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608 jill St
B Composite 72.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

608 jill St · Harrison, MI 48625
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1960 0.44 ac lot Est $106k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offering 660 square feet of comfortable living space in the heart of Northern Michigan. Whether you're searching for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is ideally located within walking distance of both Little Long Lake and Budd Lake. Enjoy all that Harrison has to offer in the area known for its famous motto, "20 Lakes in 20 Minutes. " Spend your days boating, fishing, swimming, or exploring the endless outdoor recreation opportunities nearby. Conveniently located close to town amenities while maintaining an up-north feel, this home offers the perfect balance of full-time living an

Key facts

  • 0.44 acre lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 8 days

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE BUDD LAKECLOSE TO TOWN AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Public sanitary sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential single-story home; Built in 1960; Crawl foundation
  • Construction: Wood exterior construction
  • Exterior features: Road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: First-floor kitchen (approx. 10 x 5) with laminate flooring
  • Bedrooms: Two first-floor bedrooms (each 9 x 10) with laminate flooring
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in bedrooms, kitchen, and living room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor (approx. 8 x 5)
  • Heating & cooling: Wall heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Living room measuring 19 x 15

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($823 rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.5% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#471 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison Community Schools (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #457 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Clare County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clare County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $64,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.74%
Cash-on-cash
15.89%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$105,600
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
880 Little Long Lake Rd 0.19mi 2/1.0 656 (-1%) 11mo $105,000 $160 81
207 Mary Jo Rd 0.40mi 1/1.0 (-1) 648 (-2%) 2mo $47,700 $74 72
3266 Van Deusen Rd 0.39mi 2/1.0 704 (+7%) 11mo $225,000 $320 61
243 Matilda 0.38mi 2/1.0 702 (+6%) 16mo $106,000 $151 58
428 N Lake St 0.38mi 2/1.0 564 (-14%) 3mo $205,000 $363 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$4,793
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$23,855
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48625

Home prices YoY
-25.5%
Active inventory
246
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$823 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $503/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $518
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $277 -5% $259 +0% $241 +5% $222 +10% $204
Rent -10% $176 -5% $208 +0% $241 +5% $273 +10% $306
Rate -1.0pp $273 -0.5pp $257 base $241 +0.5pp $224 +1.0pp $207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $64,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $64,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    remarks 689-char remark
  8. 2026-06-14
    listed $64,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$503 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$751 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$248/yr (+$21/mo · 49.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,872
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$503
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$790
− Management
−$790
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$1,941
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$466
After-tax cash flow
$2,421/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison Community Schools
NCES district ID
2617820
Math proficiency
17% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$30,377
Composite
18.07/100
National rank
#8977
State rank
#457 of 540 in MI

Livability — Harrison

Score
65/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#13368

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrison, MI
Population (ZIP)
12,939

Population outlook (Clare County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,283 people
By 2030
28,199 · -3.7%
By 2040
25,722 · -12.2%
By 2050
23,372 · -20.2%
By 2075
18,569 · -36.6%
By 2100
14,320 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clare

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.5% · R 68.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-42.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+34.8 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+4.8 2008: D+4.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.38%
Current HPI
234.9586
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-10-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-05-12 Listed $57,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $503 · -50.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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