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217 Dunham St Lot 24
D+ Composite 45.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

217 Dunham St Lot 24 · Bristol, CT 06489
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,215 sqft · Manufactured public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1989 $140/sqft · 51% below area $600/mo HOA · 28% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Very Well maintained Ranch Style, OPEN FLOOR concept Manufactured Home is located in an ALL Age Manufactured Home Community. Offering Three Bedrooms with two Full bathrooms (one is a Primary Suite), Living Room, Dining Room, Kitchen and Laundry Room. Many updates: Propane Furnace, Roof, Appliances, Interior and more. Additional enjoyment with a closed in Porch and outdoor Patio with retractable Awning plus Shed for extra Storage.

Key facts

  • Closed in porch
  • Retractable awning
  • Open floor concept

Tags

OPEN FLOOR CONCEPTPROPANE FURNACECLOSED IN PORCHOUTDOOR PATIORETRACTABLE AWNINGSHED FOR EXTRA STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1215 (per public record)
  • Financial info: Property managed professionally off-site
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $600 monthly fee; Association fees include water, sewer, property management, and road maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Private paved driveway; 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected (sewer included in lot rent plus an annual usage fee); Propane fuel tank above ground; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Single-family home; On leased land; Light blue exterior
  • Construction: Frame/prefab construction; Asphalt shingle roof; No basement
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Patio; Awnings; Rear lot; Interior lot; Dry, level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Hot air heating fueled by propane; 40-gallon electric hot water tank
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Cable pre-wired
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room off the kitchen on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-368/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (3.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Southington School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #51 of 153 in CT (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Thalberg Elementary School (math 52% / reading 56%, grade C, #207 of 553 statewide, top 38%, 431 students, 19% FRL); Joseph A. Depaolo Middle School (math 43% / reading 63%, grade C+, #71 of 175 statewide, top 41%, 694 students, 24% FRL); Southington High School (math 48% / reading 68%, grade C, #50 of 194 statewide, top 25%, 1,945 students, 22% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,482 (3.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.77%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$349,244
List price
$169,900
Delta
-51.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-29,113
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-26,355
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06489

Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,147 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,981/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$600
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$-31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,186
Max offer price $164,482
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $66 -5% $17 +0% $-31 +5% $-79 +10% $-127
Rent -10% $-200 -5% $-115 +0% $-31 +5% $54 +10% $139
Rate -1.0pp $55 -0.5pp $13 base $-31 +0.5pp $-75 +1.0pp $-119

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Stoughton Rd Southington, CT 2.0 1.0 720 $1,850 $2.57 45d 1 0.66mi
270 East St Unit R Plainville, CT 2.0 1.0 792 $2,200 $2.78 20d 1 1.12mi
273 Queen St Unit 16F Southington, CT 2.0 1.5 920 $1,920 $2.09 25d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$600 · $7,200/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $169,900 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $169,900 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $189,900 Active 433-char remark
  18. 2016-08-04
    historical
  19. 2016-07-28
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,981 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,808 · $234/mo
Expected delta
+$827/yr (+$69/mo · 41.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,765
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,981
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,061
− Management
−$2,061
− HOA
−$7,200
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$2,848
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$683
After-tax cash flow
$315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southington School District
NCES district ID
0904230
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$81,467
Composite
52.38/100
National rank
#1581
State rank
#51 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bristol

Score
81/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#1585

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
61,684
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
32,706
Household income
$126,465
Rent vs Own
18.0% rent · 82.0% own
Severe rent burden
513.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 7% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -161.57%
Current HPI
179.8884
Rent YoY
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+143.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $169,900 Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $179,900 Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $189,900 Smart MLS
  • 2016-08-04 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2016-07-28 Listed $69,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,981 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…