
$54,500
Delta
-16.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3517 Napier Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 768 (+2%) 13mo $66,000 $86 69
3491 Bond St W 0.45mi 2/1.0 828 (+10%) 1mo $14,000 $17 62
3482 Austin Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 824 (+9%) 12mo $96,500 $117 60
3320 Napier Ave 0.17mi 2/1.0 864 (+15%) 11mo $70,000 $81 58
3664 Mckenzie Dr 0.51mi 2/1.0 840 (+11%) 0mo $70,710 $84 57
3323 Mary Dr 0.22mi 2/1.0 838 (+11%) 17mo $92,500 $110 57
3625 Napier Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 672 (-11%) 14mo $62,000 $92 46
3469 Charleston Cir 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 856 (+14%) 2mo $49,900 $58 45
3653 Morgan Dr 0.46mi 2/1.0 852 (+13%) 15mo $50,000 $59 45
3538 Cresthill Ave 0.55mi 1/1.0 (-1) 673 (-11%) 10mo $13,000 $19 43
3536 Log Cabin Dr 0.37mi 1/1.0 (-1) 854 (+13%) 17mo $6,500 $8 41
3555 Plymouth Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+15%) 2mo $49,000 $57 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.3%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$19,779
Equity at exit
$8,126
10-year hold
IRR
38.4%
Equity multiple
4.85×
Total profit
$58,762
Equity at exit
$4,712

Cash invested: $15,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31204

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
258
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$970 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$286
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $405/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $433
Max offer price $54,500
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $455 -5% $440 +0% $424 +5% $409 +10% $393
Rent -10% $348 -5% $386 +0% $424 +5% $463 +10% $501
Rate -1.0pp $452 -0.5pp $438 base $424 +0.5pp $410 +1.0pp $396

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,625
Closing costs
$1,635
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3307 Guthrie Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 754 $900 $1.19 14d 1 0.16mi
1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,065 $1.04 22d 1 0.20mi
3346 Shaw Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1094 $895 $0.82 22d 1 0.21mi
1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $889 $1.05 44d 1 0.44mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $850 $0.85 14d 1 0.48mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,060 $1.06 22d 1 0.48mi
3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $875 $0.83 44d 1 0.58mi
3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $799 $0.76 22d 1 0.58mi
3634 Dawn St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 999 $850 $0.85 44d 1 0.79mi
3016 Ridge Ave Unit A Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 750 $775 $1.03 44d 1 0.80mi
3034 Churchill St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 872 $900 $1.03 22d 1 0.81mi
3834 Mercer St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $875 $0.88 44d 1 0.90mi
3324 Vineville Ave Unit 63B Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1125 $1,050 $0.93 22d 1 0.90mi
3324 Vineville Ave Unit 57C Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 914 $1,050 $1.15 14d 1 0.90mi
3324 Vineville Ave Unit 57A Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 680 $800 $1.18 22d 1 0.90mi
2763 Vineville Ave Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 0.95mi
2755 Vineville Ave Unit B Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 44d 1 0.97mi
140 Prentice Pl Apt F Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 600 $785 $1.31 44d 1 0.97mi
140 Prentice Pl Apt E Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,400 $2.33 44d 1 0.97mi
3330 Ridge Ave Unit D4 Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1056 $1,050 $0.99 14d 1 0.97mi
1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 960 $950 $0.99 44d 1 0.98mi
3808 Fairmont Ave Unit A Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 793 $595 $0.75 44d 1 0.99mi
4033 N Napier Ave Unit 6 Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1000 $850 $0.85 44d 1 1.10mi
3576 Vineville Ave Unit 3550-D-LT Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 863 $995 $1.15 14d 1 1.10mi
133 Auburn Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 880 $895 $1.02 44d 1 1.12mi
1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1117 $895 $0.80 14d 1 1.13mi
1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 960 $825 $0.86 44d 1 1.21mi
2585 Napier Ave Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 644 $850 $1.32 22d 1 1.21mi
4053 Log Cabin Dr Unit B3 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 950 $749 $0.79 22d 1 1.28mi
424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 810 $850 $1.05 44d 1 1.32mi
4126 Ayers Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $750 $0.83 14d 1 1.32mi
185 Oak Haven Ave Apt A4 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 22d 1 1.33mi
3266 Highpoint Dr Unit 593-B Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1120 $1,100 $0.98 44d 1 1.38mi
132 Oak Haven Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 720 $975 $1.35 44d 1 1.38mi
4250 Ayers Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,100 $1.09 14d 1 1.39mi
3163 High Point Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,125 $1.02 22d 1 1.41mi
130 Calloway Dr Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 950 $950 $1.00 44d 1 1.42mi
668 Grosso Ave Unit A Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 22d 1 1.44mi
4357 Azalea Dr Unit 4357 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 750 $750 $1.00 44d 1 1.46mi
2350 English Ave Apt 3D Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 980 $1,095 $1.12 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $54,500 Active 213 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    pricedays on market $54,500 Active 211 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,500 Active 210 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,500 Active 209 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,500 Active 208 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,500 Active 207 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $58,500 Active 205 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $58,500 Active 204 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $58,500 Active 202 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,500 Active 201 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,500 Active 200 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $58,500 Active 199 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $58,500 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $58,500 Active 194 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,500 Active 193 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,500 Active 192 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    price $58,500 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Great investment property with an established tenant. This all brick, 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with brand new HVAC is located in the heart of Macon GA. This rental home will be a fantastic addition to your current portfolio or be a perfect way to get started in the rental property ownership. Please do not disturb tenants.

