1409 Wheeler St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the 3-bedroom home nestled in the heart of downtown Houston, just minutes away from the renowned MD Anderson Cancer Center. This charming property offers a seamless blend of comfort and convenience, making it an ideal choice for those seeking a tranquil retreat in the midst of the city's vibrant energy. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and plenty of storage space, making it a chef's dream. The home's three bedrooms are thoughtfully designed to offer comfort and privacy. With its prime location in downtown Houston, this home offers easy access to a wealth of dining, shopping, and entertainment options. Whether you're exploring the city's cultural attraction
Key facts
- Modern appliances
- Downtown houston
- Sleek countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Owner is listing agent
- Financial info: Leasing is considered
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1925; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 1,750 square feet; Lot includes other features
Interior
- Bedrooms: Space for 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating provided (window unit); Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Total of 3 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Macgregor El (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 444 students, 83% FRL); Cullen Middle (math 6% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,641 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Lamar H S (math 38% / reading 65%, grade D+, #478 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 3,125 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $225k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.61%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $249,310
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3550 Main St Unit 6227 | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,112 (+4%) | 19mo | $214,990 | $193 | 50 |
| 2513 Isabella St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+10%) | 8mo | $274,299 | $233 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-17,896
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-9,479
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77004
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 581
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,344 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,151/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4001 Fannin St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1536 | $3,158 | $2.06 | 3d | 16 | 0.27mi |
| 4704 Chenevert St Unit B Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4899 La Branch St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $2,191 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1802 Wentworth St Unit 1542674P Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $6,374 | $6.27 | 2d | 2 | 0.34mi |
| 4921 Crawford St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,225 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3609 Chenevert St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,749 | $1.50 | 19d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3609 Chenevert St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,749 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1711 Wichita St Unit 14 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,059 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3800 Main St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $2,094 | $2.24 | 2d | 24 | 0.43mi |
| 4920 Chenevert St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,050 | $1.15 | 43d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 3603 Chenevert St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $2,129 | $2.09 | 13d | 8 | 0.44mi |
| 510 Richmond Ave Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 960 | $2,000 | $2.08 | 2d | 14 | 0.49mi |
| 3550 Main St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 633 | $2,405 | $3.80 | 2d | 22 | 0.49mi |
| 5280 Caroline St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1880 | $6,216 | $3.31 | 2d | 20 | 0.54mi |
| 5350 Crawford St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $2,525 | $2.58 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5350 Crawford St Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $2,366 | $2.42 | 7d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5350 Crawford St Unit 2165 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $2,358 | $2.41 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5350 Crawford St Unit 5387 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $2,390 | $2.45 | 11d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2319 Rosewood St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1333 | $1,515 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 414 Marshall St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 5d | 3 | 0.58mi |
| 5353 Fannin St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1293 | $3,337 | $2.58 | 1d | 10 | 0.59mi |
| 514 Branard St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3501 Milam St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $2,295 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3300 Main St Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,773 | $2.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3300 Main St Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,765 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1000 Oakdale St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,016 | $1.76 | 12d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2307 Arbor St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $2,295 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5359 Fannin St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,423 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3300 Main St Unit 3337 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,619 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3300 Main St Unit 3323 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,797 | $2.02 | 11d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3300 Main St Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,773 | $2.01 | 7d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 400 Westmoreland St Unit 11 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,800 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4 Chelsea Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1237 | $3,850 | $3.11 | 2d | 24 | 0.64mi |
| 10 Chelsea Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,000 | $2.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5501 La Branch St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 964 | $4,875 | $5.06 | 4d | 245 | 0.67mi |
| 4402 Roseland St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1942 Prospect St Unit OHNP2 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1279 | $3,397 | $2.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1942 Prospect St Unit OHNP2 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1279 | $3,397 | $2.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2800 Kirby Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $2,292 | $1.83 | 43d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 4641 Montrose Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $3,748 | $3.74 | 2d | 40 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $224,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$224,900 Active
-
2025-12-30historical $1,500
-
2025-12-29price $119,000
-
2025-12-29historical
-
2025-12-26$1,500
-
2025-12-24$224,900 Active
-
2025-09-25historical $1,550
-
2025-09-24historical
-
2025-09-23$1,550
-
2025-09-22$224,900 Active
-
2025-01-26historical $1,550
-
2025-01-20historical
-
2025-01-13$1,550
-
2025-01-07$255,000 Active
-
2024-08-07historical
-
2024-06-10$284,900 Active
-
2024-03-06historical
-
2024-02-29$295,000 Active
-
2017-08-27historical
-
2017-08-24$150,000 Active
-
2010-07-26soldstatus
-
2010-07-15historical
-
2010-02-16$53,000
-
2010-02-16historical
-
2009-09-16$145,000
-
1999-03-08soldstatus
-
1999-03-01soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,151 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,116 · $343/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,965/yr (+$164/mo · 91.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$2,151
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,250
- − Management
- −$2,250
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable income
- $1,213
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$291
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,997
- Household income
- $71,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3072.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.34%
- Current HPI
- 199.6066
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.32%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+274.8% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $224,900 HARMLS
- 2025-12-30 Rental Removed $1,500 HARMLS
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $119,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-12-26 Listed for Rent $1,500 HARMLS
- 2025-12-24 Listed $224,900 HARMLS
- 2025-09-25 Rental Removed $1,550 HARMLS
- 2025-09-24 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listed for Rent $1,550 HARMLS
- 2025-09-22 Listed $224,900 HARMLS
- 2025-01-26 Rental Removed $1,550 HARMLS
- 2025-01-20 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-01-13 Listed for Rent $1,550 HARMLS
- 2025-01-07 Listed $255,000 HARMLS
- 2024-08-07 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-06-10 Listed $284,900 HARMLS
- 2024-03-06 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-02-29 Listed $295,000 HARMLS
- 2017-08-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2017-08-24 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
- 2010-07-26 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2010-07-15 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-02-16 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-02-16 Listed $53,000 HARMLS
- 2009-09-16 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
- 1999-03-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,151 · +21.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…