3019 W Houston · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property presents a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors alike. With move-in ready interiors, it's ideal for buyers seeking a home in an up-and-coming location just minutes from downtown. Investors will also appreciate the potential for upgrades, whether as a flip or rental. Schedule your showing today to see the possibilities firsthand.
Key facts
- 6,011 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 74 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,346/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 2789% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.57%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,180
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -26.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3003 W Travis | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,110 (+1%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $117 | 79 |
| 3430 Commerce | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,164 (+6%) | 8mo | $49,500 | $43 | 64 |
| 819 N Hamilton Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+4%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $48 | 64 |
| 2811 W Travis | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,215 (+10%) | 8mo | $189,000 | $156 | 59 |
| 3022 EL Paso | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-0%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $90 | 58 |
| 2710 W Cesar E Chavez | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+8%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $101 | 58 |
| 102 S Rosillo | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 984 (-11%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $76 | 57 |
| 3523 W Martin | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+12%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $69 | 51 |
| 3718 W Martin St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+12%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $73 | 49 |
| 2606 W Travis St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,266 (+15%) | 11mo | $134,900 | $107 | 46 |
| 3225 Buena Vis | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+14%) | 13mo | $220,000 | $175 | 39 |
| 2027 Ruiz | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (-14%) | 11mo | $149,900 | $157 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $81,450
- Equity at exit
- $107,205
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.46×
- Total profit
- $248,714
- Equity at exit
- $231,191
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78207
- Home prices YoY
- 15.2%
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,346 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$235 /mo · $2,825/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $155
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $222 | -5% $188 | +0% $155 | +5% $121 | +10% $87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $48 | -5% $101 | +0% $155 | +5% $208 | +10% $261 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $215 | -0.5pp $185 | base $155 | +0.5pp $124 | +1.0pp $92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3038 W Salinas Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1149 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 234 Gould St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 948 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2425 Monterey St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2619 W Houston St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,800 | $2.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 214 Aztec St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 973 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1407 Leal St Unit 3 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $800 | $0.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2120 Monterey St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,450 | $1.19 | 12d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2120 Monterey St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,490 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1545 Ruiz St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $935 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3918 W Martin St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 614 N Sabinas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,249 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2721 Colima St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 16d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1230 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1287 | $1,999 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 509 S Trinity St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1231 Rivas St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,299 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 206 Roberts St Unit 201 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2812 Vera Cruz San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1820 W Houston St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $2,300 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1711 W Cesar E Chavez Blvd Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,275 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 811 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,580 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 811 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,580 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1823 San Carlos St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,075 | $0.99 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,695 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 215 S Brazos St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2311 Potosi St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,600 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2503 Arbor Pl San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 122 Collins Ct San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 542 Rivas St Unit B San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $985 | $1.12 | 0d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1209 El Paso St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $975 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 717 N Colorado St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 610 Ruiz St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $650 | $0.47 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1102 El Paso St San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 888 | $1,116 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 703 N San Marcos San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $716 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2406 S Laredo St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 614 Chihuahua St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,400 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 602 Chihuahua St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 783 | $1,150 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 711 N Frio St Unit 1203 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $966 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 711 N Frio St Unit 1302 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,400 | $1.43 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 711 N Frio St Unit 2303 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $966 | $1.22 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19status $119,000 Pending 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $119,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Price Change 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Price Change 64 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Price Change 63 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,000 Price Change 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Price Change 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Price Change 58 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Price Change 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricestatus $119,000 Price Change 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $124,000 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
This property presents a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors alike. With move-in ready interiors, it's ideal for buyers seeking a home in an up-and-coming location just minutes from downtown. Investors will also appreciate the potential for upgrades, whether as a flip or rental. Schedule your showing today to see the possibilities firsthand.
-
2026-04-27price $129,000 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
This property presents a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors alike. With move-in ready interiors, it's ideal for buyers seeking a home in an up-and-coming location just minutes from downtown. Investors will also appreciate the potential for upgrades, whether as a flip or rental. Schedule your showing today to see the possibilities firsthand.
-
2026-04-06$139,000 New 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
This property presents a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors alike. With move-in ready interiors, it's ideal for buyers seeking a home in an up-and-coming location just minutes from downtown. Investors will also appreciate the potential for upgrades, whether as a flip or rental. Schedule your showing today to see the possibilities firsthand.
-
2026-01-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,825 · $235/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,825 · $235/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,158
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$2,825
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,293
- − Management
- −$1,293
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $25
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,850/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,474
- Household income
- $32,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2789.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 41% White 6% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 79%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 60%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.92%
- Current HPI
- 264.7559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.73%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-10.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $124,000 LERA
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $129,000 LERA
- 2026-04-06 Listed $139,000 LERA
- 2026-01-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,825 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…