  18. 2026-04-06
    price $61,500 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Great investment property with an established tenant. This all brick, 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with brand new HVAC is located in the heart of Macon GA. This rental home will be a fantastic addition to your current portfolio or be a perfect way to get started in the rental property ownership. Please do not disturb tenants.

  19. 2026-02-28
    price $64,500 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Great investment property with an established tenant. This all brick, 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with brand new HVAC is located in the heart of Macon GA. This rental home will be a fantastic addition to your current portfolio or be a perfect way to get started in the rental property ownership. Please do not disturb tenants.

  20. 2026-01-05
    price $66,500 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Great investment property with an established tenant. This all brick, 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with brand new HVAC is located in the heart of Macon GA. This rental home will be a fantastic addition to your current portfolio or be a perfect way to get started in the rental property ownership. Please do not disturb tenants.

  21. 2025-11-19
    listed $68,500 Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Great investment property with an established tenant. This all brick, 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with brand new HVAC is located in the heart of Macon GA. This rental home will be a fantastic addition to your current portfolio or be a perfect way to get started in the rental property ownership. Please do not disturb tenants.

  22. 2017-05-02
    soldstatus $23,000 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    Brick, 2 bedroom, 1 bath home. Do Not disturb tenants. Invested property, currently rented for $500 per month. Tenant has lived in property for 3 years. This home was remolded about 8 years ago. Seller is licensed Real estate Agent in state of Georgia.

  23. 2017-04-10
    listed $23,000 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    Brick, 2 bedroom, 1 bath home. Do Not disturb tenants. Invested property, currently rented for $500 per month. Tenant has lived in property for 3 years. This home was remolded about 8 years ago. Seller is licensed Real estate Agent in state of Georgia.

  24. 2006-12-18
    soldstatus $22,000
  25. 2006-12-18
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$405 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$501 · $42/mo
Expected delta
+$96/yr (+$8/mo · 23.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,644
− Mortgage interest
−$3,053
− Property taxes
−$405
− Insurance
−$272
− Repairs & maintenance
−$931
− Management
−$931
− Depreciation
−$1,585
Taxable income
$4,464
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,071
After-tax cash flow
$4,019/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
32,421
Household income
$38,784
Rent vs Own
57.5% rent · 42.5% own
Severe rent burden
2674.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.44%
Current HPI
194.5459
Rent YoY
▲ 4.61%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+165.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $58,500 MGMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $61,500 MGMLS
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $64,500 MGMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $66,500 MGMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $68,500 MGMLS
  • 2017-05-02 Sold (MLS) $23,000 MGMLS
  • 2017-04-10 Listed $23,000 MGMLS
  • 2006-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 2006-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $405 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…