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Lancia's Addyson Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 33.36
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$274,300

Lancia's Addyson Plan · Huntertown, IN 46818
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,264 sqft · SingleFamily · 303 Days on market
Good condition $45/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Addyson has all bedrooms upstairs with a cathedral ceiling in the owner suite bedroom. Laundry upstairs. Kitchen has an island, breakfast bar, walk-in pantry, and 36" lower cabinet space for appliances. Office-Bonus Room off the front door with a single French Door and closet storage. * Base price does not include land

Key facts

  • Office-bonus room
  • Cathedral ceiling
  • Breakfast bar

Tags

CATHEDRAL CEILINGWALK-IN PANTRYBREAKFAST BAROFFICE-BONUS ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $274,300 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $378,346.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $274k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-640 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (6.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $241k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#159 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $241,384 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.26%
Cash-on-cash
-7.25%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$378,346
List price
$274,300
Delta
-27.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5517 Tranquilo Way 0.28mi 4/2.5 2,346 (+4%) 1mo $329,085 $140 80
4819 Windrow Way 0.40mi 4/2.5 2,244 (-1%) 1mo $379,900 $169 79
4841 Whittlebury Dr 0.34mi 4/2.5 2,322 (+3%) 2mo $379,900 $164 79
12204 Bozzio Rd 0.30mi 4/2.5 2,155 (-5%) 0mo $382,000 $177 78
5371 Elk Run Pl 0.42mi 4/2.5 2,299 (+2%) 1mo $412,000 $179 77
5390 Fair Creek Run 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,315 (+2%) 1mo $513,400 $222 77
12041 Swather Ct 0.44mi 4/2.5 2,229 (-2%) 2mo $375,000 $168 75
12756 Watts Dr 0.39mi 4/2.5 2,053 (-9%) 2mo $319,450 $156 64
5598 Broad Fields Cv 0.52mi 4/2.5 2,111 (-7%) 2mo $390,000 $185 63
5029 Whittlebury Dr 0.28mi 4/2.5 1,938 (-14%) 1mo $352,900 $182 62
4874 Whittlebury Dr 0.38mi 4/2.5 1,994 (-12%) 1mo $375,000 $188 62
4313 Great Hollow Ct 0.57mi 4/2.5 2,438 (+8%) 2mo $475,000 $195 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.8%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-89,516
Equity at exit
$56,413
10-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-73,744
Equity at exit
$32,712

Cash invested: $105,937 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46818

Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,556 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,984
Tax est. 1.5%
$473 /mo · $5,675/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$45
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$537
Net cashflow
$-640

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,367
Max offer price $285,725
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-379 -5% $-509 +0% $-640 +5% $-771 +10% $-902
Rent -10% $-842 -5% $-741 +0% $-640 +5% $-539 +10% $-438
Rate -1.0pp $-450 -0.5pp $-544 base $-640 +0.5pp $-738 +1.0pp $-838

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,586
Closing costs
$11,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5045 Portney Pl Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.5 2226 $2,300 $1.03 45d 1 0.12mi
4722 Whittlebury Dr Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.0 1650 $1,999 $1.21 15d 1 0.30mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$45 · $540/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $274,300 Active 303 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $274,300 Active 300 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $274,300 Active 299 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $274,300 Active 298 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $274,300 Active 297 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $274,300 Active 295 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $274,300 Active 294 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $274,300 Active 292 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $274,300 Active 291 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $274,300 Active 290 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $274,300 Active 289 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $274,300 Active 285 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $274,300 Active 284 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,200 Active 283 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,200 Active 282 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $269,200 Active 281 DOM
  17. 2026-02-09
    price $269,200 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Addyson has all bedrooms upstairs with a cathedral ceiling in the owner suite bedroom. Laundry upstairs. Kitchen has an island, breakfast bar, walk-in pantry, and 36" lower cabinet space for appliances. Office-Bonus Room off the front door with a single French Door and closet storage. * Base price does not include land

  18. 2025-08-22
    listed $267,200 Active 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Addyson has all bedrooms upstairs with a cathedral ceiling in the owner suite bedroom. Laundry upstairs. Kitchen has an island, breakfast bar, walk-in pantry, and 36" lower cabinet space for appliances. Office-Bonus Room off the front door with a single French Door and closet storage. * Base price does not include land

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,677
− Mortgage interest
−$21,193
− Property taxes
−$5,675
− Insurance
−$1,892
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,454
− Management
−$2,454
− HOA
−$540
− Depreciation
−$11,006
Taxable loss
−$14,538
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,489
After-tax cash flow
$-4,192/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. It has potential for further improvements to enhance its curb appeal and marketability.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Replace window seals — Improves energy efficiency and appearance.
  • Both Install smart home features — Enhances convenience and marketability.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal.
  • Both Add a small garden or planter box — Enhances curb appeal and adds greenery.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Replace window seals — Improves energy efficiency and appearance.
  • Both Install smart home features — Enhances convenience and marketability.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal.
  • Both Add a small garden or planter box — Enhances curb appeal and adds greenery.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Allen County Schools
NCES district ID
1808250
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$78,952
Composite
49.26/100
National rank
#2027
State rank
#25 of 301 in IN

Livability — Huntertown

Score
70/100
State rank
#159
US rank
#7771

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allen County · 326,813 people
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
Population (ZIP)
21,954
Household income
$81,066
Rent vs Own
15.6% rent · 84.4% own
Severe rent burden
101.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
394,020 people
By 2030
405,128 · +2.8%
By 2040
423,476 · +7.5%
By 2050
435,137 · +10.4%
By 2075
450,293 · +14.3%
By 2100
424,101 · +7.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -217.71%
Current HPI
228.1539
Rent YoY
▲ 7.64%
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $269,200 Zillow
  • 2025-08-22 Listed $267,200 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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