193 Weimar St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$167,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to own a nicely updated 3BR home in move-in condition with a nice open concept! The large LR w/ new carpeting leads to a formal dining area that is also open to the eat-in kitchen. There are two BR’s on the first floor and a first floor laundry for your convenience. The entire second floor is a huge master BR w/ walk-in closet & lots of storage. The HWT and high efficiency furnace were replaced in 2015. Most of the windows in the home have been updated. Enjoy the outdoors sitting on your great front porch or entertaining in the fenced yard! Close to all amenities and only minutes to downtown Buffalo!
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- Updated porch
- Walk-in attic
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Block foundation; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Fully fenced yard; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Kitchen island; Bedroom on main level; Other (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($852/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (20.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $168k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.81%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,169
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295 Weimar St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,194 (+1%) | 0mo | $209,000 | $175 | 87 |
| 72 Weaver St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-1%) | 4mo | $91,000 | $77 | 81 |
| 405 Weimar St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (+0%) | 4mo | $197,500 | $166 | 78 |
| 21 Glenn St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,153 (-2%) | 3mo | $15,000 | $13 | 76 |
| 287 Willett St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,342 (+13%) | 3mo | $192,000 | $143 | 64 |
| 358 Weimar St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-11%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $190 | 60 |
| 102 Pomona Pl | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+4%) | 2mo | $81,000 | $66 | 58 |
| 89 Roberts Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,338 (+13%) | 4mo | $106,500 | $80 | 56 |
| 9 Marann Ter | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,280 (+8%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $207 | 53 |
| 95 Fernwood Ave | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,137 (-4%) | 6mo | $212,000 | $186 | 52 |
| 91 Armin Pl | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,330 (+12%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $132 | 49 |
| 105 Armin Pl | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,352 (+14%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $126 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $74,222
- Equity at exit
- $128,225
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.51×
- Total profit
- $211,824
- Equity at exit
- $255,165
Cash invested: $47,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14206
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,328 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$880
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $336/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $119 | +0% $71 | +5% $-169 | +10% $-227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-34 | -5% $19 | +0% $71 | +5% $123 | +10% $176 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $156 | -0.5pp $114 | base $71 | +0.5pp $27 | +1.0pp $-17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,975
- Closing costs
- $5,037
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,075 | $0.95 | 16d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2111 Seneca St #3 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,150 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 61 Princeton Pl Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1150 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 214 Abbott Rd Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 12d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-08status $167,900 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $167,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $167,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $167,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $167,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $167,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-05-25$167,900 Active
-
2018-12-06soldstatus $75,000 Closed Sale or Rented 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Great opportunity to own a nicely updated 3BR home in move-in condition with a nice open concept! The large LR w/ new carpeting leads to a formal dining area that is also open to the eat-in kitchen. There are two BR’s on the first floor and a first floor laundry for your convenience. The entire second floor is a huge master BR w/ walk-in closet & lots of storage. The HWT and high efficiency furnace were replaced in 2015. Most of the windows in the home have been updated. Enjoy the outdoors sitting on your great front porch or entertaining in the fenced yard! Close to all amenities and only minutes to downtown Buffalo!
-
2018-12-05status Pending Sale 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Great opportunity to own a nicely updated 3BR home in move-in condition with a nice open concept! The large LR w/ new carpeting leads to a formal dining area that is also open to the eat-in kitchen. There are two BR’s on the first floor and a first floor laundry for your convenience. The entire second floor is a huge master BR w/ walk-in closet & lots of storage. The HWT and high efficiency furnace were replaced in 2015. Most of the windows in the home have been updated. Enjoy the outdoors sitting on your great front porch or entertaining in the fenced yard! Close to all amenities and only minutes to downtown Buffalo!
-
2018-12-05soldstatus $75,000
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Great opportunity to own a nicely updated 3BR home in move-in condition with a nice open concept! The large LR w/ new carpeting leads to a formal dining area that is also open to the eat-in kitchen. There are two BR’s on the first floor and a first floor laundry for your convenience. The entire second floor is a huge master BR w/ walk-in closet & lots of storage. The HWT and high efficiency furnace were replaced in 2015. Most of the windows in the home have been updated. Enjoy the outdoors sitting on your great front porch or entertaining in the fenced yard! Close to all amenities and only minutes to downtown Buffalo!
-
2018-10-25status Under Contract- Do Not Show 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Great opportunity to own a nicely updated 3BR home in move-in condition with a nice open concept! The large LR w/ new carpeting leads to a formal dining area that is also open to the eat-in kitchen. There are two BR’s on the first floor and a first floor laundry for your convenience. The entire second floor is a huge master BR w/ walk-in closet & lots of storage. The HWT and high efficiency furnace were replaced in 2015. Most of the windows in the home have been updated. Enjoy the outdoors sitting on your great front porch or entertaining in the fenced yard! Close to all amenities and only minutes to downtown Buffalo!
-
2018-10-08$79,900 Active 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Great opportunity to own a nicely updated 3BR home in move-in condition with a nice open concept! The large LR w/ new carpeting leads to a formal dining area that is also open to the eat-in kitchen. There are two BR’s on the first floor and a first floor laundry for your convenience. The entire second floor is a huge master BR w/ walk-in closet & lots of storage. The HWT and high efficiency furnace were replaced in 2015. Most of the windows in the home have been updated. Enjoy the outdoors sitting on your great front porch or entertaining in the fenced yard! Close to all amenities and only minutes to downtown Buffalo!
-
2011-03-16soldstatus $10,000 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Deed restriction. Convenient location. This is a great opportunity for a first time home buyer or an investor. Property is in fairly decent condition with a newer roof and vinyl siding but does need some repairs and redecorating. See MLS atttachment for information pertaining to making an offer on this property and other pertient information. Property is sold "AS IS". All information is approximate. No search or survey provided. Published compensation for ML members only. All appts through Proshow.
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2010-12-06$18,000 513-char remark
Show marketing remark (513 chars)
Deed restriction. Convenient location. This is a great opportunity for a first time home buyer or an investor. Property is in fairly decent condition with a newer roof and vinyl siding but does need some repairs and redecorating. See MLS atttachment for information pertaining to making an offer on this property and other pertient information. Property is sold "AS IS". All information is approximate. No search or survey provided. Published compensation for ML members only. All appts through Proshow.
-
2007-08-15soldstatus $31,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $336 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,587 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,251/yr (+$104/mo · 371.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,941
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,405
- − Property taxes
- −$336
- − Insurance
- −$840
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,275
- − Management
- −$1,275
- − Depreciation
- −$4,884
- Taxable loss
- −$2,075
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$498
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,631
- Household income
- $50,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 841.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Current HPI
- 457.3935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+428.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $167,900 WNYREIS
- 2018-12-06 Sold (MLS) $75,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-12-05 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-25 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-10-08 Listed $79,900 WNYREIS
- 2011-03-16 Sold (MLS) $10,000 WNYREIS
- 2010-12-06 Listed $18,000 WNYREIS
- 2007-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $31,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $336 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…