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11560 Purcell Rd
D+ Composite 47.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.5/10.0

$159,900

11560 Purcell Rd · Laurinburg, NC 28352
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,378 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1972 0.46 ac lot Est $181k · 11% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom, 1.5 bath brick ranch with large family room, enclosed porch; whole house generator, fenced yard, storage buildings and great neighborhood.

Key facts

  • Great neighborhood
  • Fenced yard
  • Storage buildings

Tags

WHOLE HOUSE GENERATORFENCED YARDSTORAGE BUILDINGSGREAT NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R15; Subdivision: Country Club Estates; Directions: 401 to Purcell Rd, house is on the left

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-level / 1 story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Block and brick construction (see remarks); Brick/Mortar and block foundation; Shingle roof; Built on a 0.46-acre lot (approx. 100 x 200)
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Shed(s); Has a view; Front porch (enclosed)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating and cooling); Electric heating; Wood stove; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Window coverings; Enclosed front porch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($898/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (16.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.3% in Laurinburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#632 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Carver Middle (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #422 of 475 statewide, top 89%, 659 students, 100% FRL); Scotland High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,445 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,177 (16.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
2.01%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$180,518
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11621 Purcell Rd 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,518 (+10%) 1mo $184,500 $122 80
12620 Birchwood Cir 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,351 (-2%) 14mo $165,000 $122 76
12741 Birchwood Cir 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,207 (-12%) 10mo $175,000 $145 68
11541 Pinecroft St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-2%) 22mo $150,000 $111 68
12380 Mckinnon Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-9%) 12mo $105,000 $84 63
12200 Mallard Creek Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,395 (+1%) 11mo $215,000 $154 61
12881 Andrews Dr 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,235 (-10%) 4mo $170,000 $138 57
12281 Mallard Creek Dr 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,384 (+0%) 16mo $202,500 $146 55
12440 Windmere Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,534 (+11%) 6mo $213,000 $139 50
12421 Windmere Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,451 (+5%) 19mo $190,000 $131 47
13080 Montclair Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,458 (+6%) 22mo $175,000 $120 36
11141 Turnpike Rd 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+9%) 18mo $125,900 $84 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-21,196
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-12,533
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28352

Home prices YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
157
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,342 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $960/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,247
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $165 -5% $120 +0% $75 +5% $30 +10% $-16
Rent -10% $-31 -5% $22 +0% $75 +5% $128 +10% $181
Rate -1.0pp $155 -0.5pp $116 base $75 +0.5pp $33 +1.0pp $-9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $159,900 Pending 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-04-13
    price $159,900
  8. 2026-04-03
    listed $169,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$960 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,311 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$352/yr (+$29/mo · 36.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,101
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$960
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,288
− Management
−$1,288
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$1,843
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$442
After-tax cash flow
$1,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scotland County Schools
NCES district ID
3704200
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$31,203
Composite
20.66/100
National rank
#8536
State rank
#160 of 178 in NC

Livability — Laurinburg

Score
56/100
State rank
#632
US rank
#22962

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laurinburg, NC
City population
24,177
Population (ZIP)
24,177

Population outlook (Scotland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,331 people
By 2030
32,017 · -3.9%
By 2040
29,290 · -12.1%
By 2050
26,554 · -20.3%
By 2075
19,857 · -40.4%
By 2100
13,851 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 37% Native American 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scotland

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.9) · D 46.2% · R 53.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -6.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.9 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+7.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.08%
Current HPI
255.331
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $159,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $169,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $960 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…