4 Benview Rd · Haviland, NY 12538

$225,000

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,388 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market

Built 1950 3,920 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.9/10.0
• 1% rule +5.3/10.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Opportunity knocks in Hyde Park! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath cottage-style home sits on a manageable lot and offers excellent potential for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to renovate and customize. The flexible layout provides for a second bedroom, home office, or expanded living area to suit your needs. This home presents a wonderful opportunity to add your own style and updates over time while building equity and creating a space that truly feels like your own. This house is being sold AS IS

Key facts

• Manageable lot
• Flexible layout
• Second bedroom

Tags

• COTTAGE STYLE HOME
• MANAGEABLE LOT
• FLEXIBLE LAYOUT
• SECOND BEDROOM
• HOME OFFICE
• EXPANDED LIVING AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
• Utilities: Central Hudson electric service; Septic tank; Private trash collection
• Home design: Single family residence; One story
• Construction: Crawl space foundation; Crawl attic
• Exterior features: Aluminum siding and frame construction; Fenced yard; Shed(s) on property; Level lot; Near public transit; Near shops; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: One level layout (total rooms: 4)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Hot air heating (oil-fired); Attic fan for cooling
• Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Covered porch

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
• Recommended offer: $222k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.2% in Haviland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#712 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment A-; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Hyde Park Central School District (rural): math 43% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #316 of 590 in NY (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Ralph R Smith School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,786 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 340 students, 54% FRL); Haviland Middle School (math 23% / reading 57%, grade F, #413 of 729 statewide, top 57%, 759 students, 59% FRL); Franklin D Roosevelt Senior High School (math 93% / reading 90%, grade A+, #197 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,136 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 34% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $38k; list at $225k implies a 484% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $221,625 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.50%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.31%
• DSCR: 1.19
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $29,148
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
79 E Dorsey Ln Lot 31	0.62mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,440 (+4%)	20mo	$30,000	$21	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.65×
• Total profit: $-22,003
• Equity at exit: $33,548

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.99×
• Total profit: $-377
• Equity at exit: $19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12538

• Home prices YoY: -34.8%
• Active inventory: 97
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,307 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,180
• Tax from tax record: −$323 /mo · $3,877/yr
• Insurance: −$94
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$485
• Net cashflow: $226

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,021

Max offer price $225,000

Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $353	-5% $290	+0% $226	+5% $162	+10% $99
Rent	-10% $44	-5% $135	+0% $226	+5% $317	+10% $408
Rate	-1.0pp $339	-0.5pp $283	base $226	+0.5pp $168	+1.0pp $108

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $56,250
• Closing costs: $6,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $225,000 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $225,000 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $225,000 Active 15 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $225,000 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $225,000 Active 9 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $225,000 Active 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $225,000 Active 7 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $225,000 Active 6 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 2 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 504-char remark
12. 2026-06-02
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,877 · $323/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,877 · $323/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,688
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,603
• − Property taxes: −$3,877
• − Insurance: −$1,125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,215
• − Management: −$2,215
• − Depreciation: −$6,545
• Taxable loss: −$893
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$214
• After-tax cash flow: $2,927/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hyde Park Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3615180
• Math proficiency: 43% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 62% ▲ 15.00%
• Median HH income: $68,932
• Composite: 46.59/100
• National rank: #2421
• State rank: #316 of 590 in NY

Livability — Haviland

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #712
• US rank: #13550

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Haviland, NY
• Population (ZIP): 14,104

Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 291,768 people
• By 2030: 287,131 · -1.6%
• By 2040: 274,881 · -5.8%
• By 2050: 259,971 · -10.9%
• By 2075: 235,366 · -19.3%
• By 2100: 208,786 · -28.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, South Korea, China
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -145.47%
• Current HPI: 272.998
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+484.4% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $225,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2010-09-15 Delisted — HGMLS
• 2010-03-15 Listed — HGMLS
• 1992-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,877 · -7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.