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1409 Wheeler St
C Composite 59.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

1409 Wheeler St · Houston, TX 77004
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,070 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1925 1,751 sqft lot Est $249k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the 3-bedroom home nestled in the heart of downtown Houston, just minutes away from the renowned MD Anderson Cancer Center. This charming property offers a seamless blend of comfort and convenience, making it an ideal choice for those seeking a tranquil retreat in the midst of the city's vibrant energy. The kitchen boasts modern appliances, sleek countertops, and plenty of storage space, making it a chef's dream. The home's three bedrooms are thoughtfully designed to offer comfort and privacy. With its prime location in downtown Houston, this home offers easy access to a wealth of dining, shopping, and entertainment options. Whether you're exploring the city's cultural attraction

Key facts

  • Modern appliances
  • Downtown houston
  • Sleek countertops

Tags

DOWNTOWN HOUSTONMD ANDERSON CANCER CENTERMODERN APPLIANCESSLEEK COUNTERTOPSPLENTY OF STORAGE SPACEEASY ACCESS TO DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Owner is listing agent
  • Financial info: Leasing is considered
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1925; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 1,750 square feet; Lot includes other features

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Space for 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating provided (window unit); Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 3 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Macgregor El (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 444 students, 83% FRL); Cullen Middle (math 6% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,641 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Lamar H S (math 38% / reading 65%, grade D+, #478 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 3,125 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 12 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $225k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.42%
Cash-on-cash
7.61%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$249,310
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3550 Main St Unit 6227 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,112 (+4%) 19mo $214,990 $193 50
2513 Isabella St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+10%) 8mo $274,299 $233 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-17,896
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-9,479
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77004

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
581
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,344 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,151/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,838
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4001 Fannin St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0–3.0 1536 $3,158 $2.06 3d 16 0.27mi
4704 Chenevert St Unit B Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 43d 1 0.27mi
4899 La Branch St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1175 $2,191 $1.86 24d 1 0.33mi
1802 Wentworth St Unit 1542674P Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1016 $6,374 $6.27 2d 2 0.34mi
4921 Crawford St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $1,225 $1.63 24d 1 0.39mi
3609 Chenevert St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1168 $1,749 $1.50 19d 1 0.41mi
3609 Chenevert St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1168 $1,749 $1.50 22d 1 0.41mi
1711 Wichita St Unit 14 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 913 $1,059 $1.16 18d 1 0.42mi
3800 Main St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 933 $2,094 $2.24 2d 24 0.43mi
4920 Chenevert St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 911 $1,050 $1.15 43d 3 0.43mi
3603 Chenevert St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1020 $2,129 $2.09 13d 8 0.44mi
510 Richmond Ave Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 960 $2,000 $2.08 2d 14 0.49mi
3550 Main St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 633 $2,405 $3.80 2d 22 0.49mi
5280 Caroline St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1880 $6,216 $3.31 2d 20 0.54mi
5350 Crawford St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 977 $2,525 $2.58 22d 1 0.57mi
5350 Crawford St Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 977 $2,366 $2.42 7d 1 0.57mi
5350 Crawford St Unit 2165 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 977 $2,358 $2.41 3d 1 0.57mi
5350 Crawford St Unit 5387 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 977 $2,390 $2.45 11d 1 0.57mi
2319 Rosewood St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1333 $1,515 $1.14 24d 1 0.57mi
414 Marshall St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 720 $1,195 $1.66 5d 3 0.58mi
5353 Fannin St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1293 $3,337 $2.58 1d 10 0.59mi
514 Branard St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 43d 1 0.59mi
3501 Milam St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1065 $2,295 $2.15 24d 1 0.61mi
3300 Main St Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1383 $2,773 $2.01 5d 1 0.61mi
3300 Main St Unit 2187 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1383 $2,765 $2.00 3d 1 0.61mi
1000 Oakdale St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1148 $2,016 $1.76 12d 1 0.61mi
2307 Arbor St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1325 $2,295 $1.73 43d 1 0.61mi
5359 Fannin St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1446 $2,423 $1.68 43d 1 0.62mi
3300 Main St Unit 3337 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1383 $2,619 $1.89 43d 1 0.62mi
3300 Main St Unit 3323 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1383 $2,797 $2.02 11d 1 0.62mi
3300 Main St Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1383 $2,773 $2.01 7d 1 0.62mi
400 Westmoreland St Unit 11 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,800 $1.71 18d 1 0.64mi
4 Chelsea Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1237 $3,850 $3.11 2d 24 0.64mi
10 Chelsea Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1496 $3,000 $2.01 43d 1 0.66mi
5501 La Branch St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 964 $4,875 $5.06 4d 245 0.67mi
4402 Roseland St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,325 $1.26 43d 1 0.67mi
1942 Prospect St Unit OHNP2 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1279 $3,397 $2.66 4d 1 0.69mi
1942 Prospect St Unit OHNP2 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1279 $3,397 $2.66 5d 1 0.69mi
2800 Kirby Dr Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1255 $2,292 $1.83 43d 2 0.70mi
4641 Montrose Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $3,748 $3.74 2d 40 0.71mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $224,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-05-22
    listed $224,900 Active
  5. 2025-12-30
    historical $1,500
  6. 2025-12-29
    price $119,000
  7. 2025-12-29
    historical
  8. 2025-12-26
    listed $1,500
  9. 2025-12-24
    listed $224,900 Active
  10. 2025-09-25
    historical $1,550
  11. 2025-09-24
    historical
  12. 2025-09-23
    listed $1,550
  13. 2025-09-22
    listed $224,900 Active
  14. 2025-01-26
    historical $1,550
  15. 2025-01-20
    historical
  16. 2025-01-13
    listed $1,550
  17. 2025-01-07
    listed $255,000 Active
  18. 2024-08-07
    historical
  19. 2024-06-10
    listed $284,900 Active
  20. 2024-03-06
    historical
  21. 2024-02-29
    listed $295,000 Active
  22. 2017-08-27
    historical
  23. 2017-08-24
    listed $150,000 Active
  24. 2010-07-26
    soldstatus
  25. 2010-07-15
    historical
  26. 2010-02-16
    listed $53,000
  27. 2010-02-16
    historical
  28. 2009-09-16
    listed $145,000
  29. 1999-03-08
    soldstatus
  30. 1999-03-01
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,151 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,116 · $343/mo
Expected delta
+$1,965/yr (+$164/mo · 91.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,129
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$2,151
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,250
− Management
−$2,250
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable income
$1,213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$291
After-tax cash flow
$4,503/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
35,997
Household income
$71,199
Rent vs Own
61.8% rent · 38.2% own
Severe rent burden
3072.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.34%
Current HPI
199.6066
Rent YoY
▼ -0.32%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.8% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $224,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Rental Removed $1,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $119,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-29 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-12-26 Listed for Rent $1,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-24 Listed $224,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Rental Removed $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed for Rent $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $224,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-01-26 Rental Removed $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2025-01-20 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-01-13 Listed for Rent $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2025-01-07 Listed $255,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-08-07 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-06-10 Listed $284,900 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-06 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-02-29 Listed $295,000 HARMLS
  • 2017-08-27 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2017-08-24 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
  • 2010-07-26 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2010-07-15 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2010-02-16 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2010-02-16 Listed $53,000 HARMLS
  • 2009-09-16 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
  • 1999-03-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,151 · +21.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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