2019 W 9th St · Hastings, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +4.9/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom home close to school. Main floor laundry room, full basement, newer furnace and water heater, newer windows.
Key facts
- New kitchen
- New bathroom
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-456 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (42.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (47.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (47.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 4.3% in Hastings — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#41 in NE, #2,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Hastings Public Schools (town): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #96 of 111 in NE (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hawthorne Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #289 of 502 statewide, top 63%, 332 students, 49% FRL); Hastings Middle School (math 39% / reading 42%, grade F, #82 of 128 statewide, top 65%, 780 students, 52% FRL); Hastings Senior High School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #181 of 261 statewide, top 69%, 1,067 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 217 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (132 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $156k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.53% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.28%
- DSCR
- 0.54
- GRM
- 15.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,355
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2200 W 7th St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+2%) | 6mo | $243,000 | $203 | 72 |
| 1742 W 5th St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,170 (-0%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $120 | 66 |
| 2402 W 4th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-2%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $135 | 65 |
| 2015 Home St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-8%) | 14mo | $240,000 | $222 | 63 |
| 1910 W 5th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,218 (+4%) | 24mo | $88,000 | $72 | 52 |
| 2319 W 6th St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,074 (-8%) | 22mo | $118,500 | $110 | 52 |
| 1608 W 4th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-2%) | 19mo | $120,000 | $104 | 49 |
| 2710 Bateman St | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,210 (+3%) | 20mo | $185,000 | $153 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -34.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-59,812
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -45.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.68×
- Total profit
- $-89,549
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68901
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 15.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,047/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $-456
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-348 | -5% $-402 | +0% $-456 | +5% $-509 | +10% $-563 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-535 | -5% $-495 | +0% $-456 | +5% $-416 | +10% $-377 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-360 | -0.5pp $-407 | base $-456 | +0.5pp $-505 | +1.0pp $-555 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1101 Brentwood Ave Unit 1127BrentwoodAve Hastings, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-03-25price $189,900
-
2026-03-05$199,500 Active
-
2023-10-31soldstatus $156,000
-
2023-10-30soldstatus $156,000 Closed 123-char remark
Show marketing remark (123 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom home close to school. Main floor laundry room, full basement, newer furnace and water heater, newer windows.
-
2023-10-16status Pending 123-char remark
Show marketing remark (123 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom home close to school. Main floor laundry room, full basement, newer furnace and water heater, newer windows.
-
2023-10-12$162,000 Active 123-char remark
Show marketing remark (123 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom home close to school. Main floor laundry room, full basement, newer furnace and water heater, newer windows.
-
2008-10-17soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,047 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,285 · $274/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,238/yr (+$103/mo · 60.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,047
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$9,078
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,179
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,288/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hastings Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3171580
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,942
- Composite
- 33.81/100
- National rank
- #5363
- State rank
- #96 of 111 in NE
Livability — Hastings
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #2188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hastings, NE
- City population
- 26,208
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,208
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,965 people
- By 2030
- 32,079 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 31,999 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 31,586 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 30,856 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 29,948 · -6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.6) · D 28.5% · R 70.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -41.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.6 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -255.77%
- Current HPI
- 232.0444
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+849.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — GMNMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $189,900 GMNMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $199,500 GMNMLS
- 2023-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $156,000 Public Records
- 2023-10-30 Sold (MLS) $156,000 GMNMLS
- 2023-10-16 Pending — GMNMLS
- 2023-10-12 Listed $162,000 GMNMLS
- 2008-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,047 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…