1302 Dudley Ave · Utica, NY 13501

$124,900

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,124 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 111 Days on market

Built 1880 4,200 sqft lot Est $147k · 15% under ↓ 17% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +14.1/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1302 Dudley Avenue in Utica, NY — a great opportunity to own a two-family home located in a central area. The upstairs unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with its own private porch. The downstairs unit offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a porch. The home has a newer furnace and updated roof. The interior needs updating, but the structure is solid and full of potential. Located near T. R. Proctor Park, the Utica Zoo, Stanley Theatre, and the Munson Arts Institute, this property is close to schools, shopping, and public transportation. With Utica’s ongoing downtown revitalization and expanding amenities, this property is a great opportunity! PROPERY TO BE DELIVE

Key facts

• Private porch
• Close to schools
• Newer furnace

Tags

• TWO-FAMILY HOME
• PRIVATE PORCH
• NEWER FURNACE
• UPDATED ROOF
• CLOSE TO SCHOOLS
• CLOSE TO SHOPPING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $897/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
• Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
• Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,301/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2251% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $113,659 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.64% ✓
• Cap rate: 23.53%
• Cash-on-cash: 61.56%
• DSCR: 3.74
• GRM: 3.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $146,556
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1534 Brinckerhoff Ave	0.29mi	5/2.0	2,044 (-4%)	1mo	$158,000	$77	79
141 Eagle St	0.42mi	5/2.0	2,193 (+3%)	6mo	$36,500	$17	70
1418 Brinckerhoff Ave	0.16mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,406 (+13%)	9mo	$105,001	$44	58
1004 Rudolph Pl	0.61mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,112 (-1%)	10mo	$145,000	$69	57
124 Wall St	0.46mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,236 (+5%)	10mo	$115,000	$51	57
514 Mary St	0.66mi	5/2.0	2,096 (-1%)	13mo	$75,000	$36	56
1559 Taylor Ave	0.43mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,304 (+8%)	6mo	$200,000	$87	56
1539 Brinckerhoff Ave	0.31mi	5/2.0	2,412 (+14%)	17mo	$179,900	$75	49
1154 Leeds St	0.60mi	5/3.0	2,422 (+14%)	11mo	$228,000	$94	36
914 Eagle St	0.74mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,400 (+13%)	5mo	$150,000	$63	35
719 South St	0.61mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,424 (+14%)	14mo	$170,000	$70	32
1522 Oneida St	0.71mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,420 (+14%)	13mo	$127,500	$53	28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 73.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.21×
• Total profit: $182,307
• Equity at exit: $112,520

10-year hold

• IRR: 67.4%
• Equity multiple: 13.78×
• Total profit: $447,046
• Equity at exit: $242,653

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13501

• Home prices YoY: 5.6%
• Active inventory: 143
• Price-to-rent: 6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,301 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$655
• Tax from tax record: −$107 /mo · $1,281/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$693
• Net cashflow: $1,794

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,030

Max offer price $124,900

Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,865	-5% $1,829	+0% $1,794	+5% $1,759	+10% $1,723
Rent	-10% $1,533	-5% $1,664	+0% $1,794	+5% $1,924	+10% $2,055
Rate	-1.0pp $1,857	-0.5pp $1,826	base $1,794	+0.5pp $1,762	+1.0pp $1,729

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
1× unit	2	1	$1,534
1× unit	3	1	$1,767
Total (2 units)			$3,301

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,225
• Closing costs: $3,747
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-02-02
   status Pending
2. 2025-12-02
   status Active
3. 2025-11-21
   historical
4. 2025-11-13
   price $124,900
5. 2025-11-03
   status Active
6. 2025-10-25
   historical
7. 2025-09-24
   listed $129,900 Active
8. 2025-09-20
   historical
9. 2025-09-03
   price $129,900
10. 2025-09-02
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,281 · $107/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,696 · $141/mo
• Expected delta: +$415/yr (+$35/mo · 32.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $39,612
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,996
• − Property taxes: −$1,281
• − Insurance: −$624
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,169
• − Management: −$3,169
• − Depreciation: −$3,633
• Taxable income: $20,739
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,977
• After-tax cash flow: $16,551/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Utica City School District
• NCES district ID: 3629370
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $31,834
• Composite: 29.01/100
• National rank: #6613
• State rank: #562 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #104
• US rank: #1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Utica, NY
• County: Oneida County · 89,710 people
• City population: 72,968
• Metro: Utica-Rome, NY
• Population (ZIP): 38,931
• Household income: $52,548
• Rent vs Own: 49.2% rent · 50.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 2251.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 225,223 people
• By 2030: 220,384 · -2.1%
• By 2040: 209,071 · -7.2%
• By 2050: 197,920 · -12.1%
• By 2075: 175,541 · -22.1%
• By 2100: 148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
• Common ancestry: American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 20.28%
• Current HPI: 382.3726
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Utica-Rome, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-16.7% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-02 Pending — CNYIS
• 2025-12-02 Relisted — CNYIS
• 2025-11-21 Listing Removed — CNYIS
• 2025-11-13 Price Changed $124,900 CNYIS
• 2025-11-03 Relisted — CNYIS
• 2025-10-25 Listing Removed — CNYIS
• 2025-09-24 Listed $129,900 CNYIS
• 2025-09-20 Listing Removed — CNYIS
• 2025-09-03 Price Changed $129,900 CNYIS
• 2025-09-02 Listed $149,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,281 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.