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2607 Ohio St
B+ Composite 75.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

2607 Ohio St · Paducah, KY 42003
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 981 sqft · SingleFamily · 92 Days on market
Built 1925 0.28 ac lot $61/sqft · 43% below area Est $105k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 1925 home full of character and opportunity! Situated on a large lot , this property features a detached garage and timeless architectural details throughout. Inside, you'll find high ceilings, a cozy gas log fireplace, and beautiful original wood floors that add warmth and charm to the living spaces. This home offers great potential for investors or handy homeowners looking to restore and customize. While it boasts solid bones and classic appeal, it does need some TLC, including flooring work in the kitchen, and ceiling work in one of the bedrooms. Being sold AS IS, this property is a fantastic opportunity to bring your vision to life and build equity. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, parks, and entertainment, this home combines location, character, and potential-all at an attractive value. Don't miss a chance to transform this hidden gem into something truly special.

Key facts

  • Classic appeal
  • Original wood floors
  • Detached garage

Tags

DETACHED GARAGETIMELESS ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSCOZY GAS LOG FIREPLACEORIGINAL WOOD FLOORSCLASSIC APPEAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($906 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.5% in Paducah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#197 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Paducah Independent (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #122 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Morgan Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #572 of 676 statewide, top 88%, 380 students, 89% FRL); Paducah Middle School (math 19% / reading 36%, grade F, #168 of 217 statewide, top 78%, 652 students, 69% FRL); Paducah Tilghman High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 878 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $60k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.34%
Cash-on-cash
21.59%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$105,344
List price
$59,900
Delta
-43.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2328 Center St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-2%) 4mo $158,000 $165 72
2332 Center St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-2%) 7mo $128,400 $134 70
2827 Cornell St 0.59mi 2/1.0 994 (+1%) 0mo $144,500 $145 70
2909 Clark St 0.40mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,018 (+4%) 2mo $180,000 $177 67
3019 Mississippi St 0.59mi 2/1.0 918 (-6%) 3mo $150,000 $163 59
2600 Monroe St 0.61mi 2/1.0 899 (-8%) 4mo $127,500 $142 54
3001 Georgia St 0.63mi 2/1.0 900 (-8%) 7mo $54,000 $60 51
3017 Georgia St 0.65mi 2/1.0 888 (-10%) 4mo $70,000 $79 51
926 S 21st St 0.60mi 2/1.0 1,102 (+12%) 4mo $79,000 $72 48
2936 Cornell St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+10%) 5mo $94,000 $87 42
2403 Monroe St 0.67mi 2/1.0 1,118 (+14%) 6mo $162,500 $145 40
2707 Madison St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-12%) 6mo $130,000 $150 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$9,522
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$33,089
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42003

Home prices YoY
-19.8%
Active inventory
269
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$906 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $343 -5% $322 +0% $302 +5% $281 +10% $260
Rent -10% $230 -5% $266 +0% $302 +5% $337 +10% $373
Rate -1.0pp $332 -0.5pp $317 base $302 +0.5pp $286 +1.0pp $270

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
922 S 27th St Unit A Paducah, KY 2.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 46d 1 0.21mi
1900 Jefferson St Paducah, KY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 46d 1 0.78mi
2967 Harrison St Paducah, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $915 $1.26 46d 1 0.90mi
710 Lone Oak Rd Paducah, KY 2.0 1.0 620 $799 $1.29 46d 1 0.91mi
2991 Clay St Unit 06 Paducah, KY 2.0 1.0 974 $715 $0.73 46d 1 0.96mi
2741 Trimble St Unit 27195 Paducah, KY 2.0 1.0 850 $725 $0.85 46d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $59,900 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 71 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 70 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 69 DOM
  18. 2026-04-15
    price $59,900 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Charming 1925 home full of character and opportunity! Situated on a large lot , this property features a detached garage and timeless architectural details throughout. Inside, you'll find high ceilings, a cozy gas log fireplace, and beautiful original wood floors that add warmth and charm to the living spaces. This home offers great potential for investors or handy homeowners looking to restore and customize. While it boasts solid bones and classic appeal, it does need some TLC, including flooring work in the kitchen, and ceiling work in one of the bedrooms. Being sold AS IS, this property is a fantastic opportunity to bring your vision to life and build equity. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, parks, and entertainment, this home combines location, character, and potential-all at an attractive value. Don't miss a chance to transform this hidden gem into something truly special.

  19. 2026-03-20
    listed $69,900 Active 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Charming 1925 home full of character and opportunity! Situated on a large lot , this property features a detached garage and timeless architectural details throughout. Inside, you'll find high ceilings, a cozy gas log fireplace, and beautiful original wood floors that add warmth and charm to the living spaces. This home offers great potential for investors or handy homeowners looking to restore and customize. While it boasts solid bones and classic appeal, it does need some TLC, including flooring work in the kitchen, and ceiling work in one of the bedrooms. Being sold AS IS, this property is a fantastic opportunity to bring your vision to life and build equity. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, parks, and entertainment, this home combines location, character, and potential-all at an attractive value. Don't miss a chance to transform this hidden gem into something truly special.

  20. 1995-06-01
    soldstatus $16,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,871
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$870
− Management
−$870
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$2,835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$680
After-tax cash flow
$2,940/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paducah Independent
NCES district ID
2104650
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$30,067
Composite
23.41/100
National rank
#7896
State rank
#122 of 165 in KY

Livability — Paducah

Score
68/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#9780

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paducah, KY
City population
30,856
Population (ZIP)
29,384

Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,237 people
By 2030
63,468 · -1.2%
By 2040
61,221 · -4.7%
By 2050
58,432 · -9.0%
By 2075
52,668 · -18.0%
By 2100
44,517 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McCracken

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.31%
Current HPI
236.3013
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+263.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $59,900 WKRMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $69,900 WKRMLS
  • 1995-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-22.9%/yr

Latest (2022): $77 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…