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3250 Ainwick Rd
C Composite 59.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,900

3250 Ainwick Rd · Upper Arlington, OH 43221
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,002 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1952 10,018 sqft lot $229/sqft · 46% below area Est $429k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention investors, rehabbers and renovators! Prime opportunity in the highly desirable Upper Arlington City School District. This home is full of potential and ready for your updates and improvements. Excellent location, strong upside, and priced aggressively. Property to be sold strictly AS-IS. Subject to Court and/or Attorney Approval. Please see A2A remarks.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1952

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Third-party approval may be required; Standard listing conditions

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; No common walls; Built in 1952
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.23 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement; Living area approximately 1002

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 1.6% in Upper Arlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 89/100 on livability (#14 in OH, #130 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D-, cost of living F.
  • Upper Arlington City (suburban): math 77% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #36 of 656 in OH (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Tremont Elementary School (math 74% / reading 78%, grade A, #253 of 1,584 statewide, top 16%, 686 students, 6% FRL); Jones Middle School (math 76% / reading 77%, grade A, #72 of 654 statewide, top 11%, 726 students, 3% FRL); Upper Arlington High School (math 70% / reading 83%, grade A-, #61 of 781 statewide, top 8%, 1,867 students, 4% FRL) — zoned schools at 4% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $229,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.10%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$428,515
List price
$229,900
Delta
-46.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2063 Langham Rd 0.14mi 2/1.0 1,124 (+12%) 0mo $340,000 $302 73
2047 Langham Rd 0.16mi 2/1.5 1,117 (+12%) 6mo $455,000 $407 66
2135 Wesleyan Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,126 (+12%) 6mo $385,000 $342 59
2213 Bristol Rd 0.43mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,044 (+4%) 9mo $395,000 $378 59
2443 Shrewsbury Rd 0.59mi 2/1.0 925 (-8%) 2mo $383,500 $415 58
2513 Woodstock Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 958 (-4%) 1mo $372,350 $389 58
2480 Shrewsbury Rd 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 978 (-2%) 2mo $420,000 $429 56
2534 Shrewsbury Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-0%) 7mo $335,000 $335 55
2272 Fishinger Rd 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,080 (+8%) 4mo $425,000 $394 55
2269 Cranford Rd 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,084 (+8%) 10mo $400,000 $369 53
2606 Swansea Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,044 (+4%) 0mo $385,000 $369 50
2459 Edgevale Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,114 (+11%) 2mo $380,000 $341 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-28,651
Equity at exit
$34,279
10-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-9,826
Equity at exit
$19,878

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43221

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,452 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$523 /mo · $6,272/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$515
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,309
Max offer price $229,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $243 -5% $178 +0% $113 +5% $48 +10% $-17
Rent -10% $-81 -5% $16 +0% $113 +5% $210 +10% $306
Rate -1.0pp $229 -0.5pp $171 base $113 +0.5pp $53 +1.0pp $-7

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2088 Zollinger Rd Columbus, OH 3.0 1.0 1093 $2,450 $2.24 25d 1 0.19mi
3181 Northwest Blvd Columbus, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 995 $3,031 $3.04 0d 46 0.63mi
2635 Woodstock Rd Columbus, OH 3.0 1.0 1236 $2,300 $1.86 45d 1 0.81mi
2636 Nottingham Rd Columbus, OH 3.0 1.5 1224 $2,130 $1.74 45d 1 0.85mi
2799 Brandon Rd Columbus, OH 3.0 2.5 1460 $3,925 $2.69 45d 1 0.89mi
2924 Mount Holyoke Rd Upper Arlington, OH 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 5d 1 0.97mi
2861 Wellesley Dr Columbus, OH 3.0 2.5 1490 $3,250 $2.18 0d 1 1.03mi
2746 Shrewsbury Rd Columbus, OH 3.0 1.5 1451 $2,900 $2.00 5d 1 1.03mi
1544 Northam Rd Columbus, OH 3.0 2.0 1450 $3,800 $2.62 0d 1 1.18mi
2565 Riverside Dr Unit 2599-3D Columbus, OH 2.0 1.0 896 $1,215 $1.36 45d 1 1.30mi
2565 Riverside Dr Unit 2599-4H Columbus, OH 2.0 1.0 896 $1,330 $1.48 45d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 365-char remark
  2. 2026-05-13
    listed $229,900 Active 365-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,272 · $523/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,272 · $523/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,420
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$6,272
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,354
− Management
−$2,354
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable loss
−$2,275
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$546
After-tax cash flow
$1,899/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Upper Arlington City
NCES district ID
3904493
Math proficiency
77% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
81% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$98,411
Composite
71.45/100
National rank
#225
State rank
#36 of 656 in OH

Livability — Upper Arlington

Score
89/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#130

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Upper Arlington, OH
County
Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
City population
64,085
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
35,293
Household income
$118,768
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
450.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,456,139 people
By 2030
1,556,890 · +6.9%
By 2040
1,757,349 · +20.7%
By 2050
1,950,539 · +34.0%
By 2075
2,376,171 · +63.2%
By 2100
2,636,796 · +81.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · China, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -445.67%
Current HPI
271.8826
Rent YoY
▲ 3.50%
Metro
Columbus, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending CBRMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $229,900 CBRMLS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $6,272 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…