10670 Princeton Rd · Cerulean, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$62,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this 3 bed 2 bath manufactured home located in the Cerulean community. This property offers a country feel while being just a short drive to Hopkinsville or Princeton. Nestled on a spacious half acre lot this property offers plenty of room to spread out and make it your own!
Key facts
- 0.57 acre lot
- Listed 10 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered porch/patio; Outbuilding; Level lot; Frontage on a state road
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Eat-in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#414 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Christian County (town): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #93 of 165 in KY (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sinking Fork Elementary School (math 54% / reading 40%, grade D-, #119 of 676 statewide, top 19%, 414 students, 74% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Christian County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (66 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($429 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
- Christian County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.05%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $46,797
- Equity at exit
- $40,246
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.67×
- Total profit
- $115,712
- Equity at exit
- $74,107
Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42215
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,093 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$78 /mo · $930/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $478 | -5% $456 | +0% $435 | +5% $413 | +10% $392 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $348 | -5% $392 | +0% $435 | +5% $478 | +10% $521 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $466 | -0.5pp $450 | base $435 | +0.5pp $419 | +1.0pp $402 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,500
- Closing costs
- $1,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $62,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $62,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $62,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $62,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $62,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $62,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 285-char remark
-
2026-06-13$62,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,111
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,473
- − Property taxes
- −$930
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,049
- − Management
- −$1,049
- − Depreciation
- −$1,804
- Taxable income
- $4,497
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,137/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christian County
- NCES district ID
- 2101150
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,961
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7118
- State rank
- #93 of 165 in KY
Livability — Cerulean
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #414
- US rank
- #19987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,692
Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,861 people
- By 2030
- 65,808 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 60,090 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 54,561 · -19.6%
- By 2075
- 45,859 · -32.4%
- By 2100
- 38,310 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 21% Asian 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Christian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.2pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+21.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.32%
- Current HPI
- 342.5955
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $62,000 WKRMLS
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $30 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…