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57726 Starlight Mesa Rd
F Composite 34.73
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

57726 Starlight Mesa Rd · Homestead Valley, CA 92284
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 832 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1958 2.00 ac lot Est $305k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Back on the market at no fault to the seller!! Cash offers only! If you're looking for a diamond in the rough or a fun project, look no further. Prime vacation rental area with great views! Amazing 2 acre property located in the peaceful Mojave desert minutes away from the Joshua Tree, Pioneertown and much more. This house consists of 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom plus some unpermitted alterations to add extra square footage. Sold in AS IS condition. Buyer is responsible for verifying the accuracy of all information disclosed in this listing, plus confirm square footage, permits, lot boundaries and others with the County of San Bernardino.

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Quartz countertops
  • Wood-beamed ceilings

Tags

FLAMINGO HEIGHTS AREAMATURE JOSHUA TREESWIDE-OPEN VIEWSWOOD-BEAMED CEILINGSQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSLARGE WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Single-unit property; No ADU; No common walls
  • HOA & community: Rural community with nearby hiking, BLM/National Forest access, preserve/public land and park

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected (standard); Water connected (district/public); Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-story house; Front entry
  • Construction: Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: House; No pool; Secluded setting; Park nearby; Lot over 40,000 sqft

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central and evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: One-level home with front entry; Living room with fireplace; Main level includes 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom; Has views
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry available (see remarks for details)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-377 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (26.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (39.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (39.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.7% in Homestead Valley — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,167 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Yucca Mesa Elementary (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #973 of 1,571 statewide, top 73%, 402 students, 70% FRL); La Contenta Middle (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #426 of 498 statewide, top 86%, 650 students, 72% FRL); Yucca Valley High (math 15% / reading 49%, grade F, #674 of 1,170 statewide, top 59%, 1,264 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 573 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $136k; list at $255k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,778 (39.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
4.52%
Cash-on-cash
-6.34%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
13.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$304,512
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
57726 Starlight Mesa Rd 0.00mi 1/1.0 832 (0%) 20mo $136,000 $163 83
1624-B Balsa Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 (+1) 804 (-3%) 6mo $371,000 $461 58
1698 Hilton Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (+1) 901 (+8%) 7mo $330,000 $366 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.2%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-63,676
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-79,311
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92284

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
573
Price-to-rent
13.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,548 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,881/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$-377

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,026
Max offer price $188,316
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-233 -5% $-305 +0% $-377 +5% $-450 +10% $-522
Rent -10% $-500 -5% $-439 +0% $-377 +5% $-316 +10% $-255
Rate -1.0pp $-249 -0.5pp $-313 base $-377 +0.5pp $-444 +1.0pp $-511

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $255,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $255,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $255,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $255,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $255,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $255,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,881 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,938 · $162/mo
Expected delta
+$57/yr (+$5/mo · 3.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,573
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$1,881
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,486
− Management
−$1,486
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$9,256
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,222
After-tax cash flow
$-2,308/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morongo Unified
NCES district ID
0625860
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,399
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8156
State rank
#395 of 517 in CA

Livability — Homestead Valley

Score
49/100
State rank
#1167
US rank
#25885

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Homestead Valley, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
25,415
Household income
$58,373
Rent vs Own
34.1% rent · 65.9% own
Severe rent burden
1132.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.13%
Current HPI
486.7185
Rent YoY
▲ 4.12%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-89.9% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Rental Removed $2,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $255,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Listed for Rent $2,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $285,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $299,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-10-09 Pending CRMLS
  • 2024-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
  • 2024-10-09 Sold (MLS) $136,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-08-22 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2024-08-10 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2024-07-16 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2024-07-05 Listed $129,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-07-03 Coming Soon $129,000 CRMLS
  • 2014-04-14 Pending GPSMLS
  • 2014-04-14 Sold (MLS) $23,000 GPSMLS
  • 2014-03-31 Pending GPSMLS
  • 2014-03-13 Listed $19,900 GPSMLS

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,881 · -22.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…