591 W Cloud Springs Rd · Fort Oglethorpe, GA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great price in a convenient area! 2 bed 1 bath home that needs some love but a steal for under $100k. Make this a great starter home or a great investment!
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- Built 1948
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached parking; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Three or more levels; Entry status: Existing
- Construction: Brick and other construction materials; Asbestos shingle roof; Crawl space / no basement
- Exterior features: Lot approx. 0.39 acres (80 x 212); Water available
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Refrigerator included; Carpet, wood, and other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.4% in Fort Oglethorpe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#166 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Catoosa County (suburban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #49 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Battlefield Primary (492 students, 51% FRL); Lakeview-Fort Oglethorpe High School (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #258 of 424 statewide, top 62%, 1,023 students, 55% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Catoosa County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 848 units permitted in Catoosa County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Catoosa County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.46%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,309
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -32.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Mccraw St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (+7%) | 5mo | $62,500 | $73 | 81 |
| 132 Hargrave Rd | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-5%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $208 | 68 |
| 77 Parkett St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 782 (-3%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $217 | 68 |
| 887 Kinsey St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 718 (-11%) | 10mo | $57,000 | $79 | 53 |
| 113 Hays St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 851 (+6%) | 22mo | $115,000 | $135 | 52 |
| 100 Nativity Pl | 0.32mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 896 (+11%) | 21mo | $153,000 | $171 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $8,212
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $56,798
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30741
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 430
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,226 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $615/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $291
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $347 | -5% $319 | +0% $291 | +5% $263 | +10% $235 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $194 | -5% $242 | +0% $291 | +5% $339 | +10% $388 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $341 | -0.5pp $316 | base $291 | +0.5pp $265 | +1.0pp $239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Corey Cir Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 704 Corey Cir Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 15d | 2 | 0.32mi |
| 124 Callan Dr Rossville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $899 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 403 Warren St Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,350 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 403 Warren St Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,200 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1106 Carline Rd Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1012 | $1,095 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1106 Carline Rd Apt B Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 877 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 100 Biltford Ave Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 108 Biltford Ave Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 340 Alpine Dr Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,275 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 203 Ga Ln Unit 203 , GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 819 Asterwood Dr Unit B Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,445 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 47 Bryan Ln Rossville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 813 Chickamauga Ave Unit A Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 403 Barnhardt Cir Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,225 | $1.23 | 15d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 1830 Fant Dr Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $999 | $1.16 | 15d | 2 | 1.31mi |
| 1591 Park City Rd Apt E15 Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,145 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 76 S Cedar Ln Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 134 S Cedar Ln Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 946 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 150 S Cedar Ln Fort Oglethorpe, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-11$99,000 Active 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Great price in a convenient area! 2 bed 1 bath home that needs some love but a steal for under $100k. Make this a great starter home or a great investment!
-
2026-05-11$99,000 Active 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Great price in a convenient area! 2 bed 1 bath home that needs some love but a steal for under $100k. Make this a great starter home or a great investment!
-
2026-05-11$99,000 Active
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Great price in a convenient area! 2 bed 1 bath home that needs some love but a steal for under $100k. Make this a great starter home or a great investment!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $615 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$296/yr (+$25/mo · 48.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,717
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$615
- − Insurance
- −$1,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,177
- − Management
- −$1,177
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $2,029
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$487
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,002/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Catoosa County
- NCES district ID
- 1300930
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,913
- Composite
- 33.13/100
- National rank
- #5558
- State rank
- #49 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fort Oglethorpe
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #10498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walker County · 48,831 people
- City population
- 29,236
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,041
- Household income
- $58,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 834.0
Population outlook (Catoosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,112 people
- By 2030
- 71,621 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 73,595 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 73,921 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 72,135 · +2.9%
- By 2100
- 65,979 · -5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Catoosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 22.0% · R 77.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: -49.8pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+56.0 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+49.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.05%
- Current HPI
- 267.0047
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.44%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — GCAR
- 2026-05-21 Pending — RCAOR
- 2026-05-21 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $99,000 GCAR
- 2026-05-11 Listed $99,000 RCAOR
- 2026-05-11 Listed $99,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $615 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…