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454 Mccall Rd
C Composite 58.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

454 Mccall Rd · Rochester, NY 14616
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,111 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1951 0.34 ac lot $94/sqft · 19% below area Est $246k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Plenty of space! This 4BR, 2Ba split-level is just what you’ve been looking for! Huge great room, lovely formal dining room with chair rail, good-sized bedrooms, sparkling updated bathrooms, and well-proportioned entryway. Cute front porch with stone-edged landscaping. Spacious backyard with custom stone firepit. This home was well-designed for making memories with family and friends!

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1951

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with electricity; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story existing home; Frame construction; Block foundation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Awnings; Blacktop driveway; Rectangular lot; Road frontage on a main thoroughfare; Second garage (additional structure)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 — Second level; Bedroom 2 — Second level; Bedroom 3 — Second level; Bedroom 4 — Second level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Great room; Second kitchen; Walk-in pantry; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Greece Central School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #544 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $135k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.13%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$246,010
List price
$199,000
Delta
-19.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
217 Rosecroft Dr 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 2,094 (-1%) 5mo $191,400 $91 66
145 Mountain Ash Dr 0.68mi 4/2.0 2,072 (-2%) 1mo $310,000 $150 65
125 Ridgelea Ct 0.62mi 4/1.5 1,964 (-7%) 5mo $220,000 $112 53
78 Menard Dr 0.25mi 4/1.5 2,324 (+10%) 22mo $190,000 $82 51
52 Marble Dr 0.71mi 4/1.5 1,898 (-10%) 0mo $280,000 $148 48
410 True Hickory Dr 0.66mi 4/1.5 2,058 (-2%) 20mo $245,000 $119 46
71 Marble Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,920 (-9%) 7mo $301,000 $157 41
189 Frear Dr 0.60mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,302 (+9%) 20mo $258,000 $112 35
76 Williston Rd 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,822 (-14%) 19mo $165,000 $91 28
2145 Dewey Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,822 (-14%) 10mo $203,000 $111 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-19,769
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-410
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14616

Home prices YoY
-18.0%
Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,454 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$621 /mo · $7,447/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$515
Net cashflow
$192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,211
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
60 Grand Teton St Greece, NY 2.0–3.0 2.0 1833 $2,673 $1.46 2d 3 0.08mi
64 Chippendale Rd Rochester, NY 5.0 2.5 1620 $2,400 $1.48 2d 1 1.11mi
37 Linda Dr Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,100 $1.31 43d 1 1.46mi
768 Flower City Park Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1995 $1,995 $1.00 10d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 359-char remark
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $199,000 Active 359-char remark
  3. 2026-04-23
    historical
  4. 2026-04-15
    listed $249,000 Active
  5. 2017-07-20
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed Sale or Rented
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Plenty of space! This 4BR, 2Ba split-level is just what you’ve been looking for! Huge great room, lovely formal dining room with chair rail, good-sized bedrooms, sparkling updated bathrooms, and well-proportioned entryway. Cute front porch with stone-edged landscaping. Spacious backyard with custom stone firepit. This home was well-designed for making memories with family and friends!

  6. 2017-05-23
    status Pending Sale
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Plenty of space! This 4BR, 2Ba split-level is just what you’ve been looking for! Huge great room, lovely formal dining room with chair rail, good-sized bedrooms, sparkling updated bathrooms, and well-proportioned entryway. Cute front porch with stone-edged landscaping. Spacious backyard with custom stone firepit. This home was well-designed for making memories with family and friends!

  7. 2017-05-02
    price $139,900
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Plenty of space! This 4BR, 2Ba split-level is just what you’ve been looking for! Huge great room, lovely formal dining room with chair rail, good-sized bedrooms, sparkling updated bathrooms, and well-proportioned entryway. Cute front porch with stone-edged landscaping. Spacious backyard with custom stone firepit. This home was well-designed for making memories with family and friends!

  8. 2017-04-14
    listed $149,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Plenty of space! This 4BR, 2Ba split-level is just what you’ve been looking for! Huge great room, lovely formal dining room with chair rail, good-sized bedrooms, sparkling updated bathrooms, and well-proportioned entryway. Cute front porch with stone-edged landscaping. Spacious backyard with custom stone firepit. This home was well-designed for making memories with family and friends!

  9. 2010-04-05
    soldstatus $79,000
  10. 2010-01-25
    listed $75,000
  11. 2005-07-28
    soldstatus $94,500
  12. 2000-12-12
    soldstatus $85,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,447 · $621/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,447 · $621/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,450
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$7,447
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,356
− Management
−$2,356
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$640
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$154
After-tax cash flow
$2,454/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greece Central School District
NCES district ID
3612630
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$52,718
Composite
32.26/100
National rank
#5761
State rank
#544 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,863
Household income
$66,499
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
789.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.14%
Current HPI
246.1703
Rent YoY
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+134.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $199,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $249,000 UNYREIS
  • 2017-07-20 Sold (MLS) $135,000 UNYREIS
  • 2017-05-23 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2017-05-02 Price Changed $139,900 UNYREIS
  • 2017-04-14 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
  • 2010-04-05 Sold (MLS) $79,000 UNYREIS
  • 2010-01-25 Listed $75,000 UNYREIS
  • 2005-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records
  • 2000-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,447 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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