3205 Hudson St · Jasper, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to 3205 Hudson Street. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home has 1,247 sqft, and is right in the heart of Jasper—just a short walk from North Jasper Park! Mornings feel a little calmer here, whether you’re enjoying coffee on the front porch or listening to the quiet around you. Out back, a brand-new large deck offers a peaceful place to relax, let the kids play, or watch the dogs stretch out in the sun. It’s the kind of space that makes you want to stay outside just a little longer. Inside, the home features elegant finishes throughout, with a beautifully updated layout that feels both comfortable and inviting. The master bathroom carries that same feel with an eleg
Key facts
- Large deck
- Move-in ready
- Front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Quarterly garbage fee ($45)
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Front garage entry; Attached 2-car garage; Driveway parking; Off-street and on-street parking; Parking on main level
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Underground utilities; Spectrum internet available
- Home design: Existing home; Vinyl siding and stone exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding with stone accents; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Sprinkling system; Storage building; Porch; Covered and open patio; Open deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Stone countertops; Electric cooktop; Built-in dishwasher; Built-in microwave; Electric oven; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator included; Some stainless steel appliances; Electric stove
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Additional bedrooms (main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Separate shower and tub/shower combo; Split bedroom layout
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 9 ft. + ceilings with crown molding; Recessed lighting; Vinyl flooring; Pull-down attic
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in a closet; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#228 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Jasper City (town): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #23 of 129 in AL (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Memorial Park Elementary School (math 50% / reading 68%, grade B-, #67 of 627 statewide, top 11%, 375 students, 65% FRL); Jasper High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 814 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 42% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $122k; list at $199k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.06%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $168,345
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3415 Bankston Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (-2%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $135 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-5,502
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $29,508
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35503
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,105 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,393/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $421
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $199,000 Pending 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,000 Contingent 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Contingent 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Contingent 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Contingent 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Contingent 25 DOM
-
2026-05-07historical Contingent
-
2026-05-05$199,000 Active
-
2018-12-17soldstatus $122,000
-
2013-04-25soldstatus $120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,393 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,393 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,265
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,393
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,021
- − Management
- −$2,021
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $1,898
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$456
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jasper City
- NCES district ID
- 0101890
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,476
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5204
- State rank
- #23 of 129 in AL
Livability — Jasper
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #17152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jasper, AL
- City population
- 9,927
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,601
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,037 people
- By 2030
- 58,391 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 53,080 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 48,031 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 37,799 · -38.1%
- By 2100
- 29,001 · -52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 2% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.8) · D 13.8% · R 85.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -46.4pp · 2024: -71.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+52.9 2008: R+46.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.26%
- Current HPI
- 172.9286
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+65.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $199,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,393 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…