30 Austain Ave · Albany, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice home. 1 flr living. walking distance to elementary school and park. Close to busline and shopping. HUD Home. Sold “AS IS” by elec. bid only. Prop avail 10-5-20. Bids due by 10-14-20 11:59 PM Central Time then daily until sold. FHA Case #371-347957. Insured w Escrow Rpr. Eligible for FHA 203K. Fin terms FHA, Conv, Cash. For Prop conditions, Forms, LBP, Discl & Avail please visit www.HUDHomestore.com. For additional forms, updates, step-by-step videos & free photo list, please visit www.BLBResources.com.BLB Resources makes no warranty as to condition of property. Buyer to verify all info.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1933
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 1-car garage; Total parking for 4 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single family residence; Level lot
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built living area approximately 1,000
- Exterior features: Porch; Back yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the first floor)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $64k; list at $195k implies a 205% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.81%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $266,561
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -26.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Victor St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,012 (+1%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $262 | 85 |
| 30 Tremont St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 880 (-12%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $233 | 76 |
| 38 Danker Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,035 (+4%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $256 | 69 |
| 21 Tremont St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,133 (+13%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $150 | 67 |
| 45 Buell St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 940 (-6%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $261 | 67 |
| 37 Buell St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 945 (-6%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $259 | 65 |
| 72 Edgewood Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 984 (-2%) | 5mo | $242,000 | $246 | 61 |
| 149 Exchange St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (0%) | 8mo | $112,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 15 Braintree St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+8%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $250 | 58 |
| 39 Buell St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (-9%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $297 | 57 |
| 4 Pierce St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,094 (+9%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $174 | 52 |
| 28 North St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,113 (+11%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $189 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-14,694
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $9,131
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12205
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,093 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$285 /mo · $3,421/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $375 | -5% $320 | +0% $265 | +5% $209 | +10% $154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $99 | -5% $182 | +0% $265 | +5% $347 | +10% $430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $363 | -0.5pp $314 | base $265 | +0.5pp $214 | +1.0pp $163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 Patroon Creek Blvd Albany, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $2,559 | $2.37 | 15d | 22 | 0.36mi |
| 14 Orford St Unit 1 1s Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8 Norton St Trlr 10 Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 8 Norton St Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 11 Brayton St Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1414 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 14 Woodside Ave Albany, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1248 | $2,700 | $2.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 32 Richmond St Unit 2 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1248 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 34 B Commodore St Colonie, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11 King Ave Unit 2 Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 31 Terrace Ave Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,500 | $2.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 50 Rooney Ave Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $2,000 | $2.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 898 Lancaster St Unit 2 Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1 Bleecker Ter Albany, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 609 | $1,499 | $2.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 41 Oakwood Dr Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,600 | $2.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 41 Oakwood Dr Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,600 | $2.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 526 Central Ave Albany, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,435 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2 Van Buren Ave Albany, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 9 Circle Ln Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,805 | $2.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 33 A Ledgewood Dr Colonie, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 35 Cherry St Apt B Albany, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $195,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $195,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $212,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $212,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $212,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $212,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Active 412-char remark
-
2026-04-29historical 412-char remark
-
2026-04-28$212,000 Active 412-char remark
-
2026-03-16historical
-
2026-02-17price $212,000
-
2026-01-23$224,000 Active
-
2020-12-29soldstatus $64,019
-
2020-12-21soldstatus $64,019 Closed (Final Sale)
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Nice home. 1 flr living. walking distance to elementary school and park. Close to busline and shopping. HUD Home. Sold “AS IS” by elec. bid only. Prop avail 10-5-20. Bids due by 10-14-20 11:59 PM Central Time then daily until sold. FHA Case #371-347957. Insured w Escrow Rpr. Eligible for FHA 203K. Fin terms FHA, Conv, Cash. For Prop conditions, Forms, LBP, Discl & Avail please visit www.HUDHomestore.com. For additional forms, updates, step-by-step videos & free photo list, please visit www.BLBResources.com.BLB Resources makes no warranty as to condition of property. Buyer to verify all info.
-
2020-10-15status Pend (Under Cntr)
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Nice home. 1 flr living. walking distance to elementary school and park. Close to busline and shopping. HUD Home. Sold “AS IS” by elec. bid only. Prop avail 10-5-20. Bids due by 10-14-20 11:59 PM Central Time then daily until sold. FHA Case #371-347957. Insured w Escrow Rpr. Eligible for FHA 203K. Fin terms FHA, Conv, Cash. For Prop conditions, Forms, LBP, Discl & Avail please visit www.HUDHomestore.com. For additional forms, updates, step-by-step videos & free photo list, please visit www.BLBResources.com.BLB Resources makes no warranty as to condition of property. Buyer to verify all info.
-
2020-10-05$55,000 New
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Nice home. 1 flr living. walking distance to elementary school and park. Close to busline and shopping. HUD Home. Sold “AS IS” by elec. bid only. Prop avail 10-5-20. Bids due by 10-14-20 11:59 PM Central Time then daily until sold. FHA Case #371-347957. Insured w Escrow Rpr. Eligible for FHA 203K. Fin terms FHA, Conv, Cash. For Prop conditions, Forms, LBP, Discl & Avail please visit www.HUDHomestore.com. For additional forms, updates, step-by-step videos & free photo list, please visit www.BLBResources.com.BLB Resources makes no warranty as to condition of property. Buyer to verify all info.
-
2019-10-01historical
-
2019-03-21$102,000 New
-
2005-06-06soldstatus $115,000
-
2004-11-30soldstatus $58,001
-
2004-08-25soldstatus $72,053
-
2004-07-21historical
-
2004-05-06$61,000
-
2001-09-19soldstatus $58,000
-
2001-09-17soldstatus $58,000
-
2001-04-04$62,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,421 · $285/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,421 · $285/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,116
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$3,421
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,009
- − Management
- −$2,009
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $106
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$25
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 116,921
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,838
- Household income
- $91,020
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 530.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Asian 8% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.10%
- Current HPI
- 302.9752
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+212.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $195,000 Global MLS
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $212,000 Global MLS
- 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $212,000 Global MLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $224,000 Global MLS
- 2020-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $64,019 Public Records
- 2020-12-21 Sold (MLS) $64,019 Global MLS
- 2020-10-15 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-10-05 Listed $55,000 Global MLS
- 2019-10-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2019-03-21 Listed $102,000 Global MLS
- 2005-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2004-11-30 Sold (MLS) $58,001 Global MLS
- 2004-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $72,053 Public Records
- 2004-07-21 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2004-05-06 Listed $61,000 Global MLS
- 2001-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-17 Sold (MLS) $58,000 Global MLS
- 2001-04-04 Listed $62,500 Global MLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,421 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